Why exactly are the Pats favored in Soldier Field? I guess because Brady is 19-1 in his last 20 October games, but this is statement time in Chicago. This team is on the cusp of being great, but needs a signature win to get on the map. Chicago over RSW was a big o/u bet from me before the season started and I took them to win their division a few weeks ago as this team is heavily underrated with their new coaching staff at the moment.
Not a good spot for New England this Sunday as they have several problems of their own this week, and will be facing a team that is extremely motivated to get a W any way they can to showcase the #1 defense from the NFC against the AFC champs. The loss in Miami means nothing here, and Chicago will be my biggest play of the month as I don’t expect the Patriots to win this game - and I’m willing to bet big that they don’t. Note: Bryce Callahan is the most important player on the Bears defense, and he is now a game time decision to play which is upsetting. Only reason i'm not adding Bears ML but I still like it. Will add if he is a go.
Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles
Say hello to the most underrated team in the league heading into week 7. The Carolina Panthers have been a shell of themselves all season long, and yet they are still sitting with a winning record of 3-2. Now they get Philly on the road, followed by home games with Baltimore and Tampa; and I expect them to be far more competitive moving forward. I’m taking the Panthers big this weekend, and I’m also adding 1x on them to win the NFC at +2300 and 2x on them to win the division at +335.
Carolina is a team that is flying under the radar in the NFC at the moment, as they haven’t been consistent while being vastly unhealthy. I believe this week will mark a turning point in their season however. Outside of the Seahawks, Carolina has played in more big games than any team in the NFC over the past 5 years. They’ve made vast upgrades to their team in the off-season, have one of the best front 7s in the league, and are now finally healthy. Overall I just think Carolina is better suited to win this game than Philly is right now. Let’s see how this team looks after back to back games against the Eagles and Ravens.
Panthers +6 -118 (4x)
Bears +3 -120 (6x)
Bucs -3.5 (3x)
Bucs TT Over (1x)
Rams -9.5 (2x)
49ers TT Under (1x)
Bengals +6 (3x)
Bears +10.5 / Rams -3 -135 (1x)
Bears +10 / Panthers +12.5 -120 (1x)
Bears +10 / Giants +11 -120 (2x)
NFL YTD: 47-20 ATS +61.90 Units
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears
Why exactly are the Pats favored in Soldier Field? I guess because Brady is 19-1 in his last 20 October games, but this is statement time in Chicago. This team is on the cusp of being great, but needs a signature win to get on the map. Chicago over RSW was a big o/u bet from me before the season started and I took them to win their division a few weeks ago as this team is heavily underrated with their new coaching staff at the moment.
Not a good spot for New England this Sunday as they have several problems of their own this week, and will be facing a team that is extremely motivated to get a W any way they can to showcase the #1 defense from the NFC against the AFC champs. The loss in Miami means nothing here, and Chicago will be my biggest play of the month as I don’t expect the Patriots to win this game - and I’m willing to bet big that they don’t. Note: Bryce Callahan is the most important player on the Bears defense, and he is now a game time decision to play which is upsetting. Only reason i'm not adding Bears ML but I still like it. Will add if he is a go.
Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles
Say hello to the most underrated team in the league heading into week 7. The Carolina Panthers have been a shell of themselves all season long, and yet they are still sitting with a winning record of 3-2. Now they get Philly on the road, followed by home games with Baltimore and Tampa; and I expect them to be far more competitive moving forward. I’m taking the Panthers big this weekend, and I’m also adding 1x on them to win the NFC at +2300 and 2x on them to win the division at +335.
Carolina is a team that is flying under the radar in the NFC at the moment, as they haven’t been consistent while being vastly unhealthy. I believe this week will mark a turning point in their season however. Outside of the Seahawks, Carolina has played in more big games than any team in the NFC over the past 5 years. They’ve made vast upgrades to their team in the off-season, have one of the best front 7s in the league, and are now finally healthy. Overall I just think Carolina is better suited to win this game than Philly is right now. Let’s see how this team looks after back to back games against the Eagles and Ravens.
Good to see you on the Bears LC. I did put some on the ML myself.
Right on about Callahan. He is the best Nickel Corner in the NFL. You know the Pats will use multiple sets so a good Nickel back is crucial. It sucks that he got hurt in practice on Thursday. Yet this Bears secondary has depth and talent.
Backups who can fill in:
Mcmanis, rated 91 by pff
Houston-Carson, rated 65.8
Deon Bush, rated 64.2
You know your Pats pretty good. I saw them blitz Mahomes a lot. Gotta think they do the same to Trubisky?
