livie serious answer: baltimore is a complete team where kc has questions at quarterback when playing a top 10 defense... not to mention kc run defense will have its hands full with mcclain, rice, and mcgahee
Baltimore is not a complete team. Their QB is marginal and their corners are among the cellar dwellers. Check this:
The top corners in the league allow between 4 and 5 yards per attempt, while the middle-of-the-road guys allow between 7 and 9 yards per attempt. Anything more than that is terrible.
Through the first two-thirds of the season — Wilson’s YPA was 6.8, well below teammates Chris Carr (6.4) and Lardarius Webb (5.5). Considering Carr starts on one side and Webb is the nickel corner, Wilson — who joined the Ravens this year after posting YPAs of 7.3 and 9.1 with Seattle the previous two seasons — is the man to target.
Regardless, Baltimore is the more well-rounded team compared to KC. The play for me today is the under 40.5. Snow showers, 30 degrees and a 20 mph wind coupled with 2 run happy teams and I see this as a Raven victory of 20-13
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Quote Originally Posted by Woodd2:
livie serious answer: baltimore is a complete team where kc has questions at quarterback when playing a top 10 defense... not to mention kc run defense will have its hands full with mcclain, rice, and mcgahee
Baltimore is not a complete team. Their QB is marginal and their corners are among the cellar dwellers. Check this:
The top corners in the league allow between 4 and 5 yards per attempt, while the middle-of-the-road guys allow between 7 and 9 yards per attempt. Anything more than that is terrible.
Through the first two-thirds of the season — Wilson’s YPA was 6.8, well below teammates Chris Carr (6.4) and Lardarius Webb (5.5). Considering Carr starts on one side and Webb is the nickel corner, Wilson — who joined the Ravens this year after posting YPAs of 7.3 and 9.1 with Seattle the previous two seasons — is the man to target.
Regardless, Baltimore is the more well-rounded team compared to KC. The play for me today is the under 40.5. Snow showers, 30 degrees and a 20 mph wind coupled with 2 run happy teams and I see this as a Raven victory of 20-13
good to know tim thanks for sharing the info.... i just think baltimore gets it done just like you do... i can really see baltimore only winning by 2 which will have vegas counting their pockets
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good to know tim thanks for sharing the info.... i just think baltimore gets it done just like you do... i can really see baltimore only winning by 2 which will have vegas counting their pockets
i honestly want to take the moneyline for balt but it isnt offered. most likely 3 hours before gametime they will put it up... now should i take the bait and grab balt -2 at -170 or should i wait longer to see the line movement?
Ask youself if you like BALT so much yet you want to bet it ML? Be careful when you are in love with a play and chasing on a bad line (too much juice).
My advice, if you like BALT that much - just wait until 5 minutes before kick off and place your bet on BALT -points (whatever).
GL
The first and greatest victory is to conquer self
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Quote Originally Posted by Woodd2:
i honestly want to take the moneyline for balt but it isnt offered. most likely 3 hours before gametime they will put it up... now should i take the bait and grab balt -2 at -170 or should i wait longer to see the line movement?
Ask youself if you like BALT so much yet you want to bet it ML? Be careful when you are in love with a play and chasing on a bad line (too much juice).
My advice, if you like BALT that much - just wait until 5 minutes before kick off and place your bet on BALT -points (whatever).
Just line movement , or KC good enough to cover against a clearly better team? Serious question.
Weiss has some tricks up his sleeve. Mark my words. Also, KC is a pretty damn good running team. Now, if the run is successful, they will do what they want in the air. My feeling is that Balt get picked apart in the air today. Not that KC is a stud team, but they are a playoff team playing at home with a good OC, a good DC, a good running game, and a good QB. I'm fine with all of those things. Balt has an aging defense that is looking to give up a ton of points today.
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Quote Originally Posted by livie:
Thoughts on why dog is play?
Just line movement , or KC good enough to cover against a clearly better team? Serious question.
