Major discrepancy in the Det/Was game for me. Detroit is no doubt the better team playing at home…but not by 9 points. I have Detroit with a 2.5 point advantage on offense, but Washington a 1.5 point advantage on defense. Slight home field advantage for Detroit just because of how well they have performed at home. Shouldn’t count for much IMO as it’s an indoor game and I expect Was to play well. Which coach will ruin the game?
Phi/LAR is an interesting one and tough to cap. Bottom line is this- Jalen Hurts has to play well as a QB. He doesn’t have to be great, but he’ll have to make some throws. If Barkley goes off this is a tough one for the Rams. The Rams are going to have to play well in an outside stadium in a hostile environment. If they can keep Stafford upright and get the WRs going a little, this could be a 3 point game.
In the other two games I can’t find an edge so far. I’ve got another method of creating my own lines but I won’t be finished until tomorrow. Let’s see what you guys come up with.
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Here’s what I’ve come up with so far-
KC -8
Det -3.5
Phi -3.5
Buf -pk
Major discrepancy in the Det/Was game for me. Detroit is no doubt the better team playing at home…but not by 9 points. I have Detroit with a 2.5 point advantage on offense, but Washington a 1.5 point advantage on defense. Slight home field advantage for Detroit just because of how well they have performed at home. Shouldn’t count for much IMO as it’s an indoor game and I expect Was to play well. Which coach will ruin the game?
Phi/LAR is an interesting one and tough to cap. Bottom line is this- Jalen Hurts has to play well as a QB. He doesn’t have to be great, but he’ll have to make some throws. If Barkley goes off this is a tough one for the Rams. The Rams are going to have to play well in an outside stadium in a hostile environment. If they can keep Stafford upright and get the WRs going a little, this could be a 3 point game.
In the other two games I can’t find an edge so far. I’ve got another method of creating my own lines but I won’t be finished until tomorrow. Let’s see what you guys come up with.
Nice way for other handicappers that spend time to come up with a winner and to use this comparison in doing so, than to those relying on others to provide it for them and do not do any homework of their own to emphasize at all.
Sounds like my school years and not always but in most cases those that do and did their homework are the ones that put their name in the schools yearbook with top honors. (No, My name was not mentioned for too honors) I wonder why.
Maybe because their was no money to be made involved.
When I win Money it's my money and NOT house money
Nicely done! Good homework brn
Nice way for other handicappers that spend time to come up with a winner and to use this comparison in doing so, than to those relying on others to provide it for them and do not do any homework of their own to emphasize at all.
Sounds like my school years and not always but in most cases those that do and did their homework are the ones that put their name in the schools yearbook with top honors. (No, My name was not mentioned for too honors) I wonder why.
Maybe because their was no money to be made involved.
I’ve spent years betting football by essentially guessing on winners and I know that for me, that wasn’t the answer. Every serious bettor should have some sort of power rating or other method of at least making their own line on a game using actual data/stats. It was a rough season for myself and many others simply because most handicappers aren’t making lines for the games that indicate favorites/road favorites covering at the rate that they did this season. GL to you sir
Funny though, on a sports betting forum, I rarely find anyone on here that will say or compare the lines that they have made for the games…
@justliketoplay
I’ve spent years betting football by essentially guessing on winners and I know that for me, that wasn’t the answer. Every serious bettor should have some sort of power rating or other method of at least making their own line on a game using actual data/stats. It was a rough season for myself and many others simply because most handicappers aren’t making lines for the games that indicate favorites/road favorites covering at the rate that they did this season. GL to you sir
Funny though, on a sports betting forum, I rarely find anyone on here that will say or compare the lines that they have made for the games…
Here’s what I’ve come up with so far- KC -8 Det -3.5 Phi -3.5 Buf -pk Major discrepancy in the Det/Was game for me. Detroit is no doubt the better team playing at home…but not by 9 points. I have Detroit with a 2.5 point advantage on offense, but Washington a 1.5 point advantage on defense. Slight home field advantage for Detroit just because of how well they have performed at home. Shouldn’t count for much IMO as it’s an indoor game and I expect Was to play well. Which coach will ruin the game? Phi/LAR is an interesting one and tough to cap. Bottom line is this- Jalen Hurts has to play well as a QB. He doesn’t have to be great, but he’ll have to make some throws. If Barkley goes off this is a tough one for the Rams. The Rams are going to have to play well in an outside stadium in a hostile environment. If they can keep Stafford upright and get the WRs going a little, this could be a 3 point game. In the other two games I can’t find an edge so far. I’ve got another method of creating my own lines but I won’t be finished until tomorrow. Let’s see what you guys come up with.
