Razor do you think this nfl year is harder to bet on than last year?
MD....I dont necessarily think that its harder, but rather more things need to be factored into the overall capping of each game. Situational progressions and momentum are huge factors in how I cap a game. The new refs was a huge X n Y equation that you cant really factor in because they are very inexperienced with the NFL. The only way to cap the game is to cap the way we always do but to pay close attention to the lines. Despite what people think the Oddsmakers pay top dollar to get these lines as sharp as they can. Watching how they put out lines vs your own projections will always put you on a solid bet. If after your capping and the line the oddsmakers put out does not match up well you may have a play. But if things seem sharp its best to stay away from the game altogether.
Razor do you think this nfl year is harder to bet on than last year?
MD....I dont necessarily think that its harder, but rather more things need to be factored into the overall capping of each game. Situational progressions and momentum are huge factors in how I cap a game. The new refs was a huge X n Y equation that you cant really factor in because they are very inexperienced with the NFL. The only way to cap the game is to cap the way we always do but to pay close attention to the lines. Despite what people think the Oddsmakers pay top dollar to get these lines as sharp as they can. Watching how they put out lines vs your own projections will always put you on a solid bet. If after your capping and the line the oddsmakers put out does not match up well you may have a play. But if things seem sharp its best to stay away from the game altogether.
been tailin since the Pre-season when we had some good discussions-glad to see you're doing better in NFL reg season and thanks for the College plays...esp ND and Clemson-too bad the ML didn't hit there...
I am seeing converse wise plays almost every week now, overeactions and also stupid loyalty undeserved...I bet you play vs the Vikes this week-Ponder was on every radio show today-they won't be ready...
And take the Jets just this next week and they suck it up for Reevis-usually teams do great the first game after a big injury-the public goes too far the other way and you make money on game 2 and 3 when the lines shift back and the team really goes downhill-BOL Brother...
been tailin since the Pre-season when we had some good discussions-glad to see you're doing better in NFL reg season and thanks for the College plays...esp ND and Clemson-too bad the ML didn't hit there...
I am seeing converse wise plays almost every week now, overeactions and also stupid loyalty undeserved...I bet you play vs the Vikes this week-Ponder was on every radio show today-they won't be ready...
And take the Jets just this next week and they suck it up for Reevis-usually teams do great the first game after a big injury-the public goes too far the other way and you make money on game 2 and 3 when the lines shift back and the team really goes downhill-BOL Brother...
NFL-X 21-19 (53%) ( +38 units )
NFL Season 15-13-1 ( 54%) ( +43.75 units )
NCAAF 30-15-1 (67%) ( +259.9 units )
0-1 night. here. I must admit I grossly underestimated the Hawks defense. But nonetheless I think I may lay off the NFL for a bit here and do some research. Something was up with this game. I will dig up the dirt on this one. How the refs have the power to call a game like that at the end is insane. Jennings clearly had the INT and I am ashamed to even say this is rigged. But Idk what else it could be here. I am not putting my hard earned money on something that I have to be on the right side of just before the game starts. If I see something I like I will post and play it but dont expect me around the NFL forums for a couple weeks. Gonna look into this games outcome deeper. see you guys in the Ncaaf forums
NFL-X 21-19 (53%) ( +38 units )
NFL Season 15-13-1 ( 54%) ( +43.75 units )
NCAAF 30-15-1 (67%) ( +259.9 units )
0-1 night. here. I must admit I grossly underestimated the Hawks defense. But nonetheless I think I may lay off the NFL for a bit here and do some research. Something was up with this game. I will dig up the dirt on this one. How the refs have the power to call a game like that at the end is insane. Jennings clearly had the INT and I am ashamed to even say this is rigged. But Idk what else it could be here. I am not putting my hard earned money on something that I have to be on the right side of just before the game starts. If I see something I like I will post and play it but dont expect me around the NFL forums for a couple weeks. Gonna look into this games outcome deeper. see you guys in the Ncaaf forums
NFL-X 21-19 (53%) ( +38 units )
NFL Season 15-13-1 ( 54%) ( +43.75 units )
NCAAF 30-15-1 (67%) ( +259.9 units )
0-1 night. here. I must admit I grossly underestimated the Hawks defense. But nonetheless I think I may lay off the NFL for a bit here and do some research. Something was up with this game. I will dig up the dirt on this one. How the refs have the power to call a game like that at the end is insane. Jennings clearly had the INT and I am ashamed to even say this is rigged. But Idk what else it could be here. I am not putting my hard earned money on something that I have to be on the right side of just before the game starts. If I see something I like I will post and play it but dont expect me around the NFL forums for a couple weeks. Gonna look into this games outcome deeper. see you guys in the Ncaaf forums
your pick was winner!!!
conngrats razor
NFL-X 21-19 (53%) ( +38 units )
NFL Season 15-13-1 ( 54%) ( +43.75 units )
NCAAF 30-15-1 (67%) ( +259.9 units )
0-1 night. here. I must admit I grossly underestimated the Hawks defense. But nonetheless I think I may lay off the NFL for a bit here and do some research. Something was up with this game. I will dig up the dirt on this one. How the refs have the power to call a game like that at the end is insane. Jennings clearly had the INT and I am ashamed to even say this is rigged. But Idk what else it could be here. I am not putting my hard earned money on something that I have to be on the right side of just before the game starts. If I see something I like I will post and play it but dont expect me around the NFL forums for a couple weeks. Gonna look into this games outcome deeper. see you guys in the Ncaaf forums
your pick was winner!!!
conngrats razor
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