Lines dictates the game....

Thanks for the play  HoldingXYZ!  I haven't lost in  3  weeks  following you!  Let me know when you're out in  Vegas, I'll  take you out to the Spearamint Rhino......on me

Haha its totally cool when we all meet up dinners on me... I havent drank in years and i look like the red lobster when i do... I will be  there the thursday night before the superbowl weekend and leaving the very next monday... 

I will be staying in the building to the right of my avatar... 

So if we can all meet up around there at a mall or restaurant or whatever it would be cool... 

Dusty , let me know when you get booked in... When i meet up with you flights on me,, i owe you a few k?

And whomever wants to join us and will be in Vegas for the superbowl just let us know... 

Mtfn50

That's a good call. We would love to hear more of your insight. Stick around man. 

Kaboons 

What's going on man. If you can still make it there's still time. If not I may go back a few more times after the superbowl or even in week1 of the nfl. I usually own that week. Will need to see how I do in nba first. Summer is the only time I have completely free so we shall see. Stick around for nba every now and then.  

This is not just my thread :) its everyones who supports this 'belief's thread. I appreciate when people share their picks in this thread rather than having to look around the board for each and everyones thread. :) 

when are the dates again?

btw any nba plays today

Its not that simple. Theres so much more than just breaking down the matchup and breaking down the numbers. So much stuff going on behind the curtain, and thats whats interesting to find out what is. 

hawks, packers, colts pats, all are public favorites i see no angle at all going against the public. the public loves all these teams

 glad to see you around... You are probably a busy man ,, if you can make it out there let us know ,, we would love to meet ya out there,, over here the weather is brutal.. I agree there so much behind the scenes than just flipping a coin... 

Kaboons,, 

We will be there the thursday before the superbowl and during... 

I have a couple buddies that are accountants out here... I knew you had them math skills in you for some reason... Overall im up roughly 40 units or so in the playoffs... The only play that i lost a decent amount was that over,, and that was my only pick i went with my heart... What i tell everyone is learn from every loss and your percentages will dramatically increase over time... I bet alot of games so im always warmed up... Sometimes i can instantly make solid picks just eyeing the board and it just pops out at me like musical notes,, i always remember one thing,, the house always takes 2-3 before they give you 1,, by that time people either would have ran out of money or are afraid to make that decision... So some of these plays are by instinct while most i use the info that i gather and filter those out with every angle i have with the time that i have... 

As for nba,, i will only give these 15 minutes or so before the game.. simply because it doesnt take much to move lines in the nba... And i know i've moved quite a few lines in the past just by pressing enter... So if i give out plays late its because i want the house to have a very minimal amount of time to think before they adjust the lines,, ofcoarse meanwhile factoring in public perception... Hoops will equal 33% of my average wager in the NFL.. However i still play many games... Sometimes when there is an over lap i actually tease basketball with football... With that said tail with caution,, im hovering between 54% & 62% for hoops on sides and totals... But for high volume games im attacking the halfs as well... So far i have about 20 teams with individual spread sheets,, sigh its hogging up all of my time and im still not done,, when it comes to hoops im honestly challeged,, theres like 10 games every single day... Which is why i designed an algo to help me short cut through this grueling process... It makes me miss the nfl so much more... Which is why i play the perecentages... When durant came back against the pelicans i faded them hard... But keeping track of who's in and who's out and is there real money on the otherside is one job in itself let alone everything else... So for nba i will post around 5-10 minutes before the game... Unless if its a private message.. i already have most of the games picked out the night before game day,, after all games ended it takes about 1-2 hours for me to feed the computer every night,, then another 1 hour so to pick them out... Where as before i was used to beating closing lines,, im just getting back to nba now with a different approach,, very similar to nfl but more stretched out...  I wished i had someone with accounting skills that can sit at a desk for 10 hours like me to help out.... This would dramtically help me and my system work more efficiently and effectively... I swear half of my job is data entry & 10-20 hour days... Getting burned out but theres alot of friends and books that follow me so theres alot pressure that comes along with it... 

Tank ,

Im not feeling the conference yet,, no time to look,, im just trying to gather as much as i can before i try to hit the big one... When you talk about teasers you really have to know what you are doing,, also its one thing to say the house wants to rake in the teaser money but at the same time theres also the MONEYLINE money you know? I should have something for you guys before game day... Im trying to focus on nba now.... But stick around man ,, 

OSU+6 medium play

under the closing small

COLLEGE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

UNDER 73.5 SMALL PLAY

1H ORE-3.5 Larger than the above

1H UNDER 37 Larger than the above

When i said i move lines,, i mean i move lines at books that i play at... Im not here to argue with you.. And i do not choose to ever respond to you and you only... Just an FYI