NFL MARKETWATCH WEEK 13

LAST 7 WEEKS 33-13

OAKLAND  +3

NY GIANTS +7

DETROIT +9

BALTIMORE +7

MORE TO FOLLOW...

I'm on the fence with this oak/mia game. what ya thinkin on this matchup?

figured you would be on cinci...

Here's my thought process.  Both teams are playing well.  Miami was shown on a primetime game vs the Cowboys in which they played well.  With that said, Palmer and the offense are playing well.  They've opened the playbook each week to incorporate more plays down the field. 

Miami defense has kept them in games utilizing Bush to the maximum, however the three teams they beat were Washington (without Grossman), Buffalo (who hadn't played well) and Kansas City...Not any of these teams I classify in Oaklands category. 

3 is an obvious key number and public perception is the Dolphins at a high with a nice showing on Turkey Day.  The Raiders were able to move the ball on a good Bears defense using running attack as well as passing attack.  I have Oakland ranked higher than Dallas and getting the points in a race for the division with another week that Palmer gets to learn the offense makes it a play for me..

In Reference to Oakland:

A whole slew of speed guys for the Raiders are officially out for their game in Miami. WR Jacoby Ford, RB Darren McFadden, RB Taiwan Jones & WR Danarius Moore are out. MLB Rolando McClain remains in an Alabama jail, but his sprained ankle would've kept him out anyway.

Miami at home?  I'll hook it for -2 1/2

Today's Analysis:

Tennessee @ Buffalo

Did Chris Johnson's running game get going last week?  I think so but I see more left in the tank with him.  The Titans have an outside shot at getting into the playoffs.  The Bills have went in the opposite direction however showed some signs of positive play at the Jets last week but continue to give up the big play.

I like the Titans here and will be teasing them in a number of teasers as they should keep this close with a good running attack as the Bills rank 21st in stopping the rush and that may be worse as they've faced the Pats twice, Jets twice and have played only 1 team in the top 10.

Play:  Titans in tease and Moneyline..

Oakland @ Miami-

Play Oakland, i'm not sold on the Dolphins as they are playing to save Sporano's job, however the Raiders possess a potent running attack and good playaction.  Granted they are missing key components on the split end.  I think they will do enough to hang around and have an opportunity to win this game

Play: Oakland +3.5 (if you can get it)

more to follow

If you have it at 2.5 thats a nice number...They've won without McFadden for a while and although they do possess a good defense they haven't faced the SOS of the Bears in which the Raiders played last week, granted it was without Cutler.

Kansas City @ Chicago

It's obvious that their is a downgrade at the QB position but the Bears defense still posses's schemes to confuse the QB, I see some buyback on the number after dropping from 9 to 7.  Its across the board at 8.  I think there is enough defense in the Bears to hold them to a 7 to 10 point victory.  Lean:  Bears in a couple of teasers

Denver @ Minnesota

Wow, can Tebow win 5 straight road games with the last one coming today?  The Vikings possess the 9th best rushing attack and a couple key players on the Broncos defense are banged up but expected to play.  I know Tebow is getting all the coverage but this defense is almost as undervalued as the Jaguars defense.  This is a stay away game for me as it already has enough interest with the Tebow factor.

No Play either way: 

more to follow

Cincinatti @ Pittsburgh

The Steelers got a tough matchup last week with the Chiefs and somehow the Bengals pulled off another comeback vs the Browns.  This one is so good of a matchup and one of the better games but the oddsmakers wont drop that 7 line...I think they know Steelers betters will tease everything below the 1 point line.  The Bengals should be in this game and continue to do things well.  It should be close...Polamolu spelt wrong is seeing butterflies..but tough son of a bitch and I don't like playing teams on the road in Pittsburgh.  However, a tease of this game is probably the best decision.

Play -Tease game: