NFL Marketwatch week 4

9-30

NY Jets +4

Over Detroit 49

Over Oakland 48

1 Tease (Atl-1, GB-1.5, Min +10) 1 to 1.8

may add later

Love your totals.

Any thoughts on Denver -7?

YUP CAUSE EVERYONE AND THERE MOM IS ON SF INCLUDING ME

YTD 10-4 (71%) Week 3: 3-2 

Teasers (3-4) + 1.4 Units

Yesterday wasn't a good day for me with NCAAF market as at halftime's of 3:30 everything was going well and then I opened my mouth. 

Analysis:  Jets will be tough at home and SF who has been a cover machine throughout past 6 years travels on the road again.  Loss of Rivas is big but SF receiving core not too much to talk about.  Jets hang around in this one.  Smashmouth football.

Until Detroit and Minn start playing Defense 31st and 22nd I'll play against them, especially as both dome teams.  Stafford a go and Ponder looking the best in years.  With both having play action look for plays over the top for big scores.  Turnover potential for quick hits.

Oakland ranked 30th and Denver 23rd, Janikowski may kick 60 yarders plural today.  Any possession can end up in points.  Why not?  Until they show me anything different I'll take the over.  Palmer has had to throw more and been pretty impressive, Manning gets another week under his feet and won't be playing a strong defensive team like Atlanta.  I like it.

Rambo,

Jets defense is based on scheme, Wilson will now become #2 cornerback, but 49ers aren't built on the deep pass so far.  I'm sold on the Jets at home with a team with no names being able to perform above expectations and I know this is a cliche but Tebow's package will be more involved today.  49ers didn't look good against the run either last week as well as the Jets.  My outlook is a fight!  I like hometeams in a fight.  Everyone knows line should be 6/6.5 as injury to Revis doesn't help, but for this game doesn't impact as much as it would say vs Patriots.  Moss and Manningham aren't #1 receivers for anyteams.  Crabtree maybe.  Tebow package will make the difference, wow, I just said that.  Cromartie is an idiot..

ADDED Play

UNDER ST LOUIS 39.5

Rambo,

I hope so...it's so hard to bet this team..even knowing Rivas out, SF stayed in OHIO and how could they lose back to back games.  Public money all over SF..