The Rams offense is finally close to full strength and should be better than their 12th-place ranking in DVOA.
At wide receiver, Cooper Kupp will play in just his fifth game. Puka Nacua will look to play in his first full game after an ejection cut his first healthy afternoon of the year last week.
Along the offensive line, Jonah Jackson (shoulder) and Steve Avila (knee) will both come off the injured reserve.
Matthew Stafford should time time to throw and receivers open against a Dolphins defense that ranks 22nd in pressure rate (20.4%) and 27th in DVOA against the pass.
From a clean pocket, Stafford has completed 74.5% of his passes for 7.7 yards per attempt with eight touchdowns and one INT compared to a 43.4% completion rate, 5.6 YPA, one touchdown and five interceptions when under pressure.
The Rams defense ranks only four spots better than the Dolphins, but they have a couple of things working in their favor.
First, they've been getting pressure at the second-highest rate in the NFL (29.1%). Per PFF, Tua Tagovailoa's turnover-worthy play rate goes from 0.8% from a clean pocket to 7.7% when pressured.
Secondly, the Rams may not be facing a fully healthy Tyreek Hill, who missed the last two practices of the week with a wrist injury and is listed as questionable.
The Dolphins have been the most overrated team in the market this season in terms of margin against the spread, failing to cover by 8.2 points per game.Rams ML
@RLeith35
Are you paying for these guys? Not judging, just curious. I do watch Wager talk among a few other handicapping shows/podcasts, but last week, for example, they whiffed. It's an entertaining show, sometimes they'll make a good point. Marco is a better capper then TC. Kelly and Joe, not so much.
@Knollywood100
Rleith’s posts in my opinion are some of the most valuable on this board. So many posts on this board are literally naming a team and the spread and who they think will win. That does absolutely nothing for anyone coming here to help make their decision on their play. I wish more people gave insight when they made a pic instead of just listing a team name.
if you have information that you can add to the board I’m sure everyone here would love it. It’s all about us against the book and trying to make money. Anything you can add is more than welcome.
I will add that right or wrong. I will never just list a name of a team, but I will always give my thoughts about why I would pick such team. Those thoughts are really the only value this board has.
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