Maybe an interesting topic, maybe not

I play money lines, that's all I do. How many of you guys think all 4 favorites will win? Wild card weekend, favorites were 4 - 2. I personally think favorites will go 3- 1 this weekend. But of course, which one will make it through. Actually, I'm going with Dallas. A few reasons, they are playing good football, I don't think all 4 favorites will win and advance, and I don't see KC, Buffalo, or the Eagles losing. But it's almost guaranteed, 1 underdog will move on. Let's have your thoughts? Or not your thoughts? Just thought I'd bring it up for you guys to chit chat about. 

txrangers name says it all

I would like to see the Jaguars win but I just don't think it's possible, everyone seems to be liking dallas

dallas is playing good football, they beat a terrible team, they got smoked by the commanders, niners are the hottest team, they destroyed the commanders, i see kc winning, i could easily see cincy winning and if hurts is hurt  i could see giants winning

@TxRangers

I agree with you on Dallas being the potential upset winner. I see Big D physically able to shutdown the 49er run and force the rook to beat them in the air. Be an intriguing piece of the puzzle to watch. If the Dallas D brings its 'A' game and puts pressure on Purdy we might see a meltdown. 

The two surest victors in the divisionals are KC and Philadelphia but I am still up in the air about Buffalo/Cincy. 

BOL 

I could see Cincy and Dallas possibly winning. Finally Brock Purdy making a few mistakes? Probably against an elite defensive line compared to recent competition. Also, Josh Allen has not been playing the best football, at all! A lot of fumbles and interceptions the last few games. He got sacked 7 times vs Miami, and he’s not running the ball. If Cincy o-line plays average with those guys out. Cincy wins. 

I think Maholmes has a field day against Jags pass defense. G-men have momentum but I think they’ll lose. My selections would be Dallas and Bengals if I had to narrow it down. 

@TxRangers

 I like your thinking but ... Dallas will be playing on Grass on a short week against the top Defence. If you call it an upset (I don't) I would recommend taking Joe Cool and Cincinnati as a winning Dog. Is you saw the Damar Hamlin game, you saw that the Bengals had Buffalos number. Just saying !!!

Eagles are the one in trouble.  It's a divisional game.  Those are the ones who have a higher chance of upset.  Look at miami/bills raven/cincy commanders/dallas.

If jalen didn't get hurt.  If Eagles had a complete football team.  They shouldn't of lost every game without him.  Yes he back but not as healthy as he was before the injury.

Since 1975 both 1 seed has made the superbowl 8 times.

The last time both 1 seed played in the superbowl was 1993.

I like Niners & Chiefs to the Super Bowl.

i do have a Bills Super Bowl future for +600. Without Brian Dabol, Allen has regressed. I brought up Jerome Tang and Baylor, how KSU is doing so well and Baylor has regressed without Tang. I can make the same case for Dabol. Allen is just playing hero ball and the O Cord is allowing it. Cincy has the best WR core in the playoffs and that is a Bills weakness. Miami would have won the game if Jaylen Waddle had shown up. His drops were just unacceptable for a pro in the playoffs and the Bills only won by 3. Bengals are reigning AFC Champs and they are mad about the situation. So they will go on the road and give my Bills a damn good game and will probably win SU   

I think both Cincy and GMen are live dogs. Everyone keeps forgetting that the Bills secondary was decimated before Hamlin went down. The fact that he isn’t playing is bad as I think the emotion surrounding the incident in past everyone now he is okay.  

@TxRangers

 I believe the Bengals are better then Buffalo. Even with every lineman out injured. 

There is no way I could back Buffalo right now.  Cincy O-Line is banged up and the Bills have a solid front, but the decisions by Josh Allen are risky.  Burrow is no slouch, Cincy didnt look great vs Baltimore back up QB either but Burrow plays with more poise than Allen.

Had Tua been playing, Miami wins that game last weekend.

As far as "The fix",  I would expect NY to get the calls from the refs, they are the loveable losers and a feel good story for the NFL.  Even if they lose to the Eagles, we just cant see the Cowboys in the Super Bowl.  Hopefully they lose this weekend, Coach is fired, Payton moves in, Quinn goes to Denver and Kellen Moore goes to Carolina.

Good luck with your strategy, there is just too much parity for me to ride along.

finally, we are getting some good insight in the gambling world and these games. Thank you guys for the excellent posts. I can tell you aren't some of these kids on this website who claims every game is fixed just because they lose their $10 bet. Good info about the last time both #1seeds played in the super bowl was 1993. Like I mentioned, it's almost guaranteed an underdog will break through. And most likely a #1 seed will lose this weekend or next. 

I like how you think. Good psychological insights. 

Was going to do a post on it, but quite frankly, this forum aint worth divulging the info.

Note taken though.  Is one not amazed at how many handicappers on Covers are playing with teasers and parlays, many their best bets, and largest guarantees this year.  Just look around and take in all the exotic play on this forum.

Take into account, less then 5% on this forum even know there is a whole new playbook, and well, things are setting up like a house of cards for a huge handle of money to come burning to the ground.  The experts most certainly have an IED buried somewhere,  dont try to predict which one, use back door algebra and my mirror concept, and the House is giving away the outcomes.
This is how I am clipping at a better then 80% clip.   Totals have been my huge downfall for the last 5-6 weeks (ncaa too)
or that win % would be 90%.

Behavioral betting patterns crossed by predictive outcome models.  = high win % probability.   

Post your plays this week-end and show you can hit 3-1

... or that win percentage would be 90% - LMAO

Another easy money line win for me!!! And believe me, there are more money line wins coming for me this weekend