YTD (NFL): 39-22-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 6-3 ATS)
Won last time out so everything is up to date. Watching this first game or at least some of the second half I almost feel sorry for Jacksonville. Loads of penalties called against them as they were about to get off the filed and then they give up TD's. No dog in hunt here but I will say it's not been called both ways. Also losing Etienne was paralyzing and their WRs drop crazy balls.
On to the remains games, have a handful I like but I'm not sure I can back the Ravens today. Honestly they just crumble at the end of games and while I like them to win, I think dropping 6 points is too rich for me. Jayden Daniels on the other hand has been masterful at moving the ball and the Ravens, as good of a defense as they have, are susceptible to giving up yards. With NO Brian Robinson playing for the Commanders, that means more Ekeler, who is also dangerous out of the backfield but not quite as powerful.Trends have tended to side to the OVER so maybe that would be a good angle. Just letting you know how I see it.
Here are the games I am personally on after all that being said...
UNDER 43 (TB/NO): With no David Carr playing and no Taysom Hill, the Saints should try and lean more on Kamara to try and move the ball. For TB, they are still facing a very tough defense on the road and will be without RB Rashaad White, which is not a tremendous loss. The trends are also strongly pointing to the under in this matchup and I think that without Carr slinging the ball, points will be very hard to come by for both sides.
OVER 42 (CLE/PHI): Not sure how many people realize that the Browns, for as bad as they have been, are scoring and getting scored on when playing on the road, pretty consistently. They have a full complement of offensive pieces and the Eagles are back to full strength and will want to make sure they get this W at home. That doesnt' mean that the scoreboard wont' be active as the Eagles have NOT been great against WR's, though the Browns don't really evoke fear in opposing secondaries. They have gone over the total in 11 of the past 13 games on the road though and I see that continuing here.
NEW ENGLAND (+6.5): Not going to go into long hyperbole on this one. Backing the fact that NE has gone 5-0 SU vs. Houston at home and 6-1 when facing Houston at home. I can't imagine Maye being worse than Brissett (maybe I'll be eating my words after this one) but the Texans tend to start off strong then fade in the second half and the points can be valuable given the trends and the loss of the leading WR in the NFL for the Texans.
That's it for the AM slate, dont' want to press, really thinking about another play on Tennessee or one on the Ravens game. But I want to make sure I'm not doing it just for the sake of posing as I know there are people that do tail. I encourage everyone to do their own research and maybe try to keep comments positive. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
HOW COULD YOU BET NE ?? 
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