In last year’s playoffs, we mentioned a trend on Bill Belichick in the Divisional Playoffs. The future Hall of Fame coach has now been on the sidelines eight times in this round. In those games, the Patriots have seen the ‘under’ go 6-2. However, the ‘over’ has cashed the past two postseasons but they weren’t easy winners. New England blasted Denver 45-10 last January and the closing number was 50. Two years prior, the Jets beat the Patriots 28-21 and the ‘over’ (45) was blessed with 14 meaningless points in the final two minutes. Lastly, we should make a note that the Patriots’ defense has been stout in this round and it could make you lean to the ‘under’ in the Texans’ team total (19 ½ points). In the aforementioned eight games with Belichick, six were played at Foxborough and New England has given up a total of 88 points (14.7 PPG) in these contests. When you consider Houston has been kicking more field goals than scoring touchdowns lately, it might be worth a look.
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Coaching Trends
In last year’s playoffs, we mentioned a trend on Bill Belichick in the Divisional Playoffs. The future Hall of Fame coach has now been on the sidelines eight times in this round. In those games, the Patriots have seen the ‘under’ go 6-2. However, the ‘over’ has cashed the past two postseasons but they weren’t easy winners. New England blasted Denver 45-10 last January and the closing number was 50. Two years prior, the Jets beat the Patriots 28-21 and the ‘over’ (45) was blessed with 14 meaningless points in the final two minutes. Lastly, we should make a note that the Patriots’ defense has been stout in this round and it could make you lean to the ‘under’ in the Texans’ team total (19 ½ points). In the aforementioned eight games with Belichick, six were played at Foxborough and New England has given up a total of 88 points (14.7 PPG) in these contests. When you consider Houston has been kicking more field goals than scoring touchdowns lately, it might be worth a look.
Houston at New England: In Week 14, the Patriots blasted the Texans 42-14 and the ‘over’ (50) barely cashed, thanks to a meaningless late touchdown by Houston’s back-up QB. We talked about the Texans’ inconsistent offense last week and once again, the unit put up 19 points with 12 coming from field goals in their win over the Bengals in the Wild Card round. New England’s offense was potent at times this season but it did slow down the last two weeks (23, 28) of the season, which resulted in ‘under’ winners. I’d be surprised to see the Patriots put up six touchdown again, especially against a solid defensive unit that's much healthier. Including last week’s outcome, Houston has watched the ‘under’ cash in four straight and five of the last six games and the lone ‘over’ during this span was the aforementioned “Bad Beat” on MNF versus the Pats.
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Houston at New England: In Week 14, the Patriots blasted the Texans 42-14 and the ‘over’ (50) barely cashed, thanks to a meaningless late touchdown by Houston’s back-up QB. We talked about the Texans’ inconsistent offense last week and once again, the unit put up 19 points with 12 coming from field goals in their win over the Bengals in the Wild Card round. New England’s offense was potent at times this season but it did slow down the last two weeks (23, 28) of the season, which resulted in ‘under’ winners. I’d be surprised to see the Patriots put up six touchdown again, especially against a solid defensive unit that's much healthier. Including last week’s outcome, Houston has watched the ‘under’ cash in four straight and five of the last six games and the lone ‘over’ during this span was the aforementioned “Bad Beat” on MNF versus the Pats.
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