Posted:
#1
Kansas City Cheifs @ Chicago Bears
KC's defense played lights out against the steelers last week in what could have been one of their best defensive performances in a long time holding the steelers to 13 total points despite many short fields. Unfortunately they were betrayed by their offense only putting up 9 points for the game. There is a 0.01% chance KC's defense will have enough energy to match their defensive efforts from last week. Their offense has only put up 25 points in the last 4 games and will have a very hard time moving the chains against the Bears defense. After a demoralizing loss and getting stripped of their last playoff hopes, they have to pack up their bags and travel to soldier field to face the Chicago Bears. Bears defense played very good last week and in my eyes played good enough to win the game against the Raiders. If Mike Martz wasn't the stupidest offensive coordinator in the league, he would have handed the ball off to his best playmaker instead of making a inexperienced QB making his first start throw 36 pass attempts and unsurprisingly throw 3 picks. Martz is a retard but im gonna have hope that he'll hand the ball off this game and rely on his defense for the win. As long as he does that and takes the game out of Hanie's hands, I don't see any way the Cheifs will score more than 6 points in this game with or without Orton at the helm. This is also great value at -7, everyone saw the Cheifs battle the steelers to the bitter end last week and Hanie throw 3 picks against the Raiders. The true line for this game should be -10 at the minimum. The reality is that game for the Cheifs was basically a playoff game while the steelers never get up for inferior opponents on the road. Bears roll here.
Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots
Remember when Dwight Freeny and Robert Mathis were one of the deadliest DE duo's in the league? Well in the past 5 games they have a total of 3 sacks between the two of them. What has changed? They definitely dont just "suck this year" I think its due to lack of effort. The Colts are winless and their season is already over so seeing these guys not try for the past 2 months is no surprise and it seems the whole team is playing without any effort lately. Last week they couldn't even cover against the Panthers how could they cover against the Patriots? When your already 0-10, beating the lowly panthers will do nothing and won't mean anything for your season because its just the panthers. This week they play one of their biggest rivals of the past decade. Call me crazy but I think the colts have a very good chance to cover this game. This is essentially their superbowl and I see the Colts defense playing a hard fought game. The last 6 times a team was favored by 20 or more 0 of them covered, including twice by the 2007 'unbeatable' Patriots team. These games always look like a blowout on paper but never ends up that way, It seems all these huge underdogs consider these games the superbowl of their season. I am a diehard patriots fan and I watch every single one of their games and coach Belichick is one of the best at in-game adjustments but they have a tendency to start off slow at times. They were up just 4 against the Jets at halftime before blowing them out in the second half a few weeks ago and started off down 10-0 to the eagles before blowing the doors open last week. I will be playing the Colts +13.5 for the first half because I can see the colts being fired up at the beginning to face their rivals and can see the patriots starting off slow once again. The Patriots are bigger rivals to the Colts then any of their division opponents, there will be effort from this colts team, at least for the first half
Atlanta Falcons @ Houston Texans
Texans are down to their 3rd string QB so I expect their defense to come up huge for them. I love playing on teams without their starting QB. Just like the Eagles against the Giants a few weeks ago the defense held the giants to 10 total points as there defense knew they had very little room for effort with their starting QB not playing. I expect the same from the Texans defense knowing that T.J. Yates is starting. Besides why the hell is the Falcons -3 juiced at +115 with the texans down to their 3rd string QB? something isn't right. I think the Texans have a great chance at an outright victory but I will play it safe with a teaser as I don't see them losing by more than 10 at home with the way their defense has been playing lately and the Titans trying to climb back into the division.
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Everyone knows how bad the Panthers defense is but how bout the Bucs? They have been pretty atrocious since losing Gerald McCoy for the season and trying to replace him with Albert Hayneworth midseason. The Bucs and Panthers both have had very dissapointing seasons thus far and I don't see what either defense will have to play for in this one. The over is 6-1 the last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay. I can see both offenses rolling in this one as neither defense will show any heart. This total should hit 50 early in the fourth quarter.
