After three out of four favorites covered last weekend, seems like a dog is due for at least a cover (perhaps in the first one).
If the Pats and Ravens Dlines can't shutdown Henry, can the Chiefs? He ran on the Chiefs for 188 in week #10...why not this week? That Tenny Oline is playing fantastic...
I have Tenny futures but how can you hedge Chiefs moneyline at -330? I look for a close game...
0
After three out of four favorites covered last weekend, seems like a dog is due for at least a cover (perhaps in the first one).
If the Pats and Ravens Dlines can't shutdown Henry, can the Chiefs? He ran on the Chiefs for 188 in week #10...why not this week? That Tenny Oline is playing fantastic...
I have Tenny futures but how can you hedge Chiefs moneyline at -330? I look for a close game...
After three out of four favorites covered last weekend, seems like a dog is due for at least a cover (perhaps in the first one). If the Pats and Ravens Dlines can't shutdown Henry, can the Chiefs? He ran on the Chiefs for 188 in week #10...why not this week? That Tenny Oline is playing fantastic... I have Tenny futures but how can you hedge Chiefs moneyline at -330? I look for a close game...
i have the same futures on tenn. from what I read hope Tennessee scores first Or goes up a TD at some point and live bet to hedge. If not let it right right?
1
Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:
After three out of four favorites covered last weekend, seems like a dog is due for at least a cover (perhaps in the first one). If the Pats and Ravens Dlines can't shutdown Henry, can the Chiefs? He ran on the Chiefs for 188 in week #10...why not this week? That Tenny Oline is playing fantastic... I have Tenny futures but how can you hedge Chiefs moneyline at -330? I look for a close game...
i have the same futures on tenn. from what I read hope Tennessee scores first Or goes up a TD at some point and live bet to hedge. If not let it right right?
In Week 7 of the regular season, the 2-4 Tennessee Titans replaced quarterback Marcus Mariota with backup and veteran, Ryan Tannehill. As the four-team field gets set for the conference championship round this weekend, the Titans are now just two wins away from being one of the most improbable stories in NFL history.
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
1
Some Food for thought on an article I read:
NFL Super Bowl Odds:
Alex Kolodziej
In Week 7 of the regular season, the 2-4 Tennessee Titans replaced quarterback Marcus Mariota with backup and veteran, Ryan Tannehill. As the four-team field gets set for the conference championship round this weekend, the Titans are now just two wins away from being one of the most improbable stories in NFL history.
Nobody gave Tennessee much of a shot before the season. The Titans were as high as 80-1 to win the Super Bowl over the summer. With mainstays in the AFC such as Kansas City and New England, high-ceiling teams in Baltimore, Los Angeles, and Houston, and public attention all over Cleveland, Tennessee was an afterthought. Even when the Titans clinched a playoff spot in the final week of the season, they were given the worst odds on the board at 50-1. Following a win over the Patriots in Foxborough in the wild-card round and another impressive victory over No. 1 seed Baltimore away from home, the Titans are now right in the thick of things.
Tannehill, who was traded from Miami before subsequently signing a one-year deal, put up MVP-type numbers during the regular season once he replaced Mariota. He hasn't exploded on the stat sheet so far in the playoffs - he's posted a modest 160 passing yards over two games - but has gotten back-to-back brilliant performances from running back Derrick Henry. Meanwhile, the defense has surrendered just 25 points.49ers, Chiefs favored to move on.
Both the Titans and Packers are behind the eight ball heading into the weekend. The two clubs are currently 7.5-point underdogs before the market comes in and shapes the numbers. Green Bay and San Francisco met during the regular season, with the Niners' defense holding quarterback Aaron Rodgers and Co. to just 198 total yards in a 29-point drubbing. Tennessee got the better of KC in its Week 10 matchup, winning 35-32.
Prior to the playoffs, the Chiefs and 49ers had odds of 3-1 and 4-1, respectively. If all goes right this weekend, those two will meet at Hard Rock Stadium for the Super Bowl.
But given how the postseason's played out so far, nothing's a surefire lock.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKoIodziej.
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
0
Titans' odds history
Nobody gave Tennessee much of a shot before the season. The Titans were as high as 80-1 to win the Super Bowl over the summer. With mainstays in the AFC such as Kansas City and New England, high-ceiling teams in Baltimore, Los Angeles, and Houston, and public attention all over Cleveland, Tennessee was an afterthought. Even when the Titans clinched a playoff spot in the final week of the season, they were given the worst odds on the board at 50-1. Following a win over the Patriots in Foxborough in the wild-card round and another impressive victory over No. 1 seed Baltimore away from home, the Titans are now right in the thick of things.
