*** NFL Sunday Ticket *** +41.5 Units in October

Washington Redskins @ New York Giants

Giants just completely embarrassed the 49ers on the road in one of the biggest revenge games of the year. Everyone knows how tough the 49ers are, what the Giants did was flat out impressive! Well guess what, there in a horrible spot this week. The Giants have to travel 2,400 miles after a VERY physical game and play another tough divisional game. The Redskins only have to travel 198 miles and everyone knows how the Giants play significantly better as underdogs and on the road. Well there a home favorite here. Redskins will keep this game close and have a great chance of winning SU. For whatever reason, the Redskins D (although shitty) really plays the Giants well.

The last three times these teams played, the Giants were held to 10, 14, and 17 points.

Teams playing as home divisional favorites the week before playing as divisional dogs are 8-26 ATS (23.5%) the past 5 years.

----------------------------------------------------------

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Oakland Raiders

Tough beat for the Raiders, they outplayed the Falcons and had a very good chance of winning SU. The Raiders were coming off a bye and had 2 weeks to prepare for the Falcons, giving it there all. Big underdogs that come up just an inch short like that in a big game are emotionally drained the week after. The Raiders had a chance of taking out the undefeated Falcons and did enough to win only to blow it all away on the last drive. How are they going to get up and compete with as much effort for the lowly Jaguars?

Favorable things going the Jags way:

1) Raiders are traveling cross country from ATL to OAK (2,125 miles)
2) Raiders off an emotional loss, had a huge win in the palm of their hands against an undefeated Falcons team and let it slip away.
3) Jaguars off a blowout loss to the Bears
4) Jaguars off a bye week, have had 2 weeks to hear about how crappy they played and 2 weeks to game-plan for the Raiders.

-Jaguars won and covered 4 straight vs Raiders
-Raiders 3-17-1 ATS past 21 games as favorite

----------------------------------------------------------

Green Bay Packers @ St. Louis Rams

One of the reasons I took the Packers ML over the Texans last week was due to inexperience. The Texans are now 1-5 ATS on primetime while playing only 1 playoff game as a group together. The Texans are way too young of a team to win a primetime game as a favorite against a championship team off a loss. It just wasn't going to happen. Inexperienced teams don't have what it takes to win a big game like that, despite the fact that the Texans are a much more complete team than the Packers. Now, let's get to this game. The Rams are 3-0 SU and ATS this year at home. They have the #6 ranked secondary in the league and are #6 in total sacks. Tons of people will jump on GB this week after seeing them blowout the Texans on SNF but it was just a very favorable spot for them and too big of a game for the young Texans. I like the Rams here off a loss, playing at home, and catching 5 points against once again a Packers team that's public perception is higher than it should be.

Jaguars +4 -                               5 units
Redskins +7 (-120) -                   3 units
Rams +5 -                                   2 units
Jaguars +11 / Redskins +14 -    5 units

Love it, I was on all of these already as well! Let's cash this weekend! 

yes! i love all 3

No Ravens?

run dmc is going to have a field day on the jags, like the other plays though

giants will put up 17 in the 1st half this week

Good write ups, thanks, good luck.

Redskins play Giants well, I think +6 will be enough. I'm thinking about Rams. I been playing the Rams a lot, I like them in this situation, but I dont like betting against GB. 

Good luck! Always like to take a peek at what you got before I lock in anything. If we are on the same side I am normally in good shape.

Great analaysis on these games League Capper!! I have been playing alot of home dogs.Hope this trend continues! BOL on your plays this week.

Great stuff as always, LeagueCapper. Already got the 'Skins and the Rams for this Sunday. What are your thoughts on Steelers v Bengals? I'm strongly leaning towards the Bengals in this one. Off of two back-to-back losses that they could have won, especially the one in Miami. Not to mention, the Steelers are getting way too much love once again. This squad is clearly on the downside and the injuries it continually suffers further exacerbates their situation. That said, I'll take the team with the points and homefield advantage most of the time.  

And I forgot to mention, this being a divisional game which the Steelers have always gotten the better of, the Bengals may be extra motivated to finally hand its rival a loss that will not only be sweet revenge but also puts them ahead of the standings. 

Your right about the steelers, there not that good this year but in my opinion, the Bengals are getting too much love as well. There wins have come against the Browns and the Jaguars and they only beat the Redskins cuz all the injuries they sustained in-game. Mike Tomlin's record off a loss speaks for itself. I won't be playing this game though trying to keep selective and only play a few a week and feel the three I have are better suited. GL though

Nope, Texans in a good spot here, unfortunate that the spread spiraled out of control

No matter how good a spot it's hard to bet Jaguars for me.

I see a 3-0 coming for you this week. Thanks and good luck to all of us!

LC you like bears ML for survivor or Minnesota?

Good work League 

However, the Jags are making the same west coast trip as the Raiders

always appreciate the insight!

Agreed...great work and good luck LC!

houston is a young inexperienced team?

the only players that are young are jj watt, connor barwin, and brooks reed...i think on average the packers players are younger than houstons................

Bears