Guy and Flowers are incredible. Other then them, their D overall is average. Usually it comes down to scheme and critical stops for them. No other real studs on that D, all though Gilmore has been good. Slow linebackers.
The Bears D blitzed more than ever vs the Phins last week. Prior to that game they had the lowest blitz % in the league, and still got to the QB better than anyone. I expect Fangio to pull in the reins again. You simple can't blitz Brady. If they get home with 4, the Pats will have a tough time all game.
Sorry just rambling. I just know that you are a Pats guy and I'm a Bears guy. We could probably write a novel on this matchup.
Best of Luck
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Good to see you on the Bears LC. I did put some on the ML myself.
Right on about Callahan. He is the best Nickel Corner in the NFL. You know the Pats will use multiple sets so a good Nickel back is crucial. It sucks that he got hurt in practice on Thursday. Yet this Bears secondary has depth and talent.
Backups who can fill in:
Mcmanis, rated 91 by pff
Houston-Carson, rated 65.8
Deon Bush, rated 64.2
You know your Pats pretty good. I saw them blitz Mahomes a lot. Gotta think they do the same to Trubisky?
Guy and Flowers are incredible. Other then them, their D overall is average. Usually it comes down to scheme and critical stops for them. No other real studs on that D, all though Gilmore has been good. Slow linebackers.
The Bears D blitzed more than ever vs the Phins last week. Prior to that game they had the lowest blitz % in the league, and still got to the QB better than anyone. I expect Fangio to pull in the reins again. You simple can't blitz Brady. If they get home with 4, the Pats will have a tough time all game.
Sorry just rambling. I just know that you are a Pats guy and I'm a Bears guy. We could probably write a novel on this matchup.
Panthers could be the most overrated team in the NFL. What “big games” have they played? The 1-5 Giants? The 2-4 Falcons? Or losing to the mediocre Skins? Their defense has absolutely no pass rush and Wentz will pick them apart at home. Panthers are bottom 8 in sacks, bottom 5 in QB hits. Yet on the other side, Cam gets flustered when he’s under pressure. Guess who leads the NFL in QB hit rate...BY A LOT. Yes, the Eagles. Yet this dude picked the Skins to win the division so I’m not surprised. Keep blindly following people, just here to warn you.
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Panthers could be the most overrated team in the NFL. What “big games” have they played? The 1-5 Giants? The 2-4 Falcons? Or losing to the mediocre Skins? Their defense has absolutely no pass rush and Wentz will pick them apart at home. Panthers are bottom 8 in sacks, bottom 5 in QB hits. Yet on the other side, Cam gets flustered when he’s under pressure. Guess who leads the NFL in QB hit rate...BY A LOT. Yes, the Eagles. Yet this dude picked the Skins to win the division so I’m not surprised. Keep blindly following people, just here to warn you.
I'm sure it's been reported to the league that they both will start and it's reflected with the very inviting patriot backers short line and if the ankle of Mack or the groin of Robinson's becomes an issue during the game.....Poof! Up comes the tent on the sidelines and in goes the take me out of pain for the rest of the game juice because I'm going back in for this game Nagy.
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Quote Originally Posted by smartass:
you like bears even with mack and robinson hurt?
I'm sure it's been reported to the league that they both will start and it's reflected with the very inviting patriot backers short line and if the ankle of Mack or the groin of Robinson's becomes an issue during the game.....Poof! Up comes the tent on the sidelines and in goes the take me out of pain for the rest of the game juice because I'm going back in for this game Nagy.
Panthers could be the most overrated team in the NFL. What “big games” have they played? The 1-5 Giants? The 2-4 Falcons? Or losing to the mediocre Skins? Their defense has absolutely no pass rush and Wentz will pick them apart at home. Panthers are bottom 8 in sacks, bottom 5 in QB hits. Yet on the other side, Cam gets flustered when he’s under pressure. Guess who leads the NFL in QB hit rate...BY A LOT. Yes, the Eagles. Yet this dude picked the Skins to win the division so I’m not surprised. Keep blindly following people, just here to warn you.
Did you forget to look at his record so far this year before chirping off? You seem to take it personal when someone is against your Eagles. Who are you referring to about blindly following? Carolina +6 really isn't that bad of a pick is it?
Didn't you have three wagers on Arizona on Thursday? How did that turn out for you wagering on such a god awful squad?
You learn more from losing than winning. You learn how to keep going.
