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NFL Divisional Weekend

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Views: 6212
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Posted: #26
GiL - thanks buddy.  Let's get em today
 
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Posted: #27
Great stuff Spaz.

Bang em again this weekend.
 
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Posted: #28
Nice work but I think your argument supports the UNDER instead of the over in the Niners game...nice work though
 
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Posted: #29

andarmac - thanks buddy.  Great post from you as well.

onebrokebloke - thanks. It does support the under, but I accept that my research will not be 100% correct all the time.  I don't think NO will be kept quiet for four quarters, so I think the halfs split, with one over and one under.  I'm debating whether to sit out until halftime or invest in my gut. GL today

 
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Posted: #30
Spaz, always love reading your stuff. Personally I think that 1st q +.5 SF bet is a tough one. I understand your logic for it and the stats seem to support it. But the way I see it shaking out is that if the 49ers win the toss, they'll differ to the Saints and if the Saints win the toss, they'll take the ball first. So in both scenarios, I think the Saints offense is on the field first. And seeing as the 49ers don't score touchdowns and win games via D/STs, I think that all it takes is a first 1 or 2 possession Saints TD and the bet is toast. 

FTR, I am a huge 49er fan...so obviously I hope it hits for you. 
 
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Posted: #31
love your posts. gl buddy
 
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Posted: #32

Great writeup

I will be throwing a lot of money at the Saints

GL today SDS

 
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Posted: #33
 
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Posted: #34

thanks fellas, appreciate the posts, whether agree or disagree..

New Orleans @ San Francisco

San Francisco 49ers +0.5 first quarter (34 units to win 29.57)

Pierre Thomas UNDER 67.5 Rushing/Receiving Yds (24 units to win 21.82)

New Orleans Saints -3.5 (26 units to win 26)

Disclaimer : I'm not playing this out of the shoot, but since I won't be home I'm posting it for record purposes.  I will be playing the Saints in some capacity, either live in game or second half

Vernon Davis to Score first +1000 (2 units to win 20)

 

 
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Posted: #35
Impressive write ups on the games
Best of  luck tonight

 
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Posted: #36

Denver @ New England

Willis McGahee OVER 72.5 Rushing Yards (25 units to win 23.81)

Wes Welker to score (20 units to win 22)

Denver / New England OVER 25.5 first half (32 units to win 30.48)

Denver Broncos +13.5 (32 units to win 30.48)

 
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Posted: #37

Vernon Davis  

Did not play personally but nice dig   

 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by SettleDownSpaz:

thanks fellas, appreciate the posts, whether agree or disagree..

New Orleans @ San Francisco

San Francisco 49ers +0.5 first quarter (34 units to win 29.57)

Pierre Thomas UNDER 67.5 Rushing/Receiving Yds (24 units to win 21.82)

New Orleans Saints -3.5 (26 units to win 26)

Disclaimer : I'm not playing this out of the shoot, but since I won't be home I'm posting it for record purposes.  I will be playing the Saints in some capacity, either live in game or second half

*Vernon Davis to Score first +1000 (2 units to win 20)

 



 
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Posted: #39
Vernon Davis Congrats
 
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Posted: #40
awesome hit on davis

thomas is out for the rest of the game, so that's another winner

nice start to the day bud
 
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Posted: #41
good job bro u on fire. sent u friend request
 
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Posted: #42
like broncos and that mcgahee over. my book has it at 80. bullshit
 
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Posted: #43

thanks fellas.. I think Denver +13.5 is a losing bet, but feel like being involved second half.

Denver Broncos 3rd Qtr ML +170 (20 units to win 34)

 

 
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Posted: #44

Houston @ Baltimore

One bright spot for Flacco this year, and actually over the last two years, has been his play in the first quarter. Over the last two seasons in the first quarter, Flacco has completed 64% of his passes, averages 125 yards through the air and has thrown 11 touchdowns vs. 1 interception. On top of this, Ray Rice has rushed 85 times for 454 yards in the first quarter, an average of 5.3 yards per carry. This season at home, the Ravens have outscored opponents 61-20 in the first quarter. They have been tied or led after the first quarter in 6 out of 8 home games this season. The two quarters where they weren’t ahead were vs. Arizona where they trailed 3-0 and vs. Cincinnati where they trailed 7-0. Each of these games had two big passing plays of more than 45 yards, one of which was a 66 yarder. In the Arizona game, the Ravens were in the red zone when the first quarter ended. Assume Baltimore comes out of the gates and responds to Ray Lewis as they have all year, the Texans might need a big passing play from TJ Yates to lead at the half. So, a rookie on the road against one of the league’s best home teams and top defenses, who haven’t played on their turf in the playoffs since 2006, will need to make a big play. I’ll invest that he doesn’t and I’ll take Flacco and the home team to take the early first quarter lead

Baltimore -0.5 first quarter (32 units to win 26.67)

Dennis Pitta OVER 2.5 Receptions (23 units to win 20)

First Score of the Game - Non-TD (20 units to win 22)

Houston / Baltimore UNDER 18 first half (27 units to win 25.71)

Houston Texans +4.5 first half (22 units to win 20)

 
 
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Posted: #45
GL today SDS
 
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Posted: #46

Get 'er done, Spazzer.    


 
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Posted: #47
 
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Posted: #48
nice job Spaz!


 
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Posted: #49

thanks guys ..

Houston / Baltimore UNDER 19.5 second half (34 units to win 32.39)

 

 
 
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Posted: #50

New York Giants +0.5 first quarter (28 units to win 30.8)

Green Bay Packers -7.5 (40 units to win 38.10)

James Jones to Score +170 (10 units to win 17)

Mason Crosby OVER 8.5 Points (24 units to win 20.87)

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