Weiss has some tricks up his sleeve. Mark my words. Also, KC is a pretty damn good running team. Now, if the run is successful, they will do what they want in the air. My feeling is that Balt get picked apart in the air today. Not that KC is a stud team, but they are a playoff team playing at home with a good OC, a good DC, a good running game, and a good QB. I'm fine with all of those things. Balt has an aging defense that is looking to give up a ton of points today.
If the line was -1 Baltimore then I am loving Baltimore MORE!!!!!!!!!
Baltimore has no problem in winning game on the road. Their offense is Good but I just worry about their pass defense. It is an old defense, ppl is giving too much to their defense. It will be OVER and Baltimore Ravens.
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If the line was -1 Baltimore then I am loving Baltimore MORE!!!!!!!!!
Baltimore has no problem in winning game on the road. Their offense is Good but I just worry about their pass defense. It is an old defense, ppl is giving too much to their defense. It will be OVER and Baltimore Ravens.
- Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff road games.
- Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
- Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four playoff games.
- Under is 5-2 in Ravens’ last seven playoff games.
- Under is 4-1 in Chiefs’ last five games in January.
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If trends matter at all....
TRENDS:
- Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff road games.
- Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
- Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four playoff games.
- Under is 5-2 in Ravens’ last seven playoff games.
- Under is 4-1 in Chiefs’ last five games in January.
i honestly want to take the moneyline for balt but it isnt offered. most likely 3 hours before gametime they will put it up... now should i take the bait and grab balt -2 at -170 or should i wait longer to see the line movement?
this is exactly when people should see alarm bells and know that taking the points is a dead proposition... when the people who want to bet on Baltimore, are still scared off by the line, or the juice they have to pay, the books are telling you which side is the right side...
ML is too expensive, the spread is too expensive... guess what? won't be close!
the books are literally begging you to take the Chiefs... doesn't anybody here see that? i see so many taking the points and "loving the Chiefs"... gimme a break! that is a terrible bet...
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Quote Originally Posted by Woodd2:
i honestly want to take the moneyline for balt but it isnt offered. most likely 3 hours before gametime they will put it up... now should i take the bait and grab balt -2 at -170 or should i wait longer to see the line movement?
this is exactly when people should see alarm bells and know that taking the points is a dead proposition... when the people who want to bet on Baltimore, are still scared off by the line, or the juice they have to pay, the books are telling you which side is the right side...
ML is too expensive, the spread is too expensive... guess what? won't be close!
the books are literally begging you to take the Chiefs... doesn't anybody here see that? i see so many taking the points and "loving the Chiefs"... gimme a break! that is a terrible bet...
KC is the toughest place to play in in the NFL, if home field advantage matters at all...
Quote Originally Posted by Cooler999:
If trends matter at all....
TRENDS:
- Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff road games.
- Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
- Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four playoff games.
- Under is 5-2 in Ravens’ last seven playoff games.
- Under is 4-1 in Chiefs’ last five games in January.
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KC is the toughest place to play in in the NFL, if home field advantage matters at all...
Quote Originally Posted by Cooler999:
If trends matter at all....
TRENDS:
- Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff road games.
- Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
- Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four playoff games.
- Under is 5-2 in Ravens’ last seven playoff games.
- Under is 4-1 in Chiefs’ last five games in January.
- Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff road games.
- Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
- Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four playoff games.
- Under is 5-2 in Ravens’ last seven playoff games.
- Under is 4-1 in Chiefs’ last five games in January.
KC is the toughest place to play in in the NFL, if home field advantage matters at all...
0
Quote Originally Posted by Cooler999:
If trends matter at all....
TRENDS:
- Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff road games.
- Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
- Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four playoff games.
- Under is 5-2 in Ravens’ last seven playoff games.
- Under is 4-1 in Chiefs’ last five games in January.
KC is the toughest place to play in in the NFL, if home field advantage matters at all...
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