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Need honest opinions on Team Total.

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Posted: #26

Which you like better?

FIND JESUS / GO DAWGS / NOTHING IS WHAT IT APPEARS
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

Chic, you on SF and the under?

yes
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by Cooler999:

...I'm very confident in this bet..........now......provide me the doubt and insecurities to change my mind if you care too.


During this season the Chiefs scored a total of 537 points.  This includes their two playoff wins.  That's an average of 29.83 points per game.  (537 / 18)

That sounds fine... but note the 49er defense only gave up 340 points per game this season, including their two playoff games.  That's an average of just 18.89 points per game.  (340 / 18)

Split the difference.  The Chiefs should score 24.36 points
 
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Posted: #29
No matter what side you think is going to win betting their team total over is probably a much better bet than ML / 1.5 ....

The Chiefs should have to score 30+ to win this game ...Even in a loss they could get there .   
The WWE loves points , and I don't think people are tuning in to see a 20-17 game ...

My notes assessing referee assistance has the Chiefs rated 3rd highest in the league ....If the 49ers defense is playing well ,look for a slew of penalties .....


In my opinion the game is a coin flip , but go ahead and bet your TT over 


Best of luck Brother
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #30

Man I was thinking the exact same thing for the exact same reasons.  Where I doubt myself is I liked the Saints -27' -130 when in the playoffs vs the Vikings.  Its like NO came out with a completely different game plan and looked like ass.  Needless to say I got burned.  That said the Saints averaged 31.5 ppg and the Chiefs average 35.3.  GLTY

 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by Ed-Collins:



During this season the Chiefs scored a total of 537 points.  This includes their two playoff wins.  That's an average of 29.83 points per game.  (537 / 18)

That sounds fine... but note the 49er defense only gave up 340 points per game this season, including their two playoff games.  That's an average of just 18.89 points per game.  (340 / 18)

Split the difference.  The Chiefs should score 24.36 points

Ed, really appreciate you taking the time to post this.
 
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Posted: #32

No play for me and I will explain why. If San Fran gets up they are in an excellent position to eat up the clock and limit the KC possessions. Yes Mahomes is explosive when he has the ball but look how much San Fran was able to run last week. Can't bet the under because of KC, can't bet the over because of San Fran. These teams have histories of explosive second quarters and then these teams do not score nearly as much second have protecting the lead. 

 

clover

 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by lordzud:

No play for me and I will explain why. If San Fran gets up they are in an excellent position to eat up the clock and limit the KC possessions. Yes Mahomes is explosive when he has the ball but look how much San Fran was able to run last week. Can't bet the under because of KC, can't bet the over because of San Fran. These teams have histories of explosive second quarters and then these teams do not score nearly as much second have protecting the lead. 

 

clover


Thank you for your point of view lord. I also thought of just betting the second half as most everyone knows that's their big push and MO>

Again, have most of my money on SF.......just trying to hedge a bit here.
 
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Posted: #34

Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

No matter what side you think is going to win betting their team total over is probably a much better bet than ML / 1.5 ....The Chiefs should have to score 30+ to win this game ...Even in a loss they could get there .   The WWE loves points , and I don't think people are tuning in to see a 20-17 game ...My notes assessing referee assistance has the Chiefs rated 3rd highest in the league ....If the 49ers defense is playing well ,look for a slew of penalties .....In my opinion the game is a coin flip , but go ahead and bet your TT over Best of luck Brother

If everyone/  a majority , is betting  kc and the over..one of those has to be wrong. They wouldn't let that much hit positive. 

 
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Posted: #35
[Quote: Originally Posted by Cooler999] I am trying to find reasons to NOT bet KC over 27.5 @ 130.

Every scenario I come up with gets me to at least 28 for KC. Basically one touchdown per quarter to over simplify a somewhat lofty goal, or so simple, that people will be kicking themselves after the game saying why didn't I just take KC over!! 

I know this will start out slow, until each team's OC's start to see weakness and attack them.  BTW, I'm on SF to win.

If you are the 49ers to win, don't you think they need to control the ball and clock? Why would they want to get in a scoring affair with Mahomes and the Chiefs? Another point is the best Defense can always shut down the best offense.  

The total is so high, yet the public can't get enough "over".  Now, Vegas as we know doesn't give out free money, and they just fuk with us and leave us to are own doubts and insecurities about a bet we think can't miss.

I'm very confident in this bet..........now......provide me the doubt and insecurities to change my mind if you care too.

My bet is 6500 to win 5000.

Thanks for your help or ridicule...that's the chances you take in covers when you post.....

If you are the 49ers to win, don't you think they need to control the ball and clock? Why would they want to get in a scoring affair with Mahomes and the Chiefs? Another point is the best Defense can always shut down the best offense. It has been proven multiple times in the past. Good luck with your bet!!!!
 
 
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Posted: #36
Cooler , FWIW , My Book just posted TT props.

I took some KC  Over 27 1/2   - 120

Good Luck whatever you decide , Bud. 

Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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