MONDAY GIFT

(NFL/SOCCER): 12-2-1 ATS (BEFORE anyone questions, I miscalculated the record last night forgot to add in the last winning play)

Last monday was dreadful, not a gift at ALL.  So I'm hoping to kick off the week on the heels of the 5-1 NFL weekend with another winning play.  But before I do so, I want to share a fun fact and one that has brought me joy over the past couple hours.  I own 5000 shares of TESLA stock which i purchased a couple years back.  Today, as I have been stating to whomever will listen, my rhetoric became a reality as the company was (finally) included in the S&P 500.  That has pushed the TSLA share price up over 50 points in After Hours trading to $460/share.  Just something to get my juices going and fuel the following analysis:

UNDER 45 (MIN/CHI):  I'm going to begin with the obvious; how anyone can take the OVER in this game when Chicago has a track record of barely scoring throughout the year is, to say the least, baffling.  Winds are gusty tonight and Chicago has more problems than just Minnesota, they have Covid on their hands.  It's still not entirely clear who plays on the offensive line and, if the starters are all suiting up, how effective they are with little to no practice time.  Moreover, David Montgomery is missing (no Tarik Cohen let's not forget) and I don't think Foles will have enough time with the aforementioned O-line issues to pick apart the Minnesota secondary.  OH, and lastly, Nagy is no longer handling play calls....good or bad thing?  Not sure I really want to find out.  On the other side of the ball, Minnesota has found success getting back to the basics and relying on Dalvin Cook.  But the Bears have been stout against RB's, giving up few TD's to the position, and that might force Kirk Cousins to throw more.  Yes, he has Jefferson and Thielen as receivers, as well as Kyle Rudolph.  But that's NOT what got Minnesota this brief 2 game winning streak and forcing Cousins to beat you is EXACTLY what the Bears want.  So, to recap, the Bears can't run b/c they have no RB, have a "shaky" offensive line, and a mistake prone QB while Minnesota WANTS to run, which is the Bears D strength, and has a QB incapable of shouldering the entire game to victory.  Yeah, I see UNDER.

Hope this helps, looking to keep crushing, I heard on VSin today that Vegas cleaned up.  Funny, because at 5-1 ATS I think we cleaned up as well.  Not to mention the ONE loss was by a mere 1/2 point b/c Philly went for 2 in the 3rd quarter vs kicking an extra point to make it a 3 point difference vs. a 2 point difference.  Very odd indeed.  But who knows, maybe this is a good thread to follow ???????.

As always, keep things constructive, tail or fade, good luck to all...

Good luck LA! Your thread is a must read for me!

Thank You for another great write up and picks.

Congrats on owing 5000 worth of Tesla stocks. I did own 10 shares' couldnt handle the up and down. Sold it at 420 couple of weeks ago. Lol

Took all that money and bought Nio. Double my money so far.

Great hit on the Tesla stock

haha yeah and thanks...the odd thing is I want to win tonight more than I care about TSLA, especially at the given moment.

You made out nice whenever it spilt (4to1) abt a month/or so ago.  

here's another CRAZY story...i had a BUY in for NIO at $2.94/share some months back.  i ended up getting this other stock before my order for NIO came in which i did well on, and sold.  i think I grabbed a $15k profit over two weeks, something like that.  certainly nothing like the returns I'd have if I had bought and held NIO.

so all that to say, good move in rotating the money.  lots of people in NIO now and I just can't bring myself to buying it at $48/share after the story I just told you.  eyeing FCEL though which has gained some momentum at $4/share and I think can double by years end given the alternative energy space and the massive upside it has potential for.

LAG,

Congrats on Tesla! 

I like the under as well tonight and probably will take minn 1st half.

I’ve been burned by not buying the hook a few times this year. What are your thoughts on buying the half point.

Love the call! Gl tonight 

@LAGameofInches

 Look into $ACI undervalued stock! My price target is $25 great buy under $16. 

Congrats on TSLA investment 

GL 

@WhatThePho

 Nice . Also got 102 of nio,67 of xpev and electramec 

I agree. Huge on the under. Also huge on Bears. Kousins doesn't get his 1st Monday night victory tonight. He goes to 0-10.

sorry for the delay.  thanks for all the positive comments.  to answer your question, in the NFL, i will ALWAYS buy the hook after yesterday.  these games are so tight, you saw it with Chubb going out of bounds and the Cards not taking an extra point, both affected by a half point.

and let's not mention the OVER in the PHI/NYG game which was my only loss...by the HOOK!

Thanks 

Solid game.  Just as predicted in the analysis.

UNDER 44.5 (MIN/CHI) W

Record: 13-2-1 (NFL/Soccer)

I made a nice ransom as I have all weekend.  Going to roll it into a SOCCER game tomorrow.  I'm playing it, and you should as well.

FRANCE (-175):  If you don't normally bet soccer, these are somewhat "short" odds for a favorite, especially the magnitude of France.  They are at home, playing against a team in Sweden who has lost EIGHT straight to France with their last victory in 1952!  Now France return home after having beaten Portugal away and claiming the top spot in the UEFA Nations League.  But they are still going to perform at home where they lost in a shock defeat to Finland last week and will want to avenge that.  Even if France doesn't start their top 11, the caliber and quality of the next 11 is still far superior for this Swedish team.  France will rock and roll to victory at home.

As always, tail or fade, good luck to all....

Lagame thanks.  I playing religiously your picks your insights is fresh.  Lets get on a roll in college.   Those picks were really tough.  But you win some you lose some.  Bol

Thanks again for you insights!

@LAGameofInches

 Great capping!  Just a sincere question before I jump on France.  I know Sweden has something to play for in this match, does France?  You don't need to explain, just wondering as I am still going to tail.  It's -165 for me.

 under

great run so far..best of luck to stay rolling.

Great call again Sir.  

they're playing at home.  they are going to win just b/c they will have guys who are always vying for spots on the French National Team for the Euro and World Cup.

@LAGameofInches

 Nice finish to the week LA. Love the soccer play will be on France also!