NFL TODAY MNF PLAYS (9/23)

YTD (NFL): 24-12-1 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 3-1 ATS)

Another really solid weekend and the units are way up though I did also lose my first BIG PLAY yesterday,  As I have said yesterday, what could have been with no overthinking.  Though sweeping the evening was helpful in having a big pay day,

I'm slammmmmmmmed with work today so I'm getting this out early and will be back on later for the other game.  I'm not sure what time I will be back on but I'm pretty sure it will be after 4:30 PST so I would otherwise miss this play, which I like quite a bit.

OVER 46.5 (JAC/BUF):  On paper this might seem high but when you look at past matchups as well as what the Jags tend to do on the road vs. home, I think the total is slightly under where it should be.  interestingly this is a very similar number to the TOTAL from last night which stayed under.  I like Buffalo to have their way with Jacksonville via the air but I think that Jacksonville will be able to move the ball as well and so I'm not expecting an overly "running game" type affair.  Jacksonville will keep this competitive, they need to in order to stay in line with the other AFC contenders, but I think ultimately they fall slightly short.  I wouldn't be surprised to see a 27-21 type game which would get VERY close to both the game line as well as the total, but I just can't see this game staying under tonight.

Hoping everyone had a profitable weekend.  Need to run but here to help.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all....

@LAGameofInches

 We appreciate the write ups. GL tonight!

@MaximusDecimus1

 Thank you, I appreciate that.

GL tonight!

BOL on your pick!!  Thank you for the research 

GL  on your plays @LAGameofInches 

Thank you everyone.  I might take a flyer with a prop bet on Gabe Davis coming back to his old stomping grounds. Only deterrent is how inconsistent Trevor Lawrence has been but I think his mobility will buy him time and allow Davis to get behind defenders.  

Not sure if anyone else has an angle on the same or thoughts on it?

you got any other plays tonight?

I do and it's a BIG PLAY...

CINCINNATI FH (-4)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Why a big play?  Because Cincinnati is far and away a better team but has had a leaky defense to this point.  Add injuries to that and on paper it might seem a bit concerning.  Jayden Daniels will want to do his thing and run more than he probably should but the Bengals play regularly against Lamar Jackson and I think they will be able to game plan for this.  I believe that Tee Higgins presence in of itself will create more room for Ja'amar Chase and, as we have seen, the Bengals running game is negligible at best.  Washington has an AWFUL defense and tonight they will be even more exposed.  I do NOT think there is ANY way that Washington wins this game but I also think dropping over a TD is dangerous if they go into comeback mode at the end of the game.  The FH number of 4 is very interesting because it is flat at -110 meaning I see this at worst a push.  But it's going to win and I feel so much more confident in the FH of a MNF game in which Joe Burrow usually performs quite well.

That is what I have for tonight and hopefully a strong close out to Week 3 of the NFL.  Looking forward to getting a sweep and making up for last MNF's close miss.  As always, do your own research, tail or fade, good luck to all...

These extra points are really becoming an impediment with the misses and then other teams always going for 2.  Solid start need a lot more scoring would love to get the first under our belts. 

@LAGameofInches