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Quote Originally Posted by FallopianTuber:
Panthers could be the most overrated team in the NFL. What “big games” have they played? The 1-5 Giants? The 2-4 Falcons? Or losing to the mediocre Skins? Their defense has absolutely no pass rush and Wentz will pick them apart at home. Panthers are bottom 8 in sacks, bottom 5 in QB hits. Yet on the other side, Cam gets flustered when he’s under pressure. Guess who leads the NFL in QB hit rate...BY A LOT. Yes, the Eagles. Yet this dude picked the Skins to win the division so I’m not surprised. Keep blindly following people, just here to warn you.
Did you forget to look at his record so far this year before chirping off? You seem to take it personal when someone is against your Eagles. Who are you referring to about blindly following? Carolina +6 really isn't that bad of a pick is it?
Didn't you have three wagers on Arizona on Thursday? How did that turn out for you wagering on such a god awful squad?
Really like the Bears, didn't have conviction for this level wager but I'm getting there. not having Marcus Cannon is a big deal - pressure is the best antidote to the Pats O... I am assuming that we believe that Mack is for sure suiting up? How do you sit this game.. That slot corner - Callaghan - updates dont look great...
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Really like the Bears, didn't have conviction for this level wager but I'm getting there. not having Marcus Cannon is a big deal - pressure is the best antidote to the Pats O... I am assuming that we believe that Mack is for sure suiting up? How do you sit this game.. That slot corner - Callaghan - updates dont look great...
Only way I take the Bears is if Mack plays. He has a bad ankle so not sure his status. What problems are you taking about when it comes to NE?
As far as the Carolina play what are you talking about? Underrated? The almost lost to the giants at home while giving up 30 points. They had one good win. Cincy... lost to crappy Atlanta. Lost last week at Washington now another road game.
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Only way I take the Bears is if Mack plays. He has a bad ankle so not sure his status. What problems are you taking about when it comes to NE?
As far as the Carolina play what are you talking about? Underrated? The almost lost to the giants at home while giving up 30 points. They had one good win. Cincy... lost to crappy Atlanta. Lost last week at Washington now another road game.
Good to see you on the Bears LC. I did put some on the ML myself.
Right on about Callahan. He is the best Nickel Corner in the NFL. You know the Pats will use multiple sets so a good Nickel back is crucial. It sucks that he got hurt in practice on Thursday. Yet this Bears secondary has depth and talent.
Backups who can fill in:
Mcmanis, rated 91 by pff
Houston-Carson, rated 65.8
Deon Bush, rated 64.2
You know your Pats pretty good. I saw them blitz Mahomes a lot. Gotta think they do the same to Trubisky?
Guy and Flowers are incredible. Other then them, their D overall is average. Usually it comes down to scheme and critical stops for them. No other real studs on that D, all though Gilmore has been good. Slow linebackers.
The Bears D blitzed more than ever vs the Phins last week. Prior to that game they had the lowest blitz % in the league, and still got to the QB better than anyone. I expect Fangio to pull in the reins again. You simple can't blitz Brady. If they get home with 4, the Pats will have a tough time all game.
Sorry just rambling. I just know that you are a Pats guy and I'm a Bears guy. We could probably write a novel on this matchup.
Best of Luck
Agreed, good thoughts. Hoping he plays but looking forward to the match-up regardless
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Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:
Good to see you on the Bears LC. I did put some on the ML myself.
Right on about Callahan. He is the best Nickel Corner in the NFL. You know the Pats will use multiple sets so a good Nickel back is crucial. It sucks that he got hurt in practice on Thursday. Yet this Bears secondary has depth and talent.
Backups who can fill in:
Mcmanis, rated 91 by pff
Houston-Carson, rated 65.8
Deon Bush, rated 64.2
You know your Pats pretty good. I saw them blitz Mahomes a lot. Gotta think they do the same to Trubisky?
Guy and Flowers are incredible. Other then them, their D overall is average. Usually it comes down to scheme and critical stops for them. No other real studs on that D, all though Gilmore has been good. Slow linebackers.
The Bears D blitzed more than ever vs the Phins last week. Prior to that game they had the lowest blitz % in the league, and still got to the QB better than anyone. I expect Fangio to pull in the reins again. You simple can't blitz Brady. If they get home with 4, the Pats will have a tough time all game.
Sorry just rambling. I just know that you are a Pats guy and I'm a Bears guy. We could probably write a novel on this matchup.
