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Johnson's NFL Week 8

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Legend
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OVERALL RECORD:  18-12-1   (+2.4u)

Sides:  12-7  (+4.1u) 
Totals:  6-5  (-1.7u)
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1-0 in Week 7...wasn't able to get anything beyond that in.  Getting on a nice little roll here focusing in on the better QB theory.  It struggled this week going 1-2 but I believe that a lot of that has to do with the divisional battles that it involved.
 
Legend
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Week 8 Line Projections:

San Diego  vs  Denver  (-5.5)    54

Detroit  vs  Atlanta  (-1)    46
St. Louis  vs  Kansas City  (-3)    44
Houston  (-2.5)  vs  Tennessee    42.5
Minnesota  vs  Tampa Bay  (-3)    43
Seattle  (-3)  vs  Carolina    46
Baltimore  vs  Cincinnati  (-3)    49
Miami  (-5)  vs  Jacksonville    40
Chicago  vs  New England  (-6.5)    45.5
Buffalo  vs  NY Jets  (-3)    43
Philadelphia  vs  Arizona  (-5)    44.5
Oakland  vs  Cleveland   (-5.5)    42.5
Indianapolis  (-2)  vs  Pittsburgh    46.5
Green  Bay  (-1.5)  vs  New Orleans    53

Washington  vs  Dallas  (-9)    50
 
Legend
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Week 8  QB Rankings:

1.  Peyton Manning
2.  Aaron Rodgers
3.  Phillip Rivers
4.  Tom Brady
5.  Andrew Luck
6.  Tony Romo
7.  Drew Brees
8.  Joe Flacco
9.  Matthew Stafford
10.  Russell Wilson
11.  Cam Newton
12.  Andy Dalton
13.  Ben Roethlisberger
14.  Carson Palmer
15.  Jay Cutler
16.  Nick Foles
17.  Matt Ryan
18.  Alex Smith
19.  Kyle Orton
20.  Ryan Fitzpatrick
21.  Austin Davis
22.  Ryan Tannehill
23.  Brian Hoyer
24.  Charlie Whitehurst
25.  Blake Bortles
26.  Geno Smith
27.  Mike Glennon
28.  Derek Carr
29.  Colt McCoy
30.  Teddy Bridgewater
 
Legend
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Posted: #4
Only one instance this week where a far superior QB faces a far weaker QB...Monday Night with Romo at home against newly placed QB McCoy

Going to lock in the OVER in the Thursday Night game real quick.  Both teams might put up 50+

Carolina might be an interesting play with a reeling Seahawks team traveling east
 
Prospect
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Posted: #5
GL this week CMJ..I always take a peak at your threads.  I locked in my Over play when you first posted, lol.  Lets get 'em tonight!  Also curious to see your NBA plays this season.
 
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MVP
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Posted: #7
BOL this weekend bud
 
Legend
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Posted: #8
So I locked it in...but it didn't post for some reason.  Interesting

 
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Cincinnati Bengals +2  (1.1 to win 1)

The Bengals need this game.  They have come out of their bye week like a wounded duck...and a home game is the perfect remedy for this.  The best home team in the NFL over the past two years...and the Ravens are flying a little bit too high right now.  I think the Bengals pull this game out by a field goal.

Prediction:  Bengals 24  Ravens 21
 
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Posted: #10
Likely will be on it myself. Gl!
 
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Captain
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Posted: #12
Ryan Fitzpatrick, Austin Davis and Kyle orton ranked above Tannehill?

You would think it was one of these guys who threw for 24 tds last year. Has 10 tds / 5ints this year and completed 14 passes in a row in 2 of last 3 games.

Cmonnn man ( handshakes)
 
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Posted: #13
You know what you are getting out of Orton, Fitzpatrick and Davis every week...I have no idea what I'm getting out of Tannehill
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

Cincinnati Bengals +2  (1.1 to win 1)

The Bengals need this game.  They have come out of their bye week like a wounded duck...and a home game is the perfect remedy for this.  The best home team in the NFL over the past two years...and the Ravens are flying a little bit too high right now.  I think the Bengals pull this game out by a field goal.

Prediction:  Bengals 24  Ravens 21

AGree 100% with this play the Bengals are very tough to at home.
 
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Posted: #15
Miami Dolphins -6  (1.1 to win 1)

Jacksonville is terrible..and they got their win next week...now it's time to fade them again.  Tannehill has shown a little bit of improvement, and although I still don't trust him I think this is a Lamar Miller breakout kind of day.  Dolphins defense can do whatever they want to this Jags offense.

Prediction:  Dolphins 23  Jaguars 9


 
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Posted: #16
Indianapolis Colts -3.5  (1.1 to win 1)

Better team.  Better QB.  Better momentum.  Steelers have gone win/loss every week this year and I don't see why that would change here.  Steelers have a piss poor secondary right now and Luck should be able to finish them off.

Prediction:  Colts 31  Steelers 16
 
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Posted: #17
Chicago vs New England UNDER 51  (1.1 to win 1)

The Patriots are the absolute best at taking the one thing you do well and not allowing that to happen.  They are going to drop 7 back in coverage and dare the Bears to run the ball.  It's going to be a much slower pace than a lot of people would think.  Bend but don't break...let the Bears kick some field goals...then take control in the 4th quarter.

Prediction:  Patriots 24  Bears 20
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

Cincinnati Bengals +2  (1.1 to win 1)The Bengals need this game.  They have come out of their bye week like a wounded duck...and a home game is the perfect remedy for this .  The best home team in the NFL over the past two years...and the Ravens are flying a little bit too high right now.  I think the Bengals pull this game out by a field goal.Prediction:  Bengals 24  Ravens 21

Don't forget Bengals won first meeting this year revenge meeting for Baltimore
 
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Posted: #19
I agree that there is a little bit of revenge factor...but the Bengals home record defeats that IMO
 
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Posted: #20
I just can't get on CIN without AJ Green. It's like Jekyll and Hyde with them when he is out of the lineup. The Ravens are by far the superior team right now even with the Bengals' impressive home record. I think the Ravens win this one going away as a revenge game for the defeat they suffered at home earlier this year (23-16 in which AJ Green had 131yds & a TD).
 
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Posted: #21
At home however they get the job done...they put up 37 against a very good Panthers defense two weeks ago without Green.
 
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Dallas Cowboys -10  (1.1 to win 1)

Not playing until tomorrow, but I'm going to lock it in now before it moves off this number.  Going with the better QB theory in this one despite the uneasy feeling with the divisional matchup.  I've got Colt McCoy as the 2nd worst starting QB in the league this week and going up against the hottest team in the league on Monday Night on the road should be a very nerve racking experience.  I look for the Boys to jump out early and often...then put it in cruise control in the 2nd half.

Prediction:  Cowboys 31  Redskins 13
 
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Posted: #23
Good plays
 
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good luck to you
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