SYSTEM HITS AGAIN THANKSGIVING NIGHT WITH THE JETS PLAY. SYSTEM IS NOW AN AMAZING 12-4!!!!! Here a run down of this weeks system plays:
NYG vs.Jax
My line : NYG -7
Actual Line: NYG -7.
On the nose. NO PLAY
Ten vs. Houston
My line: Houston -7
Actual line: Houston -6.5
NO PLAY
Car vs Cleveland
My line: Cleveland -7
Actual Line: Cleveland -10
Play: I hate this. No way do I feel that Cleveland should lay ten to anyone. But the system hasn't failed often.
Min vs Wash
My line : Min +2.5
Actual line: Min +1
Play: I believe every system play thus far has been based on opening line and because this one is moving....it might become a play. If it goes to even...I might play it just to see if it works out in the system.
GB vs Atl
My line: GB +2.5
Actual line: GB +1
Play: Exact situation as last game. If it moves to even...I might play it as a system play of Falcons to see if the system works with line movement. Not to mention Ryan's home record.
Pitt vs Buffalo
My line: Buffalo +7
Actual line: Pitt -6
Play: Theres no system play here obviously but I have a strong lean on Buffalo here with momentum and the spread being less than the TD.
Stl vs Den
My line: den -3.5
Actual line: den-4
play: NO PLAY
Baltimore vs TB
My line: Balt -6.5
Actual line: Balt -9
Play: Baltimore is the play the system says
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SYSTEM HITS AGAIN THANKSGIVING NIGHT WITH THE JETS PLAY. SYSTEM IS NOW AN AMAZING 12-4!!!!! Here a run down of this weeks system plays:
NYG vs.Jax
My line : NYG -7
Actual Line: NYG -7.
On the nose. NO PLAY
Ten vs. Houston
My line: Houston -7
Actual line: Houston -6.5
NO PLAY
Car vs Cleveland
My line: Cleveland -7
Actual Line: Cleveland -10
Play: I hate this. No way do I feel that Cleveland should lay ten to anyone. But the system hasn't failed often.
Min vs Wash
My line : Min +2.5
Actual line: Min +1
Play: I believe every system play thus far has been based on opening line and because this one is moving....it might become a play. If it goes to even...I might play it just to see if it works out in the system.
GB vs Atl
My line: GB +2.5
Actual line: GB +1
Play: Exact situation as last game. If it moves to even...I might play it as a system play of Falcons to see if the system works with line movement. Not to mention Ryan's home record.
Pitt vs Buffalo
My line: Buffalo +7
Actual line: Pitt -6
Play: Theres no system play here obviously but I have a strong lean on Buffalo here with momentum and the spread being less than the TD.
Play: System says
no Play...but I see a nice spot here for Chicago personally.
Sd vs Indy
My line: Indy-3.5
Actual line: Indy
-3
Play: No system
play here. But with the hook not being there and Peyton being 6-7 ATS
after a loss in the past 6 years...i kinda lean towards SD here
Sf vs Arizona
My line: Arizona
+1
Actual line: Zona
+1
Play: NO PLAY.
So to cap it off .
Only 3 system plays this week. Jets ...Baltimore...and
Cleveland. Hate that the system gave me 3 favorites after a an all FAVE
week...but have to listen. Possible system plays depending on line
movement: WASH and ATL. Non system Leans (which are great fade material)
SD, CHI, BUFFALO.
BOL TO ALL
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Kc vs Sea
My line: Sea +2.5
Actual line: Sea
+1
Play: No Play
Philly at Chicago
My line: Chicago
+4
Actual line:
Chicago +3.5
Play: System says
no Play...but I see a nice spot here for Chicago personally.
Sd vs Indy
My line: Indy-3.5
Actual line: Indy
-3
Play: No system
play here. But with the hook not being there and Peyton being 6-7 ATS
after a loss in the past 6 years...i kinda lean towards SD here
Sf vs Arizona
My line: Arizona
+1
Actual line: Zona
+1
Play: NO PLAY.
So to cap it off .
