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All lines available at Sportsbook.com and Hollywood sportsbook. Unfortunately all of these are capped @ $100 apiece right now, but if you pull some strings they will let you get bets down at both books (If you don't pull strings, they will not let you bet at both and cancel your action at one site).
Limits will increase to $500 on Draft Day so all of these that haven't moved too much I will bang again on Draft Day, provided Odds are still decent. Here are bets that I've made and what the lines have moved to. Unfortunately lines move VERY quick, so a lot of these are not available, but posting them anyway:
# Of QBs taken in Round 1.......Under 3.5 (-170)
This comes down to Brandon Weeden. I have good info that says there is no way he cracks first round. Assuming Luck/RG3/Tannehill only guys who go round one. This has moved to -250 as of rignt now.
Who will be drafted first......Whitney Mercilus +115/Stephen Gilmore -130
Gilmore is shooting up draft boards and rumor has it he could easily be a top 10 pick. Mercilus is lumped in with a group of pass rushers all of similar caliber (Courtney Upshaw, Nick Perry, Quinton Coples) the proliferation of which will certainly cause some of them to slide to mid 20's where I predict Mercilus ends up. Gilmore moved to -160 last time I checked and it's currently off the board which is a good sign. If it comes back, bang Gilmore.
Will Miami Dolphins select Tannehill First round? Yes = -170/No +130
Browns aren't gonna take him 4. They might try and trade up from 22 if he slides to like 11 or so, but that won't happen. Dolphins need Tannehill to give the fans a bone. They struck out on Peyton, Flynn, RG3 basically every possible decent QB they could have had this off-season. Please don't tell me they are gonna enter next season with David Gerrard and Matt Moore as 1 and 2. Dolphins need Tannehill as much as any team needs any player in this draft. Wish I had gotten this at better value, but its gonna happen. Will def be adding more to this on draft day.
Kendall Wright........Over pick 22.5 (-160)
Very deep WR draft. Looks like Mike Floyd will still be around in the 15-20 range and NO_ONE is taking Wright over Floyd. Hell Stephen Hill could go before Wright. Only team I could see taking Wright is Bengals 21, if not he might slide to second round.
Number of Running Backs taken in Round 1........Over 1.5
(+180)
Basically do you think Doug Martin goes round 1? I do. Scouts love him and I think he goes to Broncos at pick 25. This opened at +250 and is now at +130 meaning lot of smart action on the over. Nice payout too.
Will Tampa Bay select Trent Richards #5 overall? No = -200
No they won't. Because he's either going to Browns 4 or Rams will trade up to 4 to take him. This opened at +115!!!! Now at -300. Crazy movement.
Over 3.5 WR/TEs taken in Round 1 (-200)
Blackmon and Floyd are locks. Wright and Hill could sneak into end of round 1. Fleener prob going end of round one. Lot of juice to lay, but very good chance this hits. Now at -350.
Who is drafted first.......Courtney Upshaw -250/ Nick Perry +170
Bit of a value flier here. Scouts are unimpressed with Upshaw's athleticism and its looking like his stock is sinking. Read MULTIPLE reports recently that he could sink to second round. Perry's stock is rising, and he could go as high as 17 or so. Good value here imo.
There was also a "Who goes first Luke Kuechly/Quinton Coples" with Kuechly at even money at one point, but I missed that one and they took it off the board.
They most likely will be adding some more in next few days....usually along the lines of "Will Big 12 have o/u 5.5 players drafted first round" which are usually pretty exploitable.
Sorry that a lot of these lines have moved since I hit them, but I'm just offering advice and even though a lot of them are pretty juiced I am very confident that most will hit, as I always slaughter the draft. Went 7 for 8 in Draft Props last year, all maxed, so hoping for another good year.
Limits will increase to $500 on Draft Day so all of these that haven't moved too much I will bang again on Draft Day, provided Odds are still decent. Here are bets that I've made and what the lines have moved to. Unfortunately lines move VERY quick, so a lot of these are not available, but posting them anyway:
# Of QBs taken in Round 1.......Under 3.5 (-170)
This comes down to Brandon Weeden. I have good info that says there is no way he cracks first round. Assuming Luck/RG3/Tannehill only guys who go round one. This has moved to -250 as of rignt now.
Who will be drafted first......Whitney Mercilus +115/Stephen Gilmore -130
Gilmore is shooting up draft boards and rumor has it he could easily be a top 10 pick. Mercilus is lumped in with a group of pass rushers all of similar caliber (Courtney Upshaw, Nick Perry, Quinton Coples) the proliferation of which will certainly cause some of them to slide to mid 20's where I predict Mercilus ends up. Gilmore moved to -160 last time I checked and it's currently off the board which is a good sign. If it comes back, bang Gilmore.
Will Miami Dolphins select Tannehill First round? Yes = -170/No +130
Browns aren't gonna take him 4. They might try and trade up from 22 if he slides to like 11 or so, but that won't happen. Dolphins need Tannehill to give the fans a bone. They struck out on Peyton, Flynn, RG3 basically every possible decent QB they could have had this off-season. Please don't tell me they are gonna enter next season with David Gerrard and Matt Moore as 1 and 2. Dolphins need Tannehill as much as any team needs any player in this draft. Wish I had gotten this at better value, but its gonna happen. Will def be adding more to this on draft day.
Kendall Wright........Over pick 22.5 (-160)
Very deep WR draft. Looks like Mike Floyd will still be around in the 15-20 range and NO_ONE is taking Wright over Floyd. Hell Stephen Hill could go before Wright. Only team I could see taking Wright is Bengals 21, if not he might slide to second round.
Number of Running Backs taken in Round 1........Over 1.5
(+180)
Basically do you think Doug Martin goes round 1? I do. Scouts love him and I think he goes to Broncos at pick 25. This opened at +250 and is now at +130 meaning lot of smart action on the over. Nice payout too.
Will Tampa Bay select Trent Richards #5 overall? No = -200
No they won't. Because he's either going to Browns 4 or Rams will trade up to 4 to take him. This opened at +115!!!! Now at -300. Crazy movement.
Over 3.5 WR/TEs taken in Round 1 (-200)
Blackmon and Floyd are locks. Wright and Hill could sneak into end of round 1. Fleener prob going end of round one. Lot of juice to lay, but very good chance this hits. Now at -350.
Who is drafted first.......Courtney Upshaw -250/ Nick Perry +170
Bit of a value flier here. Scouts are unimpressed with Upshaw's athleticism and its looking like his stock is sinking. Read MULTIPLE reports recently that he could sink to second round. Perry's stock is rising, and he could go as high as 17 or so. Good value here imo.
There was also a "Who goes first Luke Kuechly/Quinton Coples" with Kuechly at even money at one point, but I missed that one and they took it off the board.
They most likely will be adding some more in next few days....usually along the lines of "Will Big 12 have o/u 5.5 players drafted first round" which are usually pretty exploitable.
Sorry that a lot of these lines have moved since I hit them, but I'm just offering advice and even though a lot of them are pretty juiced I am very confident that most will hit, as I always slaughter the draft. Went 7 for 8 in Draft Props last year, all maxed, so hoping for another good year.
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