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My NFL 2011 money line plays.

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Posted: #126

Bal+155
NJY +120
 
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Posted: #127
My record for this season:
Straight bets: 3-0 ATS
2 team 6 point teaser: 0-2 ATS
(From a different internet forum)

-3.5 if you got the line earlier this week.

1. The Redskins are missing key players from injuries.
Their best running back Tim Hightower is not playing.
Their best wide receiver Santana Moss is not playing.

2. The 49ers best pass rushing line against the Redskins poor offensive line, John Beck was sacked 9 times last week against the Bills.
49ers pass rushers this season: Aldon Smith 6.5 sacks, Justin Smith 4.5 sacks, Ahmad Brooks 4.0 sacks.

3. 49ers have a 6-0 ATS record while the Redskins have a 3-4 ATS record. The 49ers are on a 5-0 winning streak, the Redskins are on a 0-3 losing streak.

4. The Redskins have a QB problem between Rex Grossman 55.76% Comp / 6 TD/ 9 INT and John Beck 58.82% Comp / 1 TD / 3 INT.
49ers have the better QB in Alex Smith 63.19% Comp / 9 TD/2 INT.

5. Even though Redskins have home advantage. The grass outdoor stadium of the Redskins is the same as the grass outdoor stadium of the 49ers.
 
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Posted: #128
Quote Originally Posted by 13923:

NFL ML Plays:

NY Jets (+115) 1 unit to win 1.15 units.
Dolphins (+175) 1 unit to win 1.75 units.
Bengals (+125) 1 unit to win 1.25 units.
NY Giants (+400) 0.5 unit to win 2.00 units.
Chargers (+210) 2 units to win 4.20 units. (BIG)

Best of Luck to all.  Let's get that !


You should know that the Patriots are dangerous after a loss.

When the Patriots loss earlier this season, they defeated the Raiders the week after.

Your Giants play is not going to hold. Especially with their best running back Ahmad Bradshaw injured.
 
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Posted: #129
Quote Originally Posted by 13923:

So the Packers are going 16-0?  Please.  I am taking a calculated risk with the chargers who always seem to turn "it" on in Nov and Dec.  I'm not saying they are going to win, but I see value in their line. 

BOL Steve.
Never said they were. I get that you're looking for value, but how much value or how prudent is it to back a slumping depleted team wracked by injury against the best team in football that's very good off the bye. Better value fading GB will be found @ Det., and @ NY later in the year.  BOL to you on your plays.
 
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Posted: #130

You are probably right about GB, but I look at the Chargers wanting to rebound in spite of the worst coach in football (I hate Norv Turner). I already pulled the trigger last night, wish I would have talked to you sooner as you have more valid points than me. Thanks a bunch for your insight.  Good luck to you too.

 

 
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Posted: #131

Gun, sorry i hijacked your thread.

I just hope you're still not betting those heavy favorites.

I know all about NE after a loss, i have my own reasoning behind plays. 

I think it'll hold better than you picking Giants over Seahawks earlier this year.

My record and units YTD speak for themselves.

BOL to you!

 
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Posted: #132
Chargers should cover and possibly win.

GB has a TERRIBLE, repeat, TERRIBLE pass d.

Its embarrassing to watch.

Chargers? Giving up less then 200ypg passing, a top 5 D.

Don't know if I'd put much on the ML but I'm all over 6.5 thats just ridiculous....about as ridiculous as the Patriots -8.5 with that garbage defense they got.
 
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Posted: #133
5-2 yesterday in the NCAA, finally won a big play (LSU).
BOL in the NFL everyone!

YTD: 31-33   YTD Units Won: 27.3
 
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Posted: #134
4-1 in NFL Plays today.  The one loss was my big play, but profit nonetheless.

YTD:  35-34    YTD Units Won: 31.45

AWESOME Weekend.

See you on Friday.
 
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Posted: #135
Quote Originally Posted by 13923:

4-1 in NFL Plays today.  The one loss was my big play, but profit nonetheless.

YTD:  35-34    YTD Units Won: 31.45

AWESOME Weekend.