Bears -7
Colts +13.5 (1H)
Texans +10 / Titans +10
Panthers/ Bucs Over 46.5
This Week:
0-1
Last Week:
5-0
November:
10-1 side bets
0-2 prop bets
KC's defense played lights out against the steelers last week in what could have been one of their best defensive performances in a long time holding the steelers to 13 total points despite many short fields. Unfortunately they were betrayed by their offense only putting up 9 points for the game. There is a 0.01% chance KC's defense will have enough energy to match their defensive efforts from last week. Their offense has only put up 25 points in the last 4 games and will have a very hard time moving the chains against the Bears defense. After a demoralizing loss and getting stripped of their last playoff hopes, they have to pack up their bags and travel to soldier field to face the Chicago Bears. Bears defense played very good last week and in my eyes played good enough to win the game against the Raiders. If Mike Martz wasn't the stupidest offensive coordinator in the league, he would have handed the ball off to his best playmaker instead of making a inexperienced QB making his first start throw 36 pass attempts and unsurprisingly throw 3 picks. Martz is a retard but im gonna have hope that he'll hand the ball off this game and rely on his defense for the win. As long as he does that and takes the game out of Hanie's hands, I don't see any way the Cheifs will score more than 6 points in this game with or without Orton at the helm. This is also great value at -7, everyone saw the Cheifs battle the steelers to the bitter end last week and Hanie throw 3 picks against the Raiders. The true line for this game should be -10 at the minimum. The reality is that game for the Cheifs was basically a playoff game while the steelers never get up for inferior opponents on the road. Bears roll here.
Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots
Remember when Dwight Freeny and Robert Mathis were one of the deadliest DE duo's in the league? Well in the past 5 games they have a total of 3 sacks between the two of them. What has changed? They definitely dont just "suck this year" I think its due to lack of effort. The Colts are winless and their season is already over so seeing these guys not try for the past 2 months is no surprise and it seems the whole team is playing without any effort lately. Last week they couldn't even cover against the Panthers how could they cover against the Patriots? When your already 0-10, beating the lowly panthers will do nothing and won't mean anything for your season because its just the panthers. This week they play one of their biggest rivals of the past decade. Call me crazy but I think the colts have a very good chance to cover this game. This is essentially their superbowl and I see the Colts defense playing a hard fought game. The last 6 times a team was favored by 20 or more 0 of them covered, including twice by the 2007 'unbeatable' Patriots team. These games always look like a blowout on paper but never ends up that way, It seems all these huge underdogs consider these games the superbowl of their season. I am a diehard patriots fan and I watch every single one of their games and coach Belichick is one of the best at in-game adjustments but they have a tendency to start off slow at times. They were up just 4 against the Jets at halftime before blowing them out in the second half a few weeks ago and started off down 10-0 to the eagles before blowing the doors open last week. I will be playing the Colts +13.5 for the first half because I can see the colts being fired up at the beginning to face their rivals and can see the patriots starting off slow once again. The Patriots are bigger rivals to the Colts then any of their division opponents, there will be effort from this colts team, at least for the first half
Atlanta Falcons @ Houston Texans
Texans are down to their 3rd string QB so I expect their defense to come up huge for them. I love playing on teams without their starting QB. Just like the Eagles against the Giants a few weeks ago the defense held the giants to 10 total points as there defense knew they had very little room for effort with their starting QB not playing. I expect the same from the Texans defense knowing that T.J. Yates is starting. Besides why the hell is the Falcons -3 juiced at +115 with the texans down to their 3rd string QB? something isn't right. I think the Texans have a great chance at an outright victory but I will play it safe with a teaser as I don't see them losing by more than 10 at home with the way their defense has been playing lately and the Titans trying to climb back into the division.
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Everyone knows how bad the Panthers defense is but how bout the Bucs? They have been pretty atrocious since losing Gerald McCoy for the season and trying to replace him with Albert Hayneworth midseason. The Bucs and Panthers both have had very dissapointing seasons thus far and I don't see what either defense will have to play for in this one. The over is 6-1 the last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay. I can see both offenses rolling in this one as neither defense will show any heart. This total should hit 50 early in the fourth quarter.
Bears -7 Colts +13.5 (1H) Texans +10 / Titans +10 Panthers/ Bucs Over 46.5 This Week:
0-1
Last Week:
5-0
November:
10-1 side bets
0-2 prop bets
0
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