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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Most safe Parlay of the year?

    KPMAN
    RayRayK
    Pro_Fball_Picks
    Seahawks14
    slamspurs
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 1498
    Posts: 9
     
    KPMAN
    KPMAN
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2021 - 11:50 AM ET #1

    what are your thoughts of Broncos ML + Chargers ML + Titans ML?

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    what are your thoughts of Broncos ML + Chargers ML + Titans ML?

     
    RayRayK
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2021 - 11:51 AM ET #2

    peace_5

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    peace_5

     
    Pro_Fball_Picks
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2021 - 11:53 AM ET #3

    Wouldn’t be shocking to me if the chargers lost out right today. 

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    Wouldn’t be shocking to me if the chargers lost out right today. 

     
    Seahawks14
    Seahawks14
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2021 - 12:04 PM ET #4

    Seahawks?

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    Seahawks?

     
    slamspurs
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2021 - 12:08 PM ET #5

    I've noticed that when a teaser looks too easy, some way it'll find a way to lose. Teasers are 50/50 propositions just like everything else. I say teaser because you can tease chargers to +0.5, Titans to +1.5, and Denver to -1.5 doing a 3 team 10 pt. That usually costs -120 or -130 odds. Some books charge -140 which is robbery.

    The Chargers haven't covered a large spread all year and are misssing Keenan Allen. The Titans are missing Henry and AJ Brown. Houston beat them a few weeks ago in another division rivalry game, HOUSTON!

    And I like Denver today, but Detroit has arguably the worst COVID outbreak of the season. Could be a setup.

     

    Does looks pretty good on the surface though.

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    I've noticed that when a teaser looks too easy, some way it'll find a way to lose. Teasers are 50/50 propositions just like everything else. I say teaser because you can tease chargers to +0.5, Titans to +1.5, and Denver to -1.5 doing a 3 team 10 pt. That usually costs -120 or -130 odds. Some books charge -140 which is robbery.

    The Chargers haven't covered a large spread all year and are misssing Keenan Allen. The Titans are missing Henry and AJ Brown. Houston beat them a few weeks ago in another division rivalry game, HOUSTON!

    And I like Denver today, but Detroit has arguably the worst COVID outbreak of the season. Could be a setup.

     

    Does looks pretty good on the surface though.

     
    Freddy66
    Freddy66
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2021 - 12:14 PM ET #6

    Titans would be the one that scared me. Packers would bet better

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    Titans would be the one that scared me. Packers would bet better

     
    Ed-Collins
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2021 - 12:31 PM ET #7

    My thoughts?

    The Broncos are favored by 12.5. That corresponds to a win percentage of about 84%.

    The Chargers are favored by 9. That corresponds to a win percentage of about 78%.

    The Titans are also favored by 9. 78% win percentage.

    Source: https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/nfl/

    The overall win percentage is the product of all three individual probabilities.

    (84/100 x 78/100 x 78/100) = .51%

    Thus, it's about a 50-50 proposition. What does a winning ticket for this parlay pay? Once you know that, you can then determine if the parlay is sound or not. Anything less than even money and it's certainly no bargain at all.

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    My thoughts?

    The Broncos are favored by 12.5. That corresponds to a win percentage of about 84%.

    The Chargers are favored by 9. That corresponds to a win percentage of about 78%.

    The Titans are also favored by 9. 78% win percentage.

    Source: https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/nfl/

    The overall win percentage is the product of all three individual probabilities.

    (84/100 x 78/100 x 78/100) = .51%

    Thus, it's about a 50-50 proposition. What does a winning ticket for this parlay pay? Once you know that, you can then determine if the parlay is sound or not. Anything less than even money and it's certainly no bargain at all.

     
    KPMAN
    KPMAN
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2021 - 4:53 PM ET #8

    moneybag

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    moneybag

     
     
    chitownjake007
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2021 - 5:06 PM ET #9

    Bridgewater is a loser. This is where ya get screwed. He will lose today. Hope im wrong, seen his act too many times

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    Bridgewater is a loser. This is where ya get screwed. He will lose today. Hope im wrong, seen his act too many times

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