There is just NO WAY RedSkins was ever going to be +3.5 after last week line at +3, the 10 it is sitting is a bit out there, I thought 7-8 was around where it was going to be at, but in the NFL anything over 7.5 to 9.5 10 is almost meaningless so it does look like the book is throwing a high line out there if anyone want to take the Lions.
KC -8 is where the line is at some books have jacked it up to 10 at + juice, and I believe thats a solid line, hate to say FOR SURE or NO WAY but Chiefs aren't losing at home to a beat up offensive Texans team, at around 8 to 10 points a backdoor can't be very possible, this Chiefs team no longer looks to dominate their opponent anymore. Older and Wiser with bigger fish to fry.
Eagles line probably would have been higher but the Rams played lights out last week, I like them to handle this Rams team, who played much better than they should have against a career backup QB and overrated Vikings team.
The last game is HARD, if we all go back to week 4, and pay attention to the minor details this game might not be so RAVENS.
Quote Originally Posted by brn2loslive2win:
Here’s what I’ve come up with so far- KC -8 Det -3.5 Phi -3.5 Buf -pk Major discrepancy in the Det/Was game for me. Detroit is no doubt the better team playing at home…but not by 9 points. I have Detroit with a 2.5 point advantage on offense, but Washington a 1.5 point advantage on defense. Slight home field advantage for Detroit just because of how well they have performed at home. Shouldn’t count for much IMO as it’s an indoor game and I expect Was to play well. Which coach will ruin the game? Phi/LAR is an interesting one and tough to cap. Bottom line is this- Jalen Hurts has to play well as a QB. He doesn’t have to be great, but he’ll have to make some throws. If Barkley goes off this is a tough one for the Rams. The Rams are going to have to play well in an outside stadium in a hostile environment. If they can keep Stafford upright and get the WRs going a little, this could be a 3 point game. In the other two games I can’t find an edge so far. I’ve got another method of creating my own lines but I won’t be finished until tomorrow. Let’s see what you guys come up with.
There is just NO WAY RedSkins was ever going to be +3.5 after last week line at +3, the 10 it is sitting is a bit out there, I thought 7-8 was around where it was going to be at, but in the NFL anything over 7.5 to 9.5 10 is almost meaningless so it does look like the book is throwing a high line out there if anyone want to take the Lions.
KC -8 is where the line is at some books have jacked it up to 10 at + juice, and I believe thats a solid line, hate to say FOR SURE or NO WAY but Chiefs aren't losing at home to a beat up offensive Texans team, at around 8 to 10 points a backdoor can't be very possible, this Chiefs team no longer looks to dominate their opponent anymore. Older and Wiser with bigger fish to fry.
Eagles line probably would have been higher but the Rams played lights out last week, I like them to handle this Rams team, who played much better than they should have against a career backup QB and overrated Vikings team.
The last game is HARD, if we all go back to week 4, and pay attention to the minor details this game might not be so RAVENS.
Rams front line dominated Minny. Eagles are a much better OLine. Hurts and Sirianni are the brightest bulbs in the basket. I give the QB & HC edge to Rams and their front line is really good. This is the playoffs. These should be four pretty good games.
Rams front line dominated Minny. Eagles are a much better OLine. Hurts and Sirianni are the brightest bulbs in the basket. I give the QB & HC edge to Rams and their front line is really good. This is the playoffs. These should be four pretty good games.
come in on them. Vegas tries to leave the gambling part up to us. 
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