line has me worried, steelers seem to obvious w/ the playoffs looming and being at home. Why the gift from Vegas? Especially since it moved down from 3 to 2.5. They may cover but something smells like a dirty tampon here. . Personally I think Steelers should win this but the line makes me worry.
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line has me worried, steelers seem to obvious w/ the playoffs looming and being at home. Why the gift from Vegas? Especially since it moved down from 3 to 2.5. They may cover but something smells like a dirty tampon here. . Personally I think Steelers should win this but the line makes me worry.
KC run D is one of the strangest stats I've seen in awhile, they give up close to 5 yards per carry but have only allowed 2 TDs on the ground this year.
Yards per play is the most strongly correlated statistic to points allowed. I've never seen a team be last in yards per carry against and first in TD's allowed.
Something has to give. Either the Steelers ground and pound and put up big points or the Chiefs stuff em. Hard to tell
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KC run D is one of the strangest stats I've seen in awhile, they give up close to 5 yards per carry but have only allowed 2 TDs on the ground this year.
Yards per play is the most strongly correlated statistic to points allowed. I've never seen a team be last in yards per carry against and first in TD's allowed.
Something has to give. Either the Steelers ground and pound and put up big points or the Chiefs stuff em. Hard to tell
Just heard the Harrison comes back today that gives them a full compliment of LBs but Polamalu and Ike Taylor are out....might want to hold off on this one.....
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Just heard the Harrison comes back today that gives them a full compliment of LBs but Polamalu and Ike Taylor are out....might want to hold off on this one.....
This is a pretty tough handicap imo. I still can't understand how the Chiefs D can be so polar. It's partly due to the system. They play straight zone on just about every play and they go after the QB by slipping through and using quickness rather than bull rushes, but Dontari Poe is a top notch tackle. I believe he is the major reason you can't run the ball into the end zone and the scheme is what allows teams to rack up yards between the 20s
You are right about the KC deep passing game. It doesn't exist. This is partly due to scheme, Reid is a master of the short pass, but also because Smith has limited arm strength and the WR can't stretch the field. They lead the league in TOP
I love the under here, game is a complete tossup
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This is a pretty tough handicap imo. I still can't understand how the Chiefs D can be so polar. It's partly due to the system. They play straight zone on just about every play and they go after the QB by slipping through and using quickness rather than bull rushes, but Dontari Poe is a top notch tackle. I believe he is the major reason you can't run the ball into the end zone and the scheme is what allows teams to rack up yards between the 20s
You are right about the KC deep passing game. It doesn't exist. This is partly due to scheme, Reid is a master of the short pass, but also because Smith has limited arm strength and the WR can't stretch the field. They lead the league in TOP
Why didn't you mention your college football plays? Slaughtered
because when you lose 3 units in NCAAF and then gain 12? in basketball and NFL combined what does the math tell you. I'll even give you time to think about it if you need kiddo
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Quote Originally Posted by Greaseball:
Why didn't you mention your college football plays? Slaughtered
because when you lose 3 units in NCAAF and then gain 12? in basketball and NFL combined what does the math tell you. I'll even give you time to think about it if you need kiddo
I didn't look this up but allowing only 2 rushing TDs the entire year is very very rare. The 2 that come immediately to mind are the 49ers when they went to the super bowl and the 2000 Ravens
Conversely, it's rare to allow 5.0 YPC over a full season, there are probably as few examples
stats tend to even out tho, Bell has 2.7 yards per carry but 1 TD, so we are seeing the stats level in this game
the team that scores TD in RZ is the team that wins, so far it's pitt 1 for 2 and KC ofer 3
took fhu for large because expected few possessions and tough RZ defense, if you took full game you can hedge at attractive numbers
if you took the under good numbers to hedge out you have 41,43,46,47, all number it could conceivably land on
if you took pitt i like where you are sitting, KC can't score in RZ, pitt can
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this is and was an interesting game statistically
I didn't look this up but allowing only 2 rushing TDs the entire year is very very rare. The 2 that come immediately to mind are the 49ers when they went to the super bowl and the 2000 Ravens
Conversely, it's rare to allow 5.0 YPC over a full season, there are probably as few examples
stats tend to even out tho, Bell has 2.7 yards per carry but 1 TD, so we are seeing the stats level in this game
the team that scores TD in RZ is the team that wins, so far it's pitt 1 for 2 and KC ofer 3
took fhu for large because expected few possessions and tough RZ defense, if you took full game you can hedge at attractive numbers
if you took the under good numbers to hedge out you have 41,43,46,47, all number it could conceivably land on
if you took pitt i like where you are sitting, KC can't score in RZ, pitt can
Nice hit on Pitt bro. Leaning hard on the under the Arz game. Still looking at the side
I got that game pegged as a 28-10 Seattle win...tough call on the total. AZ run defense has looked awful last 4 games. Lynch should have a great day. Lindley should make multiple mistakes and lets not forget AZ has absolutely nothing to play for. My book has an alternate line I will likely be playing of Seahawks -14.5 +200
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Quote Originally Posted by Beningo88:
Nice hit on Pitt bro. Leaning hard on the under the Arz game. Still looking at the side
I got that game pegged as a 28-10 Seattle win...tough call on the total. AZ run defense has looked awful last 4 games. Lynch should have a great day. Lindley should make multiple mistakes and lets not forget AZ has absolutely nothing to play for. My book has an alternate line I will likely be playing of Seahawks -14.5 +200
AZ held Lynch to 39 yards rushing int he first meeting his lowest of the season. Unfortunately AZ's run defense will get worn down as their defense should be on the field most of the game.Couple that with Marshawn Lynch playing with a spirited approach to get redemption of that terrible performance and we have our next double unit play
Adding:
Marshawn Lynch total rushing yards over 71.5 -120 double units
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AZ held Lynch to 39 yards rushing int he first meeting his lowest of the season. Unfortunately AZ's run defense will get worn down as their defense should be on the field most of the game.Couple that with Marshawn Lynch playing with a spirited approach to get redemption of that terrible performance and we have our next double unit play
Adding:
Marshawn Lynch total rushing yards over 71.5 -120 double units
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