23-16-1 so far this year,
GB-2.5
NewOrl-7.5
Jets-6.5
Pitt-4
Den-5
I know they are all favorites and usually don't like to take a lot of faves,but it just so happens that these are the 5 games I like,so we will see what happens.
23-16-1 so far this year,
GB-2.5
NewOrl-7.5
Jets-6.5
Pitt-4
Den-5
I know they are all favorites and usually don't like to take a lot of faves,but it just so happens that these are the 5 games I like,so we will see what happens.
I can back from the 0-1 deficit of picking the Brownies, and pulled out the next 3 of 4, so I was 3-2 for the week.
Onward to just do the best I can. 20-23-2 (21 pts)
Will post picks later. By the way, I did a little analysis of last year's top 50 performers who used the same nickname this year - so it's probably pretty accurate unless a few stole others nicknames which I doubt - and I found that most of the top 50 from last year are modestly hovering around just a little above 50%! In fact, my modest little 21 points is better than or within 3 points of the 32 of the top 50 from last year. That tells me that repeating is very hard to do and there is indeed a huge element of random chance in this small sample of 85 games.
In fact, El Chingon (CH Ballers last year) has the same number of points as I do and a 21-24 record. What happened to that miraculous 76% success? Yes, it fell back or regressed to the mean as I predicted it would. Statistics justice!!! Misery loves company I guess ... but it gives us all hope to win this damn thing.
I can back from the 0-1 deficit of picking the Brownies, and pulled out the next 3 of 4, so I was 3-2 for the week.
Onward to just do the best I can. 20-23-2 (21 pts)
Will post picks later. By the way, I did a little analysis of last year's top 50 performers who used the same nickname this year - so it's probably pretty accurate unless a few stole others nicknames which I doubt - and I found that most of the top 50 from last year are modestly hovering around just a little above 50%! In fact, my modest little 21 points is better than or within 3 points of the 32 of the top 50 from last year. That tells me that repeating is very hard to do and there is indeed a huge element of random chance in this small sample of 85 games.
In fact, El Chingon (CH Ballers last year) has the same number of points as I do and a 21-24 record. What happened to that miraculous 76% success? Yes, it fell back or regressed to the mean as I predicted it would. Statistics justice!!! Misery loves company I guess ... but it gives us all hope to win this damn thing.
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