Boys -3 (-130) over Eagles --- 1.3 units
Want to grab Boys now, line opened under 3 so I want to get at least the 3, maybe it comes down to 3, depending on Hurts injury.
I doubt it will matter, Boys outplayed the Eagles in Philly and the Boys are much better at home.
I don't see Boys losing this game SU, with 3 pt line or less the SU winner covers about 90% of the time
Seahawks +13 over 9ers --- 1.1 units
With the big dominate win over the Eagles 9ers enter the regression zone. Plus they are coming off a very big, meaningful game with a playoff atmosphere bringing a lot of energy, effort and focus to that game.
That alone will be difficult for the 9ers to match that this week.
Road divisional dogs have covered 57%. Past 5 years.
Crazy this line was 13 then pro's bet it down to 10.5 but it's back up to 13 again
Not sure what's going on, maybe pro's gave a false read to books backing Seahawks then came back big on 9ers once line went down at a much better line.
I like the Jets but now with line dropping to 3.5 not sure, maybe some of that was Wilson starting over the other QB who was even worse
I tried. Buying the +6.5 up to 7 but book wanted -140 to do it. Thought about taking the 6.5 but decided to wait. Pro's are backing the Jets that was part of line going down maybe all of it .
I don't like betting into large lineman cements, if Wilson brought the line down some that's understandable but even pro money I won't bet with line movement that big.
I saw something on you tube that was something like a 3 pt move covers like 40%.
Another big line movement is on Bills down to pk now.
Mahomes off a SU loss is money and he is deadly with line -3 or less.
Have to like KC but will wait it out see where this line is closer to closing.
I don't think KC makes the SB, I'll have more info on this at some point.
I doubt Jags do either, sad to see TL go out, been nice to see Jags get a 1or 2 seed, fade material in 1st playoff game.
I think Ravens or Bills come out of AFC but Bills really need to win this week. They could still get lucky if the lose and get in but going to get tougher for them if the teams ahead of Bills win this week.
Ust be why line move back to 13. Pick us about 9ers regressing not really anything about opponent.
I have posted futures Plays on 9ers to win NFC and SB before the Eagles game.
At this time 9ers playing on a historical high level.
Barring any key injuries can't see any team beating them.
The one concern would be if 9ers come into the playoffs playing on too high a level. I'd rather see them cool down in at least one of the final 2 games, both would be better and give us more value on line in playoffs.
The hottest team to enter the playoffs does not have a good history of doing well
Gl Claw. Thanks for posting.
3 comments.
#1. Geno is a game time decision with a groin. My best guess is he plays. The line is high, but it's right where it's suppose to be. Seattle was +7 at home on Thanksgiving and got blown out. Now they're swapping home field and Niners coming off their biggest win in years. Keep in mind Drew Lock played against the Rams and absolutely stunk as well.
#2. I like the Jets. Ever heard of going against a man with nothing to lose? Zach Wilson got benched for a couple of games, then they begged him to come back. That, along with the rumor that the Jets told him they're trading him this offseason really takes the pressure off him to perform. Especially since they're out of the playoff race now. If he wins the game and the Jets have a prayer at the playoffs, Rodgers was planning on coming back in a couple of weeks anyways.
#3. Dallas was due for regression for weeks in your posts. Yes, they didn't cover last week, but they put up 41 points. So maybe the defense regressed, but the offense definitely didn't.
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