*** New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers ***

New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers

I faded the Packers the last two weeks as they are an average road team at best, but with or without Rodgers they still have one of the best home field advantages in the NFL. The Packers went from a Superbowl favorite, to people talking about who is now going to take the division - literally overnight. This has to be pissing off the veterans on this team, and this is a very experienced Packer team. Green Bay loves Rodgers, and the entire team looks to him as their leader. The Packers defense will absolutely ball out here for him as they know how crushed he was after the injury.

A lot is being made about how bad Hundley looked in relief of Rodgers. However, there is a huge difference between getting thrown into the middle of a road game and being asked to comeback from a deficit against the 5th best defense in the NFL - and having 7 days to formulate a game-plan and practice reps with the first string offense and facing the 26th ranked defense at home. Hundley will be fine here, as he won’t be asked to do too much. McCarthy will look to run the ball repeatedly, and play extremely tight defense in a low scoring game, making 6 points extremely beneficial.

I bet the Saints to beat the Lions last week, but they aren’t as dominating as the score looked. First of all, the Lions had 5 turnovers, in a game where Stafford was asked to throw the ball 52 times. That definitely won’t happen in this game as Green Bay will stick to the run game while playing extremely conservative on third down in the passing game. Drew Brees only went 21/31 for 186 yards against the Lions who are #23rd in the league against the pass. The Packers are far better ranked #11, and have a chance to get their starting cornerback and starting safety back for this game. The Saints scoring 52 points last week is very misleading and due to turnovers - something I don’t expect the Packers to commit with the gameplan they will have this Sunday.

Additionally, Championship teams as a home underdog are great bets, regardless of who’s playing as the QB, as champions love the “everyone is doubting us” role. Don’t believe me?

• Patriots as a home underdog since 2002: 5-1 ATS
• Steelers as a home underdog since 2005: 6-2 ATS
• Packers as a home underdog since 2007: 6-1 ATS
• Seahawks as a home underdog since 2011: 7-1 ATS

That is a combined 24-5 ATS (82.8%) betting on Superbowl winning teams at home when people are doubting them. This is my NFL game of the month.

• Packers +6 -115 (6x) +205 (1x)
• Saints Under 26 (1x)

This came from a rep at harrah's Casino..  Not sure if it is true.

The Flight Crew Takes A Knee And Walks Off, Leaving New Orleans Saints Stranded On Runway

The New Orleans Saints made the mistake of once again disrespecting our veterans, our country and our flag. After an embarrassing opening to a game with the worst ratings in Saints’ history, the players and coaches learned that their actions have consequences.

Both the pilot and co-pilot of the Boeing 737 the Saints use to travel are combat-hardened American heroes. They flew sorties over Baghdad with Saddam’s best weapons firing back. They fought with their lives for your freedom and watched many of their friends die. Today they took a stand for those brave souls:

“We couldn’t be a party to the disrespect. We waited until we were cleared and last off the runway for the night , walked out of the cockpit, took a knee and deplaned. They’re not going anywhere until tomorrow.”

Looks like the group of thugs should have just considered themselves lucky they’re allowed to make millions for playing a game and stood with respect like they’re told to do in the league rulebook.

This week was the worst week in NFL history for ratings. Next week will be worse.

In 2013 Rodgers had a similar injury. The very next game the Packers were home vs the 4-5 Eagles. The Eagles won 27-13.

When Aaron Rodgers breaks his clavicle the Packers are 0-1 ATS in the next game

Percentages of wins ats does favor the team with the losing star player 61% more so than the opposing team at 39% wins ats.

Good luck sir

Packers +6

Pakalolosweet