Posted:
#1
NFL-X 21-19 (53%) ( +38 units )
NFL Season 29-27-2 ( 52%) ( +72.75 units )
NCAAF 51-40-2 (57%) ( +231 units )
MLB 1-0 (100%) (+14 units)
BUCS/VIKES "UNDER" 42 MAX PLAY (15 units)
I am changing my initial lean here based on an observation I have made regarding the Bucs defense. It seems this year so far whenever their defense gives up >20 ppg they follow it up with a huge defensive effort. In those games following > 20 points the defense followed it only giving up 10, 16, 10 for an average of 12 ppg during those games. They just got beat bad by the Saints 28-35. I am expecting a solid performance by the defense here to stay with that average and if they can put up at least one TD they can stay within this number, all while the Vikings too are playing solid defense and together with this mix I see a low scoring game and one the Bucs can stay within the number. My intitial leans were off on this until I capped my own numbers and the current situational probabilities. Here is what I am on tonight. Vikings 13 Bucs 10
GL guys
0
.......GL RS...
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