YTD (NFL): 16-4-1 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 2-0 ATS)
Well...I hope this isn't an omen of what's to come. Had a huge writeup teed up and ready to send and somehow my fancy newish Apple computer decided to crash and restart. So I lost all my reasoning and posts about how incredible of a handicapper I am and how profitable of a weekend I had haha 
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I guess sometimes it's good to make light out of situation. Now I hope I don't get the Bad Gateway error lol.
Joking aside I do have a play here even though the spacing is really wonky today. Nobody will get inside my head b/c I'm not overthinking the game. Yes, AJ Brown is missing but that doesn't necessarily mean that the Eagles will be running aplenty. The Eagles coaches know that Atlanta will be stacking the box so I believe you will see a lot of Dallas Goedert in the seam and DeVonta Smith then catching the defense napping. It's his turn to show the world he too is an Alpha A type receiver.
On the other side of the ball, I just don't see how the Falcons won't score this week. Let's be honest with ourselves, the Pittsburgh defense is legit even if they have only silenced two sub par offenses. But my point is I think that Falcons offense is a bit better than they get credit for after one week. And let's not forget the Eagles defense did get torched last week through the air. I think a lot of the same happens tonight. I'm seeing 5.5 in a lot of places and there are some HEAVY trends that favor the Eagles covering at the 6 number. But, this is not 6 and for that reason my play is:
OVER 46.5 (ATL/PHI): I was tempted to take the first half again but the past few prime time games have seen a heavy scoring FH and then a drop off in the 2nd half. I think this might be the opposite or well I think this games get's closer to 50 
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Hoping everyone had a great start to your week. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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