Oh my previous statement, maybe not a easy win, i know past games are no real indication of upcoming ones, but damn, colts struggle to get a win against chargers. LOL. They need to bring it, or they gonna lose.
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Oh my previous statement, maybe not a easy win, i know past games are no real indication of upcoming ones, but damn, colts struggle to get a win against chargers. LOL. They need to bring it, or they gonna lose.
I do not understand why the line isint at least +3 san diego, plus the public being all over this game makes me want to take san diego, but Luck never plays bad, the chargers have a terrible pass defense, a tough time blocking mathis and San Diego doesnt have a running game... it seems like this is going to be an easy indy win but bc of the line I have to go with San Diego.... it would be nice to know if the sd oline will be starting
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I do not understand why the line isint at least +3 san diego, plus the public being all over this game makes me want to take san diego, but Luck never plays bad, the chargers have a terrible pass defense, a tough time blocking mathis and San Diego doesnt have a running game... it seems like this is going to be an easy indy win but bc of the line I have to go with San Diego.... it would be nice to know if the sd oline will be starting
It's hilarious when people place wages on the simple trend of "Fading The Public"...
Any successful gamblers understand it's much more complex than that. Just like if you were going to invest in a stock of a major company, you would do your DD and read up on the companies financials, sales, dividends, P/S, EPS, etc.... You don't say, the whole public is buying it so that means its a SELL. Or you don't sell the stock saying the company is focusing on the next Quarter and not looking at the task at hand..
It's all nonsense. I'm actually on the COLTS tonight as my largest play of the week. I like anyone on any given day, even the professionals, can be wrong on any given night, but at least I have a strong case as to why I'm investing in the COLTS over the CHARGERS tonight.
The Chargers have lost to the following teams this year: Houston Texans, Tennessee Titans, Oakland Raiders, and just barely beat the Eagles by 3 points. That is not a great resume at all. Also beating the Cowboys is not an impressive thing to me. Now, on the other side of the ball you have the Colts.
Colts have beaten the Seahawks, SF 49ers, crushed the jaguars like a great team should (denver had trouble doing that), and the Raiders (the team that beat the Chargers already)..
When betting, do your HW and put your investment on the spread you think would hit most if it the game was played 10 times. Colts all the way baby!
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It's hilarious when people place wages on the simple trend of "Fading The Public"...
Any successful gamblers understand it's much more complex than that. Just like if you were going to invest in a stock of a major company, you would do your DD and read up on the companies financials, sales, dividends, P/S, EPS, etc.... You don't say, the whole public is buying it so that means its a SELL. Or you don't sell the stock saying the company is focusing on the next Quarter and not looking at the task at hand..
It's all nonsense. I'm actually on the COLTS tonight as my largest play of the week. I like anyone on any given day, even the professionals, can be wrong on any given night, but at least I have a strong case as to why I'm investing in the COLTS over the CHARGERS tonight.
The Chargers have lost to the following teams this year: Houston Texans, Tennessee Titans, Oakland Raiders, and just barely beat the Eagles by 3 points. That is not a great resume at all. Also beating the Cowboys is not an impressive thing to me. Now, on the other side of the ball you have the Colts.
Colts have beaten the Seahawks, SF 49ers, crushed the jaguars like a great team should (denver had trouble doing that), and the Raiders (the team that beat the Chargers already)..
When betting, do your HW and put your investment on the spread you think would hit most if it the game was played 10 times. Colts all the way baby!
COLTS ARE BEING HAMMERED AT 72% AND UP AT EVERY SPORTSBOOK. THE LINE HAS LINGERED AROUND A PK TO 2 AND THAT WITH VARIOUS OPENING LINES. NO BOOK HAS MOVED THE LINE MORE THAN A .5 POINT ALL WEEKEND.
CHARGERS WIN 31-21
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COLTS ARE BEING HAMMERED AT 72% AND UP AT EVERY SPORTSBOOK. THE LINE HAS LINGERED AROUND A PK TO 2 AND THAT WITH VARIOUS OPENING LINES. NO BOOK HAS MOVED THE LINE MORE THAN A .5 POINT ALL WEEKEND.
