Really feel like I have a good read on the season now. Trust the Process and sticking to my guns! This week a couple lines sticking out like a sore thumb to me. When the stars align, believe in your system!
Chiefs -1 +1174 units
Bengals -1 +1134 units
Chiefs +7.5, Bengals +7.5 -1203 units
I will also be on the Cowboys to some capacity, guess depends on how the above 2 games shakes out, King of Texas is the Cowboys and if the Texans were willing to lose to the Jets, they are more than welcome to lose in Jerry's world.
Small card this week! Good Luck all!
Stay humble, always trust your process and never switch up!
3
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD 9-22
YTD -45.41
Really feel like I have a good read on the season now. Trust the Process and sticking to my guns! This week a couple lines sticking out like a sore thumb to me. When the stars align, believe in your system!
Chiefs -1 +1174 units
Bengals -1 +1134 units
Chiefs +7.5, Bengals +7.5 -1203 units
I will also be on the Cowboys to some capacity, guess depends on how the above 2 games shakes out, King of Texas is the Cowboys and if the Texans were willing to lose to the Jets, they are more than welcome to lose in Jerry's world.
Small card this week! Good Luck all!
Stay humble, always trust your process and never switch up!
@Taipei-Tony Any thoughts on the game tonight? Why and what makes you bet these games so early in the week? You see the line moving? Is there a benefit betting a Sunday game on Thursday? BOL
I can make a case for both teams covering and winning. First look I actually liked the Commanders, they have the dogs to beat up this Eagles Defense who I think is average at best, there are a few keys that most people will not give any thoughts on, Dan Quinn was the Cowboys D-Cord the last couple of seasons, he knows this Eagles team well. This Commander Defense have seen this Eagle O plus Barkley (giants) for a while now. Quinn got these boys flying to the football like those Dallas Cowboys of last couple of seasons, but thats not enough for me to BET the Commanders this game, they havent really beat anyone this year, especially as of late, after beating the Cardinals they beat the Browns, Panthers, Bears ( Hell Marry ), Giants, not a very impressive list. Fading the Eagles have not been smart this season, maybe Hurts isnt hurt this year, the Barkley effect is opening up everything, fading them vs a rookie QB with only 3.5 to 4 points isnt enough for me, not matter how suspect I think of their defense. Next is the line, screams Commanders to me, although I do believe this line to be fair, the power of half a point, at -3 it might invite a bit to much Eagles action, at 3.5 and now 4, its FAIR! So my thoughts..... the line and the experience of the Eagles is pushing me away from betting this game.
Same with the Ravens and Steelers game, mark key game, I have everything pointing towards the Steelers, but not going to fade Lamar ( Mr. Jackson ) dont want to hear that " Im sorry Mrs. Jackson " song all week
Too late in the season, I am down too much to be throwing money around like I have an unlimited bank roll ( 100 units ) win or lose is always my number, maybe if I was up 40+ units I will throw a bone out there, but not now, not tonight. My goal is still to throw up a +100 unit season in the NFL like I did in the NBA and MLB!
Why I bet early? No I do not know anything, I have no inside info, I like a game I am going to bet it, the line moves are all a mind fuck, bet who you think will win, so many angles into betting, but tell you the truth one small reason is we are all humans and I do not want to be influenced hearing shit during the week or seeing someone I respect on a certain side to throw me off my game.
3
Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz:
@Taipei-Tony Any thoughts on the game tonight? Why and what makes you bet these games so early in the week? You see the line moving? Is there a benefit betting a Sunday game on Thursday? BOL
I can make a case for both teams covering and winning. First look I actually liked the Commanders, they have the dogs to beat up this Eagles Defense who I think is average at best, there are a few keys that most people will not give any thoughts on, Dan Quinn was the Cowboys D-Cord the last couple of seasons, he knows this Eagles team well. This Commander Defense have seen this Eagle O plus Barkley (giants) for a while now. Quinn got these boys flying to the football like those Dallas Cowboys of last couple of seasons, but thats not enough for me to BET the Commanders this game, they havent really beat anyone this year, especially as of late, after beating the Cardinals they beat the Browns, Panthers, Bears ( Hell Marry ), Giants, not a very impressive list. Fading the Eagles have not been smart this season, maybe Hurts isnt hurt this year, the Barkley effect is opening up everything, fading them vs a rookie QB with only 3.5 to 4 points isnt enough for me, not matter how suspect I think of their defense. Next is the line, screams Commanders to me, although I do believe this line to be fair, the power of half a point, at -3 it might invite a bit to much Eagles action, at 3.5 and now 4, its FAIR! So my thoughts..... the line and the experience of the Eagles is pushing me away from betting this game.