Tannehill, who was traded from Miami before subsequently signing a one-year deal, put up MVP-type numbers during the regular season once he replaced Mariota. He hasn't exploded on the stat sheet so far in the playoffs - he's posted a modest 160 passing yards over two games - but has gotten back-to-back brilliant performances from running back Derrick Henry. Meanwhile, the defense has surrendered just 25 points.49ers, Chiefs favored to move on.
Both the Titans and Packers are behind the eight ball heading into the weekend. The two clubs are currently 7.5-point underdogs before the market comes in and shapes the numbers. Green Bay and San Francisco met during the regular season, with the Niners' defense holding quarterback Aaron Rodgers and Co. to just 198 total yards in a 29-point drubbing. Tennessee got the better of KC in its Week 10 matchup, winning 35-32.
Prior to the playoffs, the Chiefs and 49ers had odds of 3-1 and 4-1, respectively. If all goes right this weekend, those two will meet at Hard Rock Stadium for the Super Bowl.
But given how the postseason's played out so far, nothing's a surefire lock.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKoIodziej.
Both the Titans and Packers are behind the eight ball heading into the weekend. The two clubs are currently 7.5-point underdogs before the market comes in and shapes the numbers. Green Bay and San Francisco met during the regular season, with the Niners' defense holding quarterback Aaron Rodgers and Co. to just 198 total yards in a 29-point drubbing. Tennessee got the better of KC in its Week 10 matchup, winning 35-32.
Prior to the playoffs, the Chiefs and 49ers had odds of 3-1 and 4-1, respectively. If all goes right this weekend, those two will meet at Hard Rock Stadium for the Super Bowl.
But given how the postseason's played out so far, nothing's a surefire lock.
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
0
Correction:
49ers, Chiefs favored to move on.
Both the Titans and Packers are behind the eight ball heading into the weekend. The two clubs are currently 7.5-point underdogs before the market comes in and shapes the numbers. Green Bay and San Francisco met during the regular season, with the Niners' defense holding quarterback Aaron Rodgers and Co. to just 198 total yards in a 29-point drubbing. Tennessee got the better of KC in its Week 10 matchup, winning 35-32.
Prior to the playoffs, the Chiefs and 49ers had odds of 3-1 and 4-1, respectively. If all goes right this weekend, those two will meet at Hard Rock Stadium for the Super Bowl.
But given how the postseason's played out so far, nothing's a surefire lock.
More Food for thought on a article I read …. so pick your own Poison
NFC Championship Betting Preview: Don’t By into Rodgers as Trendy Dog
The Green Bay Packers will hope to get a better result against the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday than they did in their previous visit to Levi's Stadium this season, which ended in a 37-8 defeat.
The 49ers are in the NFC Championship Game for the first time since 2013, while the Packers' last appearance was in 2016, though San Francisco (2012) reached the Super Bowl more recently than Green Bay (2010).
Odds
49ers -7.5, 46
After opening at a touchdown, the line eventually crept up to 7.5 and has stayed firm, suggesting there's been no sharp money buying back on the Packers with the hook. The total crept up a point after opening at 45.
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
0
More Food for thought on a article I read …. so pick your own Poison
NFC Championship Betting Preview: Don’t By into Rodgers as Trendy Dog
The Green Bay Packers will hope to get a better result against the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday than they did in their previous visit to Levi's Stadium this season, which ended in a 37-8 defeat.
The 49ers are in the NFC Championship Game for the first time since 2013, while the Packers' last appearance was in 2016, though San Francisco (2012) reached the Super Bowl more recently than Green Bay (2010).
Odds
49ers -7.5, 46
After opening at a touchdown, the line eventually crept up to 7.5 and has stayed firm, suggesting there's been no sharp money buying back on the Packers with the hook. The total crept up a point after opening at 45.
As is pretty clearly indicated by the -7.5 spread, the gulf in quality between these teams is fairly large. But could it be even bigger than the line suggests?
The Packers were middling across the board this season. On offense, they ranked 17th in yards per play, 14th in points per game, and 19th on third downs. Defensively, they were gashed in terms of yards per play - 19th against the pass and 24th against the run. Almost every significant metric indicates Green Bay is an average football team that has likely overachieved by reaching the championship game.
