Hey guy's I made a decent amount of money last season with 10 point teasers hitting my first 9 then 5 straight after that only lost 6 all season. So what im going to do is post all my 3 team 10 point teasers this year on Twitter. Your free to ride with me if you want or fade me if you so choose. You can follow me at,troubletone@twitter.com if you follow me ill be sure to follow you back. For anyone who is interested Im looking forward to discussing games and picks via twitter, predictions and so forth. I think this is a great way for those of us who are serious about NFL and CFB to keep eachother informed so we can all beat the bookie. Here's a sample of my first teaser going by the lines currently out GB+ 11, OAK+ 17, and MIA+ 7 $600 to win $500 could change by the start of the season but rightnow Im really likeing this. Later fellas and good luck on the season.
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Hey guy's I made a decent amount of money last season with 10 point teasers hitting my first 9 then 5 straight after that only lost 6 all season. So what im going to do is post all my 3 team 10 point teasers this year on Twitter. Your free to ride with me if you want or fade me if you so choose. You can follow me at,troubletone@twitter.com if you follow me ill be sure to follow you back. For anyone who is interested Im looking forward to discussing games and picks via twitter, predictions and so forth. I think this is a great way for those of us who are serious about NFL and CFB to keep eachother informed so we can all beat the bookie. Here's a sample of my first teaser going by the lines currently out GB+ 11, OAK+ 17, and MIA+ 7 $600 to win $500 could change by the start of the season but rightnow Im really likeing this. Later fellas and good luck on the season.
I do like these 10 pt teasers, decent pay-out, and you're not picking a actual winner. Like ATL+10, Miami +7 and Washington +13 or so, this way you can take Dallas if you're still playing to win both of them. I am making 2 parlays, those same 2 teams in both, then Wash in 1 and Dallas in 1
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I do like these 10 pt teasers, decent pay-out, and you're not picking a actual winner. Like ATL+10, Miami +7 and Washington +13 or so, this way you can take Dallas if you're still playing to win both of them. I am making 2 parlays, those same 2 teams in both, then Wash in 1 and Dallas in 1
Gotta find good spots with these, just like any bet. I usually like the double-digit underdogs and tacking 10-points onto them. Those dogs are usually inflated anyway, e.g. all the Patriots' opponents a couple seasons ago.
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Gotta find good spots with these, just like any bet. I usually like the double-digit underdogs and tacking 10-points onto them. Those dogs are usually inflated anyway, e.g. all the Patriots' opponents a couple seasons ago.
teasers are for fools! what is the matter buddy to scared to bet on the real line? needing 3 games to hit instead of one and you are laying more juice.
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teasers are for fools! what is the matter buddy to scared to bet on the real line? needing 3 games to hit instead of one and you are laying more juice.
teasers are for fools! what is the matter buddy to scared to bet on the real line? needing 3 games to hit instead of one and you are laying more juice.
To each his own but, Im a fool who made $9750 my on teasers alone, plus I dont strictly bet teasers I use 3 books one of which I bet strictly my teasers with because the juice is -120 intead of -130. Ill be looking to double the winnings this season. So goodluck even to the haters.
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Quote Originally Posted by Professional1:
teasers are for fools! what is the matter buddy to scared to bet on the real line? needing 3 games to hit instead of one and you are laying more juice.
To each his own but, Im a fool who made $9750 my on teasers alone, plus I dont strictly bet teasers I use 3 books one of which I bet strictly my teasers with because the juice is -120 intead of -130. Ill be looking to double the winnings this season. So goodluck even to the haters.
teasers are for fools! what is the matter buddy to scared to bet on the real line? needing 3 games to hit instead of one and you are laying more juice.
For being a "Professional" you surely can't be serious here. If you were, you'd know that many "professional" bettors love the 2-team, 6-point NFL teaser. Out of all non straight wager plays, the books lose the most off of this bet type. For example, taking a 7-point dog and giving him 13 or a 7-point favorite down to a -1 pick 'em is a powerful tool to use in the right spots.
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Quote Originally Posted by Professional1:
teasers are for fools! what is the matter buddy to scared to bet on the real line? needing 3 games to hit instead of one and you are laying more juice.
For being a "Professional" you surely can't be serious here. If you were, you'd know that many "professional" bettors love the 2-team, 6-point NFL teaser. Out of all non straight wager plays, the books lose the most off of this bet type. For example, taking a 7-point dog and giving him 13 or a 7-point favorite down to a -1 pick 'em is a powerful tool to use in the right spots.