My angle is to fade Covers posters who lie about their record.
All in on Colts.
Haha What a sad life you live if you have the time to follow and then double check the record of different people!! I have followed him since I found him looking for idiots, he is only guy I have found who bets like me. I don't give a F if he says he is 143-2 as long as he keeps finding games I missed or confirming games I am on the wall about. Also, does your username mean you suck c*ck?? Oh, you are a woman?? Hmm so a butt pirate or homely woman haha. Whatever.
Hate to break it to the other dumb as*, lines move and not every site or book has the same line. I have 2- with one guy and 1 with another. That is why people like me like to middle games, went 2-2 yesterday on those :). I bet Slick is up more than both of you have ever been in a week, with a better record but how much is not my business so I dont care. And I can guarantee I am collecting more Wednesday, 3rd time collecting with no payouts for yr, than both of you have ever collected at one time haha.
I am only taking SD because of the free points, plus going to do the dumb thing and buy it up to 3- and middle it. Don't care for it but got to fade the public and take the free points on top. This feels like one of those games that lets the people who got crushed yesterday win it back ugh. garbage people are going to start thinking I have a crush on you hahaha. I am married with a hot wife who sucks at cooking so everyone can shut the F up haha. Good Luck.
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Quote Originally Posted by Meatsicle:
My angle is to fade Covers posters who lie about their record.
All in on Colts.
Haha What a sad life you live if you have the time to follow and then double check the record of different people!! I have followed him since I found him looking for idiots, he is only guy I have found who bets like me. I don't give a F if he says he is 143-2 as long as he keeps finding games I missed or confirming games I am on the wall about. Also, does your username mean you suck c*ck?? Oh, you are a woman?? Hmm so a butt pirate or homely woman haha. Whatever.
Hate to break it to the other dumb as*, lines move and not every site or book has the same line. I have 2- with one guy and 1 with another. That is why people like me like to middle games, went 2-2 yesterday on those :). I bet Slick is up more than both of you have ever been in a week, with a better record but how much is not my business so I dont care. And I can guarantee I am collecting more Wednesday, 3rd time collecting with no payouts for yr, than both of you have ever collected at one time haha.
I am only taking SD because of the free points, plus going to do the dumb thing and buy it up to 3- and middle it. Don't care for it but got to fade the public and take the free points on top. This feels like one of those games that lets the people who got crushed yesterday win it back ugh. garbage people are going to start thinking I have a crush on you hahaha. I am married with a hot wife who sucks at cooking so everyone can shut the F up haha. Good Luck.
It's hilarious when people place wages on the simple trend of "Fading The Public"...
Any successful gamblers understand it's much more complex than that. Just like if you were going to invest in a stock of a major company, you would do your DD and read up on the companies financials, sales, dividends, P/S, EPS, etc.... You don't say, the whole public is buying it so that means its a SELL. Or you don't sell the stock saying the company is focusing on the next Quarter and not looking at the task at hand..
It's all nonsense. I'm actually on the COLTS tonight as my largest play of the week. I like anyone on any given day, even the professionals, can be wrong on any given night, but at least I have a strong case as to why I'm investing in the COLTS over the CHARGERS tonight.
The Chargers have lost to the following teams this year: Houston Texans, Tennessee Titans, Oakland Raiders, and just barely beat the Eagles by 3 points. That is not a great resume at all. Also beating the Cowboys is not an impressive thing to me. Now, on the other side of the ball you have the Colts.
Colts have beaten the Seahawks, SF 49ers, crushed the jaguars like a great team should (denver had trouble doing that), and the Raiders (the team that beat the Chargers already)..
When betting, do your HW and put your investment on the spread you think would hit most if it the game was played 10 times. Colts all the way baby!
