Lions at 49ers

49ers -7 over Lions (-116)

This game is a mismatch any way you slice it.  The 49ers are better at passing the ball, defending the pass, rushing the ball, and just as good at stopping the rush.  They score more points, yield fewer points, have more playoff experience, are playing at home, and have cooler looking uniforms.  This is San Francisco's 19th trip to the conference championship game since the merger.  It's the first time for the Lions.  The Lions have visited the 49ers 13 times since 1975, and are 0-13 in those games.

Statistically, the Lions .2 Yards per Play differential pales next to the 49ers 1.6 YPP differential.  This is largely due to Brock Purdy's NFL leading 9.6 Yards per Pass Attempt, which is the 2nd best mark in the NFL since 1956.  That will be a huge problem for Detroit, who rank 30th in opponents' YPPA.

Last week, the 49ers had an impressive come from behind win over a Packers team that was drastically underrated during the 2nd half of the season. (They beat the shit out of the Lions at Ford Field on Thanksgiving)  That close score is one reason why we're catching a soft line in this game.  Not counting their week 18 game vs the Rams when they rested their starters, all but 1 of the 49ers 12 regular season wins were by double digits.

The Lions have been impressive thus far in the playoffs, but the Bucs helped them out considerably with 8 pre-snap penalties last week.  The Lions have won two playoff games in a season for the 1st time since 1957.  That's gonna have to tide them over for at least another year.  49ers by 20 points.

Niners. 

Let’s gooooooo

Yes sir absolutely right 

Good luck JC.  

@ Jimmy_Cats You Are The Best In The Business Best Of Luck Same Side.

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Thanks guys.  Good luck!  

@Jimmy_Cats

Good luck!  

@Jimmy_Cats

By the way Jimmy, how do you like San Francisco winning the Super Bowl at +145? Thanks in advance. 

I like it.  I think they are definitely the best team.  Good luck!

A lot of those stats are meaningless. There was nothing impressive about the way they played against the packers. In fact Purdy hasn’t been the same since the Ravens punched him in the mouth. No doubt the niners are the better team. But the Lions have the better QB. Someone who has played in a Super Bowl and won an NFC Championship. Will the stage be too big for Purdy we will see but that O line for Detroit will do plenty of damage on Sunday so will the backs and QB. This will be a close game and 7 is a gift. 

GL 

@Jimmy_Cats

SF +145 to win SB 58 is the quote from the DraftKings, however my book has SF -110 for the same future, it's a ripoff I understand it. So, if I want to play it, I need to find out a way around it.

Good luck! 

jared Goff is not the better qb, sorry thats just wrong.  If you believe he is tho, you can’t tell me Goff vs the niners defense > purdy vs the lions garbage defense.  Goff also is 2-7 vs the 49ers and isn’t as good outdoors on grass. Purdy has won 3 playoff games, so don’t act like he’s inexperienced. Look at all the props, purdy has his yards set higher, the juice on purdy over 1.5 is much higher, and the Goff is minus money to throw an int and purdy is plus money odds for an int.  Purdy is better and has a better matchup, and the oddsmakers in the desert know it too.

i took money line -364 no sweat winner, see you at the window 

@jdmoney14

 The Vegas props are that way because Purdy has the better team .. come on 

Mr Irrelevant..

 he was the Last Pick in the draft for a reason

Like Aikman said in Baltimore game, those 4 Ints will NEVER get out of his head... We will see tomorrow

.GL OP.. gonna be a great game either way especially with weak Lions secondary 

So you admit the niners are the better team yet I see you touting lions money line in multiple threads lol

I agree that Purdy has not been the same since Ravens destroyed SF. Samuel is hurt, and McCaffery is far from being right. Something is different with the Niners. They may have peaked too early.

Blah blah and blah blah. Back and forth with all kinds of reasonings. 

You kiddos hear it from “God” right here and right now. Lions will win SU!! 
this is their year kids! 

A lot of Goff’s road games have been in cold weather situations. He won’t be facing that problem tomorrow. 89 Qbr on the road this year. The running game is equal. Niners pass defense is suspect, lions is as well. But the rushing defense Detroit is stout.  +7.5 Lions, maybe win outright

A lot of Goff’s road games have been in cold weather situations. He won’t be facing that problem tomorrow. 89 Qbr on the road this year. The running game is equal. Niners pass defense is suspect, lions is as well. But the rushing defense Detroit is stout.  +7.5 Lions, maybe win outright

SF will lead 14 points at the 3Q. DET will score a TD and will go for 2 points conv to make it a 6 points lead. DET will attempt to score a last min TD, if fails SF will win by 6 pts, otherwise DET will win SU. My imagination.

Having a defense ranked 30th in opponents Yards per Pass Attempt is not meaningless. Passing for the 2nd highest Yards per Pass Attempt in the last 67 years doesn't seem meaningless. Perhaps some of the historical stats of the teams don't mean a lot, depending on your point of view.

I think the win over the Packers was impressive. It was a mistake to view the Packers as a 9-8 teams at this stage of the season. Jordan Love had a 22 TDs to 1 INT run going, with the highest passer rating in the league over that span. Aaron Jones had 4 consecutive starts gaining over 100 yards with the highest YPC in the league for those 4 weeks. They were on a 7-2 run having beaten the Lions, Chiefs, and the Cowboys at Dallas, snapping their 17 game home win streak. It also gave Purdy the chance to get a 4th quarter come-from-behind win, which he's had few chances at because the Niners usually already have the lead. They held GB to 330 total yards when in their previous 4 games, GB had 415, 432, 470, and 369 yards. They held the Packers to 21 points when they'd averaged 33 points in their previous 4 games since Jones returned from injury.

The Lions don't have the better QB! That's not even close. He's played longer, but that's it. As far as having Super Bowl experience, if not for probably the worst no call penalty in NFL history against NO in the NFC Title game, he wouldn't have even been in the Super Bowl. His team scored 3 points in the Super Bowl, so I'm not sure how valuable that experience really is. Goff is not a top tier QB. Thats why the Rams had to trade Goff, a first round pick, and two 3rd round picks to acquire Stafford.  You're way off base with that.

@Jimmy_Cats

Do you have a play or take on the other matchup, KC +4/BAL -4? I have some Ravens spread (-3), Ravens teasers, as well as Chiefs spread (+3.5) and Chiefs teaser. From quantity perspective, my plays are heavier on Ravens.