For being a "Professional" you surely can't be serious here. If you were, you'd know that many "professional" bettors love the 2-team, 6-point NFL teaser. Out of all non straight wager plays, the books lose the most off of this bet type. For example, taking a 7-point dog and giving him 13 or a 7-point favorite down to a -1 pick 'em is a powerful tool to use in the right spots.
thats a horrible bet. you get better lines and better odds by doing a two team money line parlay instead of teasing 2 favorites down from -7 to -1
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Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:
For being a "Professional" you surely can't be serious here. If you were, you'd know that many "professional" bettors love the 2-team, 6-point NFL teaser. Out of all non straight wager plays, the books lose the most off of this bet type. For example, taking a 7-point dog and giving him 13 or a 7-point favorite down to a -1 pick 'em is a powerful tool to use in the right spots.
thats a horrible bet. you get better lines and better odds by doing a two team money line parlay instead of teasing 2 favorites down from -7 to -1
thats a horrible bet. you get better lines and better odds by doing a two team money line parlay instead of teasing 2 favorites down from -7 to -1
Your wrong if you take two 7pt favorites on a moneyline parlay, team A will be roughly -325, team B is also -325 if you wager $500 you will get back roughly $888 which is a $388 profit take those same two teams on a 6pt teaser wagering $500 you will get back 954 a profit of $454 not a huge difference but definately not better odds.
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Quote Originally Posted by michael550:
thats a horrible bet. you get better lines and better odds by doing a two team money line parlay instead of teasing 2 favorites down from -7 to -1
Your wrong if you take two 7pt favorites on a moneyline parlay, team A will be roughly -325, team B is also -325 if you wager $500 you will get back roughly $888 which is a $388 profit take those same two teams on a 6pt teaser wagering $500 you will get back 954 a profit of $454 not a huge difference but definately not better odds.
thats a horrible bet. you get better lines and better odds by doing a two team money line parlay instead of teasing 2 favorites down from -7 to -1
My example was just that, an example. 2-team, 6-point teasers can be applied to any line you feel have value, even totals, but most often applied to gamelines, not totals.
And yes, Raidr4life is right, ML'ing two 7-point favs will not bring back as much as teasing them down 6. Besides, in my example, I teased one up to 13.
Don't bash it. Give it a look this season. I have won more than I have lost with this strategy. You can normally always find two team lines you like a week for the NFL. Add the 6-points onto them and make them sweeter. Sure, you can also just parlay the two lines without teasing, but the added security of the 6 points greatly reduces mooses and the house advantage.
Try it this season and see how it works for you. BTW...don't cross zero with this strategy.
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Quote Originally Posted by michael550:
thats a horrible bet. you get better lines and better odds by doing a two team money line parlay instead of teasing 2 favorites down from -7 to -1
My example was just that, an example. 2-team, 6-point teasers can be applied to any line you feel have value, even totals, but most often applied to gamelines, not totals.
And yes, Raidr4life is right, ML'ing two 7-point favs will not bring back as much as teasing them down 6. Besides, in my example, I teased one up to 13.
Don't bash it. Give it a look this season. I have won more than I have lost with this strategy. You can normally always find two team lines you like a week for the NFL. Add the 6-points onto them and make them sweeter. Sure, you can also just parlay the two lines without teasing, but the added security of the 6 points greatly reduces mooses and the house advantage.
Try it this season and see how it works for you. BTW...don't cross zero with this strategy.
And yes, Raidr4life is right, ML'ing two 7-point favs will not bring back as much as teasing them down 6. Besides, in my example, I teased one up to 13.
Exactly you can add points to the underdog which can give you a real advantage in tight division rivalry games.
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Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:
And yes, Raidr4life is right, ML'ing two 7-point favs will not bring back as much as teasing them down 6. Besides, in my example, I teased one up to 13.
Exactly you can add points to the underdog which can give you a real advantage in tight division rivalry games.
teasers are for fools! what is the matter buddy to scared to bet on the real line? needing 3 games to hit instead of one and you are laying more juice.
why do people on this site feel the need to mock somebody else's system? If it works for the guy, good for him.
I do the occasional 3 teamer and a lot of times they are laughers because I tend to do the "overs" for the games. A lot of times they hit it by halftime or early in the 3rd.
Of course if they were that easy, everyone would be doing it on a regular basis and making tons of money. But of course we all know there is no bullet proof system.............
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Quote Originally Posted by Professional1:
teasers are for fools! what is the matter buddy to scared to bet on the real line? needing 3 games to hit instead of one and you are laying more juice.
why do people on this site feel the need to mock somebody else's system? If it works for the guy, good for him.
I do the occasional 3 teamer and a lot of times they are laughers because I tend to do the "overs" for the games. A lot of times they hit it by halftime or early in the 3rd.
Of course if they were that easy, everyone would be doing it on a regular basis and making tons of money. But of course we all know there is no bullet proof system.............
I play a lot of teasers and have been very successful with them, however I would never tease a line of say +4 to +14, because at my book, and most books, the push is a loss. So you have to hope that line goes to +4.5 to bet it up to +14.5, otherwise, find another game.