That last paragraph certainly can be questioned. It depends when those 10 games are played during the season. Are they all when Indy is off a come from behind win against Seattle and 2 nearly flawless games before that with the Old man coming back to town next SNF? Are all 10 off the Chargers getting humiliated on national tv to a lowly Raider bunch? If so, then the Chargers probably win the majority of the 10.
Sure the Colts could win tonight and prove their one of the best teams in the NFL and not even a rough spot can detour them, but this is the worst spot they will be in most likely all season. Why play them tonight? As a educated and homework bettor as you describe, a guy certainly doesn't go 60% ATS in the NFL long term playing a public play with this scenario.
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Quote Originally Posted by brendanmc:
It's hilarious when people place wages on the simple trend of "Fading The Public"...
Any successful gamblers understand it's much more complex than that. Just like if you were going to invest in a stock of a major company, you would do your DD and read up on the companies financials, sales, dividends, P/S, EPS, etc.... You don't say, the whole public is buying it so that means its a SELL. Or you don't sell the stock saying the company is focusing on the next Quarter and not looking at the task at hand..
It's all nonsense. I'm actually on the COLTS tonight as my largest play of the week. I like anyone on any given day, even the professionals, can be wrong on any given night, but at least I have a strong case as to why I'm investing in the COLTS over the CHARGERS tonight.
The Chargers have lost to the following teams this year: Houston Texans, Tennessee Titans, Oakland Raiders, and just barely beat the Eagles by 3 points. That is not a great resume at all. Also beating the Cowboys is not an impressive thing to me. Now, on the other side of the ball you have the Colts.
Colts have beaten the Seahawks, SF 49ers, crushed the jaguars like a great team should (denver had trouble doing that), and the Raiders (the team that beat the Chargers already)..
When betting, do your HW and put your investment on the spread you think would hit most if it the game was played 10 times. Colts all the way baby!
That last paragraph certainly can be questioned. It depends when those 10 games are played during the season. Are they all when Indy is off a come from behind win against Seattle and 2 nearly flawless games before that with the Old man coming back to town next SNF? Are all 10 off the Chargers getting humiliated on national tv to a lowly Raider bunch? If so, then the Chargers probably win the majority of the 10.
Sure the Colts could win tonight and prove their one of the best teams in the NFL and not even a rough spot can detour them, but this is the worst spot they will be in most likely all season. Why play them tonight? As a educated and homework bettor as you describe, a guy certainly doesn't go 60% ATS in the NFL long term playing a public play with this scenario.
This season has been anything but "regular" and I see nothing changing anytime soon. Teams get hot, then they cool off. People continue to side with hot teams despite the dog home trend (can't remember the statistic, but it is interesting).
Chargers cover the spread against the colts tonight at home. I think this will be a very close game if anything and the colts don't cover if SD doesn't win outright.
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This season has been anything but "regular" and I see nothing changing anytime soon. Teams get hot, then they cool off. People continue to side with hot teams despite the dog home trend (can't remember the statistic, but it is interesting).
Chargers cover the spread against the colts tonight at home. I think this will be a very close game if anything and the colts don't cover if SD doesn't win outright.
Just going to keep it simple and fade the huge public play Colts 70% laying a small #....-2 looks like a sucker bet to me.....Colts also looking ahead to Peyton and the Broncos.
Chargers +2
Nearly 70% on the Colts sucker line of -1 had me firmly on San Diego. Chargers are now -1 chalk, shaping up for Max play on San Diego for me. Watching the under as well. Good luck kid let's get it!
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Quote Originally Posted by slick15:
Record 31-23-1
Just going to keep it simple and fade the huge public play Colts 70% laying a small #....-2 looks like a sucker bet to me.....Colts also looking ahead to Peyton and the Broncos.
Chargers +2
Nearly 70% on the Colts sucker line of -1 had me firmly on San Diego. Chargers are now -1 chalk, shaping up for Max play on San Diego for me. Watching the under as well. Good luck kid let's get it!
.....Let`s go Chargers 
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