NFL SEASON 2015-2016 PICKS

234/10 = 23.4. Thats 23. 

Thanks. I hope you did better yesterday. Congrats if you did.

Unfortunately, i will do the mods but won't share it here. I will just post my picks. I thought this was a community where people build things together not just criticize and grab. All you people on here do is make promises and statements that shows you guys have been waiting for it to fail. lol. I'm not worried.

How about developing something to continuously out think the Oddsmakers? Even if its for a short period of time? huh? 

I watched most games yesterday and for those that i didn't see.....i will look for the replays on youtube. I saw one similar factor between the Broncos, Packers, and Patriots. I will make the adjustments. 

If you notice, i stop answering most questions and removed the templates for the system. I'm content with just sharing the picks until i feel as if its not accepted.

I've already run the spreadsheet and figured out the predicted teams for Week 7.  Waiting of course for the Power Rankings to come out that might change 1 or 2 picks from what i can see so far.

Interestingly if i remove method #2 (add top 7 Power rankings) nd use only method #1 & #3. The season total would be:

Predictions says O50

PM if you want to share but i think i know what you did. 

What is the theory or the basis of the system, like what is it showing that home teams last 10 scores dictate their upcoming games ?

Why is that - or how can that be ?

I have a system to bet the road dog +3 and ML because they won last year @ a 60% rate - this is a system with a prediction that you will win 6 out 10 bets if you bet this all the time. 

Can you explain this to me on your system ?  and if not , then don't worry about a thing and need you to get mad 

First off, I agree with you, a lot of people on here are just here to try and drag people down.  The thought is that those posters are books or work for the books.  I sort of can see the truth in that.  It's understandable that you'd only want to pick your plays...forget trying to "help" people on here as most are leaches anyways.  If people truly want to help and be helped, they'll message you.

Secondly, I agree with what you said above and have suggested this to you several times.  Here's my thought, the Top 7 are probably the most bet on teams because of the bandwagon fans.  In general, the bandwagon or "casual" gamblers are who bookmakers are after.  Hence, the oddsmakers put the most thought into these lines to trap or beat the casual gamblers.  The other less popular teams probably get much less effort and therefore looser lines and/or less vegas mind tricks, if you believe in that stuff.  You said it yourself in your very first post, in any week, at least 2 favorites will cover.  But you didn't say THEY ALL cover meaning on average only 3-4 will cover.  The numbers say betting the top 7 blindly will eventually become a 50/50 proposition in the long run.  Why pollute your system by adding a 50/50 proposition?

NO.

Actually, you said "more or less" so YES.

"If you notice, i stop answering most questions and removed the templates for the system. I'm content with just sharing the picks until i feel as if its not accepted."

Its was all apart of what was original discovered but i see your point. 

Maybe others do, but I do not - other than taking the last 10 team home scores and then putting a top 7 ranking. 

Your streak is on fire - thanks for posting - best of luck 

As i said,, i think its a fade the public type of play... He calls it a trap.. Well who are they trapping? The public right? There you go its the same thing you can only assume... Because the public goes by what they see,, and low scoring is usually perceived as bad.. Even if it was resulted in a low scoring game on a win,, the public can see this as a bad or a lucky win... Now you opened more doors,, now you have to differentiate what is luck, shenanigans, variance,coaching,motivation,weather? Just to name a few... 

But its a very good starting point because we are all here to look for high percentage and reliable results that can maybe be streamlined....This is just the data side...

Now Remember this sport or form of entertainment is controlled by human beings not something as simple as counting cards in blackjack persay..  And what you see on Tv is never fully captured... I remember seeing this one play where the seahawks was playing on a thursday night about 3-4 years ago where a pass was clearly incomplete,, the receiver caught the pass after it bounced on the ground,, and the camera man immediately turn the camera away,, not only did they not replay it,, they went straight to a comercial,, anyways long story short they gave it to the seahawks... 

Now i spend 10-12 hours per day on this 7 days per week for 5 years... You can imagine how much data i have right? But just to give you a jist about 100 pages worth.. And on my main page it is so congested that i have notes written in each cell,, color coded,, scoring diferentials,, dog/fav,, road,home,, backdoor,,outright dogs,, teams that loses by certain margins  or were shut out,, teams that scored or won by more than x,, ats and outright,, individually graded games where i thought shenanigans has happend and noted,, totals ats,, line movement open to close results,,, early juiced side/late juiced side and results,,, situational trend lines,, large/small market score week specific ats,, Primetime qb against non prime qb ats trends,,, how teams do after win/loss against certain opponents the following game,, divisional, conference,, and non,, primetime specified along with total,, weekly trend heat map,,, ... 

Now this is just one page,, one of my bigger ones,, but theres about 60 spread sheets or so in total... And there's always a way to tweak it... 

Just make sure you are ready for the work load... I've been through hell and back with data,, and watching thousands of games that i still have to extract and record into multiple spread sheets,, that's data right there,, watching the game itself...