The same can't be said of the 49ers, who earned the right to host by virtue of being the best team in the NFC. San Francisco ranked fifth on offense in yards per play and second in points per game, and gave up the fewest yards per play on defense. The 49ers also ranked first against the pass and among the league leaders in sacks, despite some key injuries.
But the public sees a 13-3 team led by Aaron Rodgers getting 7.5 points against Jimmy Garoppolo, and the consensus is to leave the points on the table and take the Packers outright.
Only five times in his career has Rodgers been an underdog of 7 or more points and he's 0-5 in those games.
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
0
Betting trends
As is pretty clearly indicated by the -7.5 spread, the gulf in quality between these teams is fairly large. But could it be even bigger than the line suggests?
The Packers were middling across the board this season. On offense, they ranked 17th in yards per play, 14th in points per game, and 19th on third downs. Defensively, they were gashed in terms of yards per play - 19th against the pass and 24th against the run. Almost every significant metric indicates Green Bay is an average football team that has likely overachieved by reaching the championship game.
The same can't be said of the 49ers, who earned the right to host by virtue of being the best team in the NFC. San Francisco ranked fifth on offense in yards per play and second in points per game, and gave up the fewest yards per play on defense. The 49ers also ranked first against the pass and among the league leaders in sacks, despite some key injuries.
But the public sees a 13-3 team led by Aaron Rodgers getting 7.5 points against Jimmy Garoppolo, and the consensus is to leave the points on the table and take the Packers outright.
Only five times in his career has Rodgers been an underdog of 7 or more points and he's 0-5 in those games.
Davante Adams had a monstrous outing against the Seattle Seahawks, roasting them for 160 yards and two touchdowns on eight catches, but the 49ers are a steep step up in competition from Tre Flowers. While Richard Sherman is likely to spend a lot of time on Adams, defensive coordinator Robert Saleh will devote plenty of bodies to containing the Packers' leading receiver. That shifts the pressure onto the rest of Green Bay's pass-catchers, making them our X-factor(s) in this game.
The Packers need one or two of Allen Lazard, Geronimo Allison, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, and Jimmy Graham to step up with Adams sure to receive blanket coverage. Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs, two of the most polished route-runners in the league, struggled to get any separation against this 49ers secondary.
If Green Bay's underwhelming group of pass-catchers fails to find space down the field, Rodgers is going to have a miserable night with that vaunted San Francisco front four in his face. He had just 104 passing yards at Levi's Stadium in November, by far his lowest output of the season.
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
0
X-factor
Davante Adams had a monstrous outing against the Seattle Seahawks, roasting them for 160 yards and two touchdowns on eight catches, but the 49ers are a steep step up in competition from Tre Flowers. While Richard Sherman is likely to spend a lot of time on Adams, defensive coordinator Robert Saleh will devote plenty of bodies to containing the Packers' leading receiver. That shifts the pressure onto the rest of Green Bay's pass-catchers, making them our X-factor(s) in this game.
The Packers need one or two of Allen Lazard, Geronimo Allison, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, and Jimmy Graham to step up with Adams sure to receive blanket coverage. Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs, two of the most polished route-runners in the league, struggled to get any separation against this 49ers secondary.
If Green Bay's underwhelming group of pass-catchers fails to find space down the field, Rodgers is going to have a miserable night with that vaunted San Francisco front four in his face. He had just 104 passing yards at Levi's Stadium in November, by far his lowest output of the season.
There's little doubt and lots of evidence that San Francisco is the superior football team. Expect the 49ers' ferocious defensive line to swarm Rodgers, never letting him get comfortable in the pocket, while Kyle Shanahan works his play-calling magic on offense as San Francisco comfortably punches its ticket to Miami.
Alex Moretto is a sports betting writer for theScore. A journalism graduate from Guelph-Humber University, he has worked in sports media for over a decade. He will bet on anything from the Super Bowl to amateur soccer, is too impatient for futures, and will never trust a kicker. Find him on Twitter @alexjmoretto.
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
0
Best bet
49ers -7.5
There's little doubt and lots of evidence that San Francisco is the superior football team. Expect the 49ers' ferocious defensive line to swarm Rodgers, never letting him get comfortable in the pocket, while Kyle Shanahan works his play-calling magic on offense as San Francisco comfortably punches its ticket to Miami.
Alex Moretto is a sports betting writer for theScore. A journalism graduate from Guelph-Humber University, he has worked in sports media for over a decade. He will bet on anything from the Super Bowl to amateur soccer, is too impatient for futures, and will never trust a kicker. Find him on Twitter @alexjmoretto.
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