Agree with all. The so called experts love Cincy and Green Bay ! Would like your opinion on over/under on these games. I like 3 overs. KC and Buffalo under. This is for a pool All games Sides and totals all the way through the Superbowl! $500 a man. 12 guys - winner take all! I was 6-6 last week. Leader is 8-4. I was 2-4 on totals. Never bet them. Anyone else have any advise? Open for suggestions!
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Agree with all. The so called experts love Cincy and Green Bay ! Would like your opinion on over/under on these games. I like 3 overs. KC and Buffalo under. This is for a pool All games Sides and totals all the way through the Superbowl! $500 a man. 12 guys - winner take all! I was 6-6 last week. Leader is 8-4. I was 2-4 on totals. Never bet them. Anyone else have any advise? Open for suggestions!
Anyone have a Agree/Disagree opinion on this article?
I read this in an article I may or may not Hedge my Bengals/ Titans in another bet before the weekend
Bengals -Titans betting preview: Lay the points in Henry's potential return?
The AFC's No. 1 seed returns to action following a week off as the Tennessee Titans host the Cincinnati Bengals at Nissan Stadium. With Derrick Henry's potential return Saturday, and the line settling on Tennessee -3.5 after opening below a field goal, one question looms for this handicap: How valuable is Henry?
Although he has a combination of size, durability, and breakaway speed rarely seen before in the NFL, when it comes to betting markets, the answer is a long one.
The Titans opened as -2.5 point favorites Sunday night only to see money instantly come in to push the line through the key number of -3.
The reasoning is multifaceted, with the Titans having a week of rest, Henry's possible return, and the Bengals suffering a cluster of injuries on the defensive line on Wild Card Weekend.
Without all that, this game, which has settled at Titans -3.5, would be under a field goal. Don't believe me? Let's look at the closing line for Tennessee's home games post-Henry injury and what those lines imply about the Bengals.
Is anything in the third column true in your mind? If your answer is no, you can probably conclude that these closing lines suggest some combination of three things:
The Titans were undervalued without Henry
This weekend's 3.5-point spread either underrates the Bengals or overrates the Titans
The Bengals' defensive line injuries significantly impacted their rating, bringing them lower than the Dolphins or Saints
While all are possibly true, each point assumes the Titans are a better offense with Henry than without him. A negligible contributor in the passing game, Henry's value lies in what he does on the ground, where he averaged 27.3 carries per game before his injury.
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
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Anyone have a Agree/Disagree opinion on this article?
I read this in an article I may or may not Hedge my Bengals/ Titans in another bet before the weekend
Bengals -Titans betting preview: Lay the points in Henry's potential return?
The AFC's No. 1 seed returns to action following a week off as the Tennessee Titans host the Cincinnati Bengals at Nissan Stadium. With Derrick Henry's potential return Saturday, and the line settling on Tennessee -3.5 after opening below a field goal, one question looms for this handicap: How valuable is Henry?
Although he has a combination of size, durability, and breakaway speed rarely seen before in the NFL, when it comes to betting markets, the answer is a long one.
The Titans opened as -2.5 point favorites Sunday night only to see money instantly come in to push the line through the key number of -3.
The reasoning is multifaceted, with the Titans having a week of rest, Henry's possible return, and the Bengals suffering a cluster of injuries on the defensive line on Wild Card Weekend.
Without all that, this game, which has settled at Titans -3.5, would be under a field goal. Don't believe me? Let's look at the closing line for Tennessee's home games post-Henry injury and what those lines imply about the Bengals.
Is anything in the third column true in your mind? If your answer is no, you can probably conclude that these closing lines suggest some combination of three things:
The Titans were undervalued without Henry
This weekend's 3.5-point spread either underrates the Bengals or overrates the Titans
The Bengals' defensive line injuries significantly impacted their rating, bringing them lower than the Dolphins or Saints
While all are possibly true, each point assumes the Titans are a better offense with Henry than without him. A negligible contributor in the passing game, Henry's value lies in what he does on the ground, where he averaged 27.3 carries per game before his injury.
Here are the Titans' game-by-game rushing stats with Henry healthy:
In eight games with Henry, Tennessee's rushing attack averaged 149.3 yards and scored 10 touchdowns. After Henry's foot surgery, the Titans foolishly signed Adrian Peterson but turned to younger options three contests into that failed experiment.
Here's how their assortment of runners did in the final six games of the season:
It's a compliment to the Titans that whether or not they get Henry back - he was cleared for contact Tuesday - they'll be able to run the football because they almost always can. Henry's perceived added value comes from him doing the work of three mortals when healthy, and it's amazing to watch. However, the Titans are 4-3 this season when running for more than 175 yards. Ground success hasn't translated to wins and covers for Tennessee.
Here's how Tennessee's defense fared against the top 10 quarterbacks in that category:
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
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Here are the Titans' game-by-game rushing stats with Henry healthy:
In eight games with Henry, Tennessee's rushing attack averaged 149.3 yards and scored 10 touchdowns. After Henry's foot surgery, the Titans foolishly signed Adrian Peterson but turned to younger options three contests into that failed experiment.
Here's how their assortment of runners did in the final six games of the season:
It's a compliment to the Titans that whether or not they get Henry back - he was cleared for contact Tuesday - they'll be able to run the football because they almost always can. Henry's perceived added value comes from him doing the work of three mortals when healthy, and it's amazing to watch. However, the Titans are 4-3 this season when running for more than 175 yards. Ground success hasn't translated to wins and covers for Tennessee.
The Chiefs had an infamously strange effort in Week 7, and there were fewer things more painful to watch than the two interceptions Stafford threw on a Sunday night in Los Angeles.
The line move across the key number is based on the likelihood the Titans can run for big yardage against the Bengals and record a comfortable victory. The problem is expectations have increased, and with the Bengals getting over a field goal, it means a three-point Titans win turns a Tennessee bet from a win into a loss. And since the conservative Titans are content with playing out the game to secure a close win, the Bengals become more valuable.
Pick: Bengals +3.5
Matt Russell is a betting writer for theScore. If there's a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on Twitter @mrussauthentic.
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
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The Chiefs had an infamously strange effort in Week 7, and there were fewer things more painful to watch than the two interceptions Stafford threw on a Sunday night in Los Angeles.
The line move across the key number is based on the likelihood the Titans can run for big yardage against the Bengals and record a comfortable victory. The problem is expectations have increased, and with the Bengals getting over a field goal, it means a three-point Titans win turns a Tennessee bet from a win into a loss. And since the conservative Titans are content with playing out the game to secure a close win, the Bengals become more valuable.
Pick: Bengals +3.5
Matt Russell is a betting writer for theScore. If there's a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on Twitter @mrussauthentic.
I believe the Titans are a better team with Henry. Stats can be misleading though. Titans get little respect. Everyone talking about KC or Buffalo. I would not be shocked if the Titans go to and win the Superbowl. No I'm not from Tennessee. I'm a Browns fan.
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@Macwestie1
I believe the Titans are a better team with Henry. Stats can be misleading though. Titans get little respect. Everyone talking about KC or Buffalo. I would not be shocked if the Titans go to and win the Superbowl. No I'm not from Tennessee. I'm a Browns fan.
I’m already with you on all except Rams. I’ve gotta go with Brady til the NFC championship at least. Rams looked great but Arizona just sucked. BOL brotha!
1
@Macwestie1
I’m already with you on all except Rams. I’ve gotta go with Brady til the NFC championship at least. Rams looked great but Arizona just sucked. BOL brotha!
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