Only 3 system plays this week. Jets ...Baltimore...and
Cleveland. Hate that the system gave me 3 favorites after a an all FAVE
week...but have to listen. Possible system plays depending on line
movement: WASH and ATL. Non system Leans (which are great fade material)
SD, CHI, BUFFALO.
No that the Baltimore line has dropped to 7.5 it does not fall under the system anymore. It will still be a play for me but will not be kept on the systems record. And i apologize, I made a mistake on what might turn into system plays. If either the Atl or Wash lines go to even...GB and MIN will actually become the plays instead of Atl and Wash as previously stated. Sorry..lack of sleep lately. However, I dont see that line movement happening...just wanted to clarify. So as far as tomorrow goes ..it Looks like Cleveland will be the only system play unless the Balt line goes back..or either of those two line go to even.
System is 12-4.
Ill be updating non-system plays in the morning
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No that the Baltimore line has dropped to 7.5 it does not fall under the system anymore. It will still be a play for me but will not be kept on the systems record. And i apologize, I made a mistake on what might turn into system plays. If either the Atl or Wash lines go to even...GB and MIN will actually become the plays instead of Atl and Wash as previously stated. Sorry..lack of sleep lately. However, I dont see that line movement happening...just wanted to clarify. So as far as tomorrow goes ..it Looks like Cleveland will be the only system play unless the Balt line goes back..or either of those two line go to even.
The system would say that the Vikings would be the play with that kind of movement. But I dont like WHY the line moved. the line was made before the coaching change and therefore the change in line. Im not going to make it a system play. NO PLAY FOR ME
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The system would say that the Vikings would be the play with that kind of movement. But I dont like WHY the line moved. the line was made before the coaching change and therefore the change in line. Im not going to make it a system play. NO PLAY FOR ME
I'm confused as to which games you are playing, and which games the system says to play? Just ut of curiosity what is your record when not using the system?
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I'm confused as to which games you are playing, and which games the system says to play? Just ut of curiosity what is your record when not using the system?
@mcwarner.. i have not kept track of my non system plays..but id venture to guess they are not much better than 50% i would be more than willing to admit. But the system is now 12-4. And if you are confused...the only plays this week are the Jets(winner)..and the browns(pending). Baltimore was a system play before the line movement before the line movement. it will still be a play. all plays will be listed before one...but yes..i would only follow system plays.
@dualcool.
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@mcwarner.. i have not kept track of my non system plays..but id venture to guess they are not much better than 50% i would be more than willing to admit. But the system is now 12-4. And if you are confused...the only plays this week are the Jets(winner)..and the browns(pending). Baltimore was a system play before the line movement before the line movement. it will still be a play. all plays will be listed before one...but yes..i would only follow system plays.
Interesting System,... I'll check out the cleveland game,...
BOL Louie
I agree, interesting system. I also make guesses before the lines come out but look for value in relation to the line I put out in my head. Like I thought the Falcons should have been -7.5 last week vs the Rams so I got on them at -3, and this week think the Rams should be +1 but got them at +5. etc.
But it seems like you are doing the opposite approach and trusting Vegas, which is definitely interesting, especially if you keep winning. It is cool that you are thinking of ways to beat the system and I wish you luck.
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Quote Originally Posted by dualcool:
Interesting System,... I'll check out the cleveland game,...
BOL Louie
I agree, interesting system. I also make guesses before the lines come out but look for value in relation to the line I put out in my head. Like I thought the Falcons should have been -7.5 last week vs the Rams so I got on them at -3, and this week think the Rams should be +1 but got them at +5. etc.
But it seems like you are doing the opposite approach and trusting Vegas, which is definitely interesting, especially if you keep winning. It is cool that you are thinking of ways to beat the system and I wish you luck.
I had the Rams last week as part of the system as well. It was one of the 4 losses over the past 3 weeks and if Bradford doesnt throw that pick..i think we were good
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I had the Rams last week as part of the system as well. It was one of the 4 losses over the past 3 weeks and if Bradford doesnt throw that pick..i think we were good
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