Best of Luck
Agreed, good thoughts. Hoping he plays but looking forward to the match-up regardless
Panthers could be the most overrated team in the NFL. What “big games” have they played? The 1-5 Giants? The 2-4 Falcons? Or losing to the mediocre Skins? Their defense has absolutely no pass rush and Wentz will pick them apart at home. Panthers are bottom 8 in sacks, bottom 5 in QB hits. Yet on the other side, Cam gets flustered when he’s under pressure. Guess who leads the NFL in QB hit rate...BY A LOT. Yes, the Eagles. Yet this dude picked the Skins to win the division so I’m not surprised. Keep blindly following people, just here to warn you.
Big games was a reference to the last 5 years, not 5 weeks.
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Quote Originally Posted by FallopianTuber:
Panthers could be the most overrated team in the NFL. What “big games” have they played? The 1-5 Giants? The 2-4 Falcons? Or losing to the mediocre Skins? Their defense has absolutely no pass rush and Wentz will pick them apart at home. Panthers are bottom 8 in sacks, bottom 5 in QB hits. Yet on the other side, Cam gets flustered when he’s under pressure. Guess who leads the NFL in QB hit rate...BY A LOT. Yes, the Eagles. Yet this dude picked the Skins to win the division so I’m not surprised. Keep blindly following people, just here to warn you.
Big games was a reference to the last 5 years, not 5 weeks.
Only way I take the Bears is if Mack plays. He has a bad ankle so not sure his status. What problems are you taking about when it comes to NE?
As far as the Carolina play what are you talking about? Underrated? They almost lost to the giants at home while giving up 30 points. They had one good win. Cincy... lost to crappy Atlanta. Lost last week at Washington now another road game.
Atlanta wasn't crappy in week 2 as they were still healthy then. Losing a road divisional game against a good opponent isn't anything to be ashamed of.
And as mentioned, Carolina hasn't been healthy.
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Quote Originally Posted by WilliamMunny:
Only way I take the Bears is if Mack plays. He has a bad ankle so not sure his status. What problems are you taking about when it comes to NE?
As far as the Carolina play what are you talking about? Underrated? They almost lost to the giants at home while giving up 30 points. They had one good win. Cincy... lost to crappy Atlanta. Lost last week at Washington now another road game.
Atlanta wasn't crappy in week 2 as they were still healthy then. Losing a road divisional game against a good opponent isn't anything to be ashamed of.
Gl this week LC, not convince Bears are good enough offensively to warrant such a big bet, I know Bears defence is really good but if GBay could beat the Bears with an injured QB, I'm sure a healthy Brady could do the same. I do expect this game to stay within a td cause I see the bears being extra motivated for this game but I still expect Pats to do enough to win by at least 3 pts, I took NE-2.5 but would've taken Bears+4.5 had the odds went up to that early on.
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Gl this week LC, not convince Bears are good enough offensively to warrant such a big bet, I know Bears defence is really good but if GBay could beat the Bears with an injured QB, I'm sure a healthy Brady could do the same. I do expect this game to stay within a td cause I see the bears being extra motivated for this game but I still expect Pats to do enough to win by at least 3 pts, I took NE-2.5 but would've taken Bears+4.5 had the odds went up to that early on.
Gl this week LC, not convince Bears are good enough offensively to warrant such a big bet, I know Bears defence is really good but if GBay could beat the Bears with an injured QB, I'm sure a healthy Brady could do the same. I do expect this game to stay within a td cause I see the bears being extra motivated for this game but I still expect Pats to do enough to win by at least 3 pts, I took NE-2.5 but would've taken Bears+4.5 had the odds went up to that early on.
That game was in Green Bay
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Quote Originally Posted by Chauster:
Gl this week LC, not convince Bears are good enough offensively to warrant such a big bet, I know Bears defence is really good but if GBay could beat the Bears with an injured QB, I'm sure a healthy Brady could do the same. I do expect this game to stay within a td cause I see the bears being extra motivated for this game but I still expect Pats to do enough to win by at least 3 pts, I took NE-2.5 but would've taken Bears+4.5 had the odds went up to that early on.
Wentz was almost in grade school 5 years ago. What does 5 years matter with these rosters?
Roster doesn't hold as much weight to me as does coaching + QB play. Both of which have been constant in Carolina for quite some time. Panthers have played in more playoff games than any team in the NFC besides the Seahawks in recent years. This is a big game against the champs, so their experience holds value here
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Quote Originally Posted by FallopianTuber:
Wentz was almost in grade school 5 years ago. What does 5 years matter with these rosters?
Roster doesn't hold as much weight to me as does coaching + QB play. Both of which have been constant in Carolina for quite some time. Panthers have played in more playoff games than any team in the NFC besides the Seahawks in recent years. This is a big game against the champs, so their experience holds value here
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