The Bucs were media darlings following their Week 1 road win in Atlanta, with pundits going as far as calling QB Jameis Winston a darkhorse MVP candidate. After getting throttled in Arizona, Tampa looks to bounce back against a Rams team ripe for a let down after their "Super Bowl" win over Seattle. LA has scored 9 points in two games. The Bucs are holding opposing runners to 2.9 YPC and can contain LA's only threat in Todd Gurley. LA has to travel out East after that big win. The Bucs are missing leading rusher Doug Martin, but Charles Sims is a highly capable backup. All we need is Tampa to win by a TD.
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Bucs -5 (10 units)
The Bucs were media darlings following their Week 1 road win in Atlanta, with pundits going as far as calling QB Jameis Winston a darkhorse MVP candidate. After getting throttled in Arizona, Tampa looks to bounce back against a Rams team ripe for a let down after their "Super Bowl" win over Seattle. LA has scored 9 points in two games. The Bucs are holding opposing runners to 2.9 YPC and can contain LA's only threat in Todd Gurley. LA has to travel out East after that big win. The Bucs are missing leading rusher Doug Martin, but Charles Sims is a highly capable backup. All we need is Tampa to win by a TD.
I lean Jags since I think they're better than they've played the first two games and I just can't see the Ravens going 3-0. The Bills are always tough at home but they're a mess right now so laying off. And I love Miami, which brings me to...
Dolphins -9.5 (10 units)
Originally I was only going to have one 10 unit play, but I've reconsidered. The Dolphins are much better than an 0-2 team. They started off the year @SEA and @NE which is about as difficult of a stretch you'll see in the NFL. Coach Adam Gase is great with QBs and I see him helping with Tannehill's development. I think he'll shred that weak Browns' secondary. The Browns are missing promising rookie DE Carl Nassib and rookie WR Corey Coleman, who is virtually their only threat through the hair. They're starting their 3rd-string QB, rookie Cody Kessler, a guy who Adam Schefter reported "is not even close to ready." The Browns are a disaster right now. I know it's tough to trust the Fish with so many points but they should be able to win by double digits.
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Quote Originally Posted by WussieMan:
Thoughts on the jags, bills, or Miami?
I lean Jags since I think they're better than they've played the first two games and I just can't see the Ravens going 3-0. The Bills are always tough at home but they're a mess right now so laying off. And I love Miami, which brings me to...
Dolphins -9.5 (10 units)
Originally I was only going to have one 10 unit play, but I've reconsidered. The Dolphins are much better than an 0-2 team. They started off the year @SEA and @NE which is about as difficult of a stretch you'll see in the NFL. Coach Adam Gase is great with QBs and I see him helping with Tannehill's development. I think he'll shred that weak Browns' secondary. The Browns are missing promising rookie DE Carl Nassib and rookie WR Corey Coleman, who is virtually their only threat through the hair. They're starting their 3rd-string QB, rookie Cody Kessler, a guy who Adam Schefter reported "is not even close to ready." The Browns are a disaster right now. I know it's tough to trust the Fish with so many points but they should be able to win by double digits.
Don't get me wrong, the Niners are one of the worst teams in the NFL. But Chip Kelly has a knack for making bad QBs look better than they are (see Foles and Sanchez). This is still a division game and you can bet we'll see a better SF effort than we saw against Carolina. This play is more of a fade of the Seahawks right now. Russell Wilson is really banged up, their o-line is in shambles, and they don't have much of a running game right now. If Wilson was healthy, this is a perfect spot for a Seattle bounce back, but he's not, and I see the Niners putting a scare into the Seahawks.
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49ers +10.5 -130 (5 units)
Don't get me wrong, the Niners are one of the worst teams in the NFL. But Chip Kelly has a knack for making bad QBs look better than they are (see Foles and Sanchez). This is still a division game and you can bet we'll see a better SF effort than we saw against Carolina. This play is more of a fade of the Seahawks right now. Russell