See you on Friday.
Great Job my man
 
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Posted: #136

NCAA Midweek ML Plays:

Wednesday: Miami, OH (+390) 0.5 unit to win 1.95 units.

Friday: Syracuse (+155) 1 unit to win 1.55 units.

BOL to everyone.

My book does not have Saturdays ML lines up just yet. Post on Thursday or Friday.

NFL to follow in next post.

 
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Posted: #137

NFL ML Plays:

Redskins (+170) 1 unit to win 1.70 units.       

Rams (+125) 1 unit to win 1.25 units.

Giants (+165) 2 units to win 3.30 units.

Patriots (+105) 3 units to win 3.15 units (BIG)

BOL to everyone.

Will post NCAA Plays when ML's become available on my book.

 
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Posted: #138

chiefs ml.

jags ml

steelers ml.

 
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Posted: #139
Saturday's NCAA ML Plays:
Pittsburgh (+125) 1 unit to win 1.25 units.
Boston College (+105) 1 unit to win 1.05 units.
Kansas State (+170) 1 unit to win 1.70 units.
Kansas(  (+700) 0.25 unit to win 1.75 units.
TCU (+450) 0.50 unit to win 2.25 units.
Miami (+290) 0.50 unit to win 1.45 units.
W.Virginia (+155) 1 unit to win 1.55 units.
Florida (+140) 1 unit to win 1.40 units.
Oregon (+140) 2 units to win 2.80 units.
Memphis (+175) 1 unit to win 1.75 units.
Ole Miss (+105) 3 units to win 3.15 units. (BIG)
E. Carolina (+165) 1 unit to win 1.65 units.
UL Lafayette (+330) 2 units to win 6.60 units.
Mid Tenn State (+215) 1 unit to win 2.15 units.

A lot I know, BOL to everyone!!
 
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Posted: #140
YTD 35-35  YTD units won: 30.95

Will post results tomorrow night.

BOL to everyone.
 
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Posted: #141
Quote Originally Posted by joser_31:

chiefs ml.

jags ml

steelers ml.


You do realize that this is a thread about ml dog plays and you posted three ml favs?  Go start your own thread

 
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Posted: #142
Nice job, 13923.  I have always bet dogs ats and ml, but I'm thinking I like your approach a lot better.  Keep on winning. 

 
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Posted: #143
GOOD LUCK AND STAY THIRSTY MY FRIENDS
 
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Posted: #144
Quote Originally Posted by dxxlan:

Nice job, 13923.  I have always bet dogs ats and ml, but I'm thinking I like your approach a lot better.  Keep on winning. 



Every ML Play I make (I'm with BoDog and 5Dimes), I also take action on the spread.  Using the same 100$ per unit system.  I do take a limited number of Favorites, but I have always been an underdog kind of guy.  My biggest play so far this year is this weekend.  I got Texas at a pickem and took them for 10 units.  My ML underdog system has worked the past two seasons.  I always end up around 39-42%.  Profit the last two years, but this has been the best year BY FAR.

BOL in getting that


 
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Posted: #145
Like Texas this week also.  Actually, I've got many of the same plays on my NCAA card,  so let's get the .
 
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Posted: #146
Friday Result: 0-1
YTD: 35-36  YTD Units Won: 29,95
 
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Posted: #147
Saturday Results: 6-8
YTD; 41-44  YTD: 30.80

Very Very Slight Profit:

Come on Kansas, 24-3 in the 4th quarter and you lose.
Houston Nutt have fun trying to get a Sun Belt Job in next year, who knows though, Texas AM might be calling soon.
Memphis you had it in control, what happened.

Anyway I finally made it into the Top Twenty in the NCAAF Covers Contest,  I'm want that number one ranking,  3 weeks left and I'm 6000 off the pace.

Hope everyone has a great Sunday.
 
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Posted: #148
That sounds preetttyy right too me. You should should add that to your rules buddy.
 
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Posted: #149
Good value with the Bengals, Detroit and Buffalo
 
 
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Posted: #150
YTD: 43-46  YTD Units Won: 32.20
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