YTD (NFL): 85-77-6 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 18-16-1 ATS)
I was really really bad for probably the last 3-4 weeks in the NFL. Took an awesome season and made a mess of it. Obviously losing players in game and betting on teams that then pull starters is a tough proposition but others have handicapped games and done well over this period so I'm less angered and more perplexed. That being said, my Ravens whom I've historically done extremely well handicapping are playing today though I've lost so much earned money over the past month it almost makes me post with some trepidation. That being said, I always encourage you to do your own research. Here are my plays for today:
LAC (-2.5): I was going to play this at 3 and then got 2.5 so I'll jump all over it. Over the past 10 games, the Chargers are 8-2 ATS while the Texans are 4-5-1 ATS. That should give you an idea of how the teams are playing coming into this game. I also really don't like when teams pull their players early in a game which is what the Texans did vs. the Titans last week. One drive for Nico Collins and CJ Stroudt when they have not been playing well over the past month isn't really how I'd like to see the Texans coming into this affair, even if it is at home. Furthermore, the Chargers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 played vs. the Texans and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 played in Houston. I know it's hard to take a road team in the playoffs, especially the wild card round, but the Chargers are healthier (if you can believe that) and have a far better coach who has been in games of this magnitude throughout his career. I like DeMarco Ryan but I think he is one and done, along with the rest of the Texans.
PITTSBURGH (+10)...bought half point: I'm not even sure you need to buy the half point because these games are generally close outside of the last time these two squared off. And in that game, the first of the current losing streak for the Steelers, the Ravens had a full offensive attack and the Steelers were without George Pickens, who generally speaking is their best and only receiver. The Ravens were and still are susceptible to TE's and Pat Freiermuth has been really solid of late. But the Ravens have played rock solid defense over the past month and a half and the Steelers are just stuck in the mud on offense. For me I think the fact that Zay Flowers is out of this game gives Lamar one less weapon that can stretch the field and while Mark Andrews has been awesome and should probably score again, I think it's going to be hard to fully trash the Steelers, despite the Ravens averaging about 30 points at home. If the Steelers D comes to play, I think you will get a far closer affair as both coaches are top notch and know one another well. I'm thinking something like 24-20 type of game or even 24-17. Not to mention the Steelers have scored considerably more on the road and that in of itself is why I decided not to play the UNDER.
Hoping everyone is as excited for these games as I am. Heavy slate of college basketball as well so stay selective and disciplined. As for myself, I just need to stay on course and get out of this slump. With that said, keep comments positive, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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