Posted:
#1426
Quote Originally Posted by 2fade:
Even if you buy into the "trap" nonsense, which I don't, why would it ever be logical to open Seattle at -1 if they anticipated Denver money?? That's like a red flag to bronco backers. Why not open the line at a friendly Denver -1 so the public thinks they are backing the "rightful favorite " on a soft line. They wouldn't set a trap to cross over a critical number like zero either, doesn't make sense. I think the spread is right on. Seattle is the better team, with a great defense. Manning has the experience, and a great offense. Weakest department on the field is Denver's defense. Total offensive rankings go as followed (espn) 5. New England 6. Seattle 7. San Diego 8. Kansas City. Broncos gave up 34, 27, 28 to ne, sd, and kc. This will actually be one of the weaker defenses Seattle will have to face this year. I expect success in Seattle run game, which will open up the play action roll out for Russ Wilson. I think he throws for around 250 with a couple tds and will be your MVP . Just my opinion
so......you think reverse trap?
0
THE BOOKS STUDY EACH TEAM AND COME UP WITH THE PERFECT SPREAD THAT WILL GET HALF THE PUBLIC TO BET ON ONE SIDE AND THE OTHER HALF TO BET ON THE OTHER SIDE. THAT IS IT!!!! ONCE THEY GET THE PUBLIC TO GO 50/50% THEY THEN COLLECT THE $10 FROM THE $110 U HAVE TO PUT UP TO WIN $100. THEY DONT KNOW THE OUTCOME, THEY DONT RIG THE OUTCOME, THEY SIMPLY COME UP WITH A SPREAD THAT COULD GET HALF THE PUBLIC ON ONE SIDE AND THE OTHER HALF ON THE OTHER SIDE. THAT IS WHY LINES CHANGE, BECAUSE TOO MUCH OF THE PUBLIC IS ON ONE SIDE, SO ITS CHANGING TO GET MORE PEOPLE ON THE OTHER SIDE. BUT....THATS Y U HAVE TO LOOK OUT FOR REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT, THEYRE TRYING TO FOOL THE PUBLIC BCZ THEY MAY BE MORE EDUCATED ABOUT THE UPCOMING GAME THAN THE PUBLIC, BUT THAT DOESNT NECESSARILY MEAN THAT THEY KNOW OUTCOME. 
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