Same with the Ravens and Steelers game, mark key game, I have everything pointing towards the Steelers, but not going to fade Lamar ( Mr. Jackson ) dont want to hear that " Im sorry Mrs. Jackson " song all week
Too late in the season, I am down too much to be throwing money around like I have an unlimited bank roll ( 100 units ) win or lose is always my number, maybe if I was up 40+ units I will throw a bone out there, but not now, not tonight. My goal is still to throw up a +100 unit season in the NFL like I did in the NBA and MLB!
Why I bet early? No I do not know anything, I have no inside info, I like a game I am going to bet it, the line moves are all a mind fuck, bet who you think will win, so many angles into betting, but tell you the truth one small reason is we are all humans and I do not want to be influenced hearing shit during the week or seeing someone I respect on a certain side to throw me off my game.
@Taipei-Tony I have trust in you, With all the way brother
Thank you!!!!!
No 80 hours week here, Not a language art major so no pretty words coming for me, but I do LOVE what I do, never buck away from my process, do not hide from my loses and will never go after someone unless provoked, one last thing, I will never CRY WOLF!! If I SUCK I SUCK! We are all humans, no one is perfect.
3
Quote Originally Posted by Maukaboy:
@Taipei-Tony I have trust in you, With all the way brother
Thank you!!!!!
No 80 hours week here, Not a language art major so no pretty words coming for me, but I do LOVE what I do, never buck away from my process, do not hide from my loses and will never go after someone unless provoked, one last thing, I will never CRY WOLF!! If I SUCK I SUCK! We are all humans, no one is perfect.
@Taipei-Tony Thanks for the detailed reply. You bring a fresh energy to the forum, do not get send to the bad house again this season or ever.
You been around forever, you know how the forum is, how sports gambling is, the worst are bad streaks but law of averages will eventually catchup, Good Luck and Bad Luck are situations one create for themselves. I actually only use this site to check the score & matchup sections, then slowly creeped over to the forum. Its a unthankful job to post, sort of a waste of a time, lots of people here are just keeping themselves from talking to the mirror. Lots of weirdos around, not going to say any names, that type of shit have got me into enough BS here. Covers have a way to force a fruity friendly vibe, I guess its good for the community instead of a bunch of grown men talking about each other's moms here. A few years back this place was really nice, lots of cappers posting, sharing WHY? Everyone had a posted record then last NBA season I saw a big drop off and started to post regularly in the NBA PAYOFF thread and had major success which I tried to do in the MLB forum which I had another major successful ending. Life gets real and its hard to post all the time, especially when the vibe is bad, but I am going to give this a go, doing things my way! See what happens, I almost called it the season had the Chiefs lost to the Bucs 2 weeks ago
2
Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz:
@Taipei-Tony Thanks for the detailed reply. You bring a fresh energy to the forum, do not get send to the bad house again this season or ever.
You been around forever, you know how the forum is, how sports gambling is, the worst are bad streaks but law of averages will eventually catchup, Good Luck and Bad Luck are situations one create for themselves. I actually only use this site to check the score & matchup sections, then slowly creeped over to the forum. Its a unthankful job to post, sort of a waste of a time, lots of people here are just keeping themselves from talking to the mirror. Lots of weirdos around, not going to say any names, that type of shit have got me into enough BS here. Covers have a way to force a fruity friendly vibe, I guess its good for the community instead of a bunch of grown men talking about each other's moms here. A few years back this place was really nice, lots of cappers posting, sharing WHY? Everyone had a posted record then last NBA season I saw a big drop off and started to post regularly in the NBA PAYOFF thread and had major success which I tried to do in the MLB forum which I had another major successful ending. Life gets real and its hard to post all the time, especially when the vibe is bad, but I am going to give this a go, doing things my way! See what happens, I almost called it the season had the Chiefs lost to the Bucs 2 weeks ago
@Taipei-Tony If you had to pick a team to win today who would it be? Just curious.
I will also add, I almost played a parlay with WAS +10.5 -238, KC +3.5 -162, CIN +3.5 +267, but didn't go thru with it because I dont like betting a team due to the point spread, at +10.5 I love commanders but at +3.5 or 4 or money line I do not have a lean. Sorry can't help you there. Going be a good football game I think that will provide a bunch of information moving forward.
0
Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz:
@Taipei-Tony If you had to pick a team to win today who would it be? Just curious.
I will also add, I almost played a parlay with WAS +10.5 -238, KC +3.5 -162, CIN +3.5 +267, but didn't go thru with it because I dont like betting a team due to the point spread, at +10.5 I love commanders but at +3.5 or 4 or money line I do not have a lean. Sorry can't help you there. Going be a good football game I think that will provide a bunch of information moving forward.
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