KS Archived Plays (as promised)

@phillyfranko….. bol 2 u as well! 

@ paudonate…. Seriously..you are welcome  

@iSTATUS….. cheers….yeah.. I will be on em all today….I am liking the matchups 

@fupm  you are welcome an thanks!  

Ks

Im liking Temple and Dallas teased down to -1 each. What do you think?

Good luck today.

UTAH STATE VS OHIO:

Home field advantage? Although this game is being played in neutral Boise, Idaho; Ohio fans will have to travel about 1,700 more miles to this venue than the Utah State fans do.  The fan base should be 75% (or more) for Utah State.  Not so much a neutral field after all.

Utah State offense vs Ohio defense: Utah State ranks 6^th (averaging n the country in Rushing yards per game vs. Ohio’s 32^nd ranked rushing defense (allowing 128 per game), and only 92^nd in passing yards per game.   Utah States passing game is ranked 92^nd (passing for only 177 yds. Per game) vs. Ohio’s 80^th ranked group (allowing 245 yds. Per game)

Ohio offense vs. Utah State’s defense:  Ohio’s running attack is ranked 23^rd in the country (ave. 203 per game on the ground) vs Utah State’s  41^st ranked run stopping crew (allowing  137.4 rushing yds per game).  Ohio’s passing team is ranked 36^th (averaging 256 per game) vs Utah State’s 81^st ranked crew (allowing 245 per game)

Sifting through these two teams run/pass matchup:  Let’s first look at these two team’s ave TOP; Ohio tends to control the possessions of their games (30:18 per game, and have controlled an average of 33 minutes in their last 3 games).  Utah State only averages 28:20 TOP per game, and that number is nearly identical to their last 3 game tendency as well.  Ohio’s defense has faced an average of 70.7 plays per game, compared to Utah States 75.8 plays per game that their defense had faced.  Hence, Utah’s 55^th ranked defense might actually be better than Ohio’s 49^th ranked squad; they are on the field more, and face more plays so of course they will tend to give up more yards per game.  Defensive yards per play:  Ohio 5.3 (and 5.7 over their last 3 gms) vs Utah States 5.1 (5.8 over their last 3 gms).  Slight advantage to Utah St.

Offensive scoring vs defensive scores allowed:   Ohio averages scoring 31.1 per game vs Utah State’s 29.3 pts allowed (26.7 over last 3 gms) .  Utah State averages scoring 32.7 per game vs Ohio’s 23.7 pts allowed per game (21.7 over last 3).

Utah State’s notable games:  U.S. tore up a good Wyoming Cowboys team apart 63-19 while racking up 548 yds total (318 on the ground).  Chuckie Keeton threw for 5 TDs while completing 15 of 20 passes.

U.St. lost—as heavy favorites— outright to Colorado State at home.  U.St. were -3 in turnovers in that game.  NOTE:  Utah State has lost ATS and SU only 3 times this season, and they were a total of -3 in turnover margin in those games (combined). 

Turnovers:  Utah State is 114^th in Fumbles lost this season (losing an average of 1.4 per game), and Ohio is 102^nd (losing 1.2 per game.  Both defenses average recovering almost 1 fumble per game.    Looks as though Chuckie Keeton will start today (back injury), he averages throwing only 1 int per 86 passing attempts.  Tyler Tettleton averages 1 int per 38 attempts.   

History:

 Utah St. is 1-4 in Bowl games, and their last Bowl win was in the Las Vegas Bowl in 1993 vs Ball St. (42-33).   Their last Bowl game was in 1997.

Ohio is 0-5 in their Bowl game history.  Their last Bowl game was last year in the New Orleans Bowl (lost 48-21 to Troy)

Summary:  U.ST. is on a 5 game winning streak after opening the season with a lost late-game lead vs Auburn.  Ohio on the other hand is still licking their wounds from their loss to Northen Illinois where they blew an early 20-0 lead for the MAC Championship just a week and a half ago.  The Altitude is yet another advantage for U. St.  Boise is bout 2000 feet more above Athens, yet this is business as usual for U. St. I think turnovers will be huge in this game, and I see Utah State coming out with a +2 in this department.  This is basically a home game for U. St due to proximity.  Though Ohio has only allowed 110 yards rushing per game, I see Utah state running for 200+ yards in this one.  I see Utah State by 7.5 in this one.

Utah State -1

I like it good luck

@ djmpadre1  cheers! 

@ Already got it in @ -1 …lol… basically meaningless line movement… either way the SU winner is the ATS winner  … BoL

@ atl4tigerfan… tis is true… just another reason why there are more opportunities for edges, and it is harder to cap College FB vs NFL  (you can pose that type of argument in an array of different stats)…. GL 2 U