I tend to bet lines rather than teams too.
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I play a lot of teasers and have been very successful with them, however I would never tease a line of say +4 to +14, because at my book, and most books, the push is a loss. So you have to hope that line goes to +4.5 to bet it up to +14.5, otherwise, find another game.
I am a fan of 10-point pleasers, and it's always interesting to hear your opponent's thought process.
I'm a little surprised that no one mentioned magic numbers. Of course, it's kind of hard not to cross any magic numbers with a 10-point teaser. It can be done, though, and it does make a difference--on average.
On average, 23% of NFL games end up >10 points from the line in a particular direction. Thus a 10-point teaser will win ~77% (per team) of the time if you pick games at random. For a 3-team 10-pointer, you'll win 46% of the time. If you're book pays out -120, you'll need to hit 55% of the time. You need to make up that difference with handicapping. I'm sure there are people who are capable of this, but it's a much steeper uphill battle than laying -105, or even -110 on the good-old 0-point teaser.
By using magic numbers, you can make up most of that ground. For example, if the line is between -4 and -5.5, a 10-point teaser on the favorite will hit 82% of the time. At 82% per game, your chances of hitting 3 out of 3 are 55%--exactly what you need to break even on average without handicapping at all. Thus by restricting your 3-team 10-point teaser picks to games with a line of 4.5, you lower the bar you need to clear with your handicapping to nothing.
I realize that this is an impractical example, because you're not going to find three games with 4 to 5.5-point lines most weeks in the NFL. You certainly won't find 3 sides you like within that range of spreads on any given week. However, this analysis can be extended to other point spreads, as well. The bottom line is that the margin of victory is going to be 3 or 7 a lot more frequently than any other number. Using this to your advantage will make your handicapping a whole lot easier.
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Thanks for the thread, guys.
I am a fan of 10-point pleasers, and it's always interesting to hear your opponent's thought process.
I'm a little surprised that no one mentioned magic numbers. Of course, it's kind of hard not to cross any magic numbers with a 10-point teaser. It can be done, though, and it does make a difference--on average.
On average, 23% of NFL games end up >10 points from the line in a particular direction. Thus a 10-point teaser will win ~77% (per team) of the time if you pick games at random. For a 3-team 10-pointer, you'll win 46% of the time. If you're book pays out -120, you'll need to hit 55% of the time. You need to make up that difference with handicapping. I'm sure there are people who are capable of this, but it's a much steeper uphill battle than laying -105, or even -110 on the good-old 0-point teaser.
By using magic numbers, you can make up most of that ground. For example, if the line is between -4 and -5.5, a 10-point teaser on the favorite will hit 82% of the time. At 82% per game, your chances of hitting 3 out of 3 are 55%--exactly what you need to break even on average without handicapping at all. Thus by restricting your 3-team 10-point teaser picks to games with a line of 4.5, you lower the bar you need to clear with your handicapping to nothing.
I realize that this is an impractical example, because you're not going to find three games with 4 to 5.5-point lines most weeks in the NFL. You certainly won't find 3 sides you like within that range of spreads on any given week. However, this analysis can be extended to other point spreads, as well. The bottom line is that the margin of victory is going to be 3 or 7 a lot more frequently than any other number. Using this to your advantage will make your handicapping a whole lot easier.
6-point pleasers on 3 or 4-point dogs are awesome.
If you think the +3 or +4 dog wins the the game outright, and you can find two of them.......please it to -3 or -2 and if they win by 3 or 4....you cash in on +500 or +600.
As with anything, find the right situation, the right spot....for the proper value.
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6-point pleasers on 3 or 4-point dogs are awesome.
If you think the +3 or +4 dog wins the the game outright, and you can find two of them.......please it to -3 or -2 and if they win by 3 or 4....you cash in on +500 or +600.
As with anything, find the right situation, the right spot....for the proper value.
6-point pleasers on 3 or 4-point dogs are awesome.
If you think the +3 or +4 dog wins the the game outright, and you can find two of them.......please it to -3 or -2 and if they win by 3 or 4....you cash in on +500 or +600.
As with anything, find the right situation, the right spot....for the proper value.
pleasers
you are better off putting your dogs on money line parlay...
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Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:
6-point pleasers on 3 or 4-point dogs are awesome.
If you think the +3 or +4 dog wins the the game outright, and you can find two of them.......please it to -3 or -2 and if they win by 3 or 4....you cash in on +500 or +600.
As with anything, find the right situation, the right spot....for the proper value.
pleasers
you are better off putting your dogs on money line parlay...
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needing 3 games to hit instead of one and you are laying more juice. 
So goodluck even to the haters.
If it works for the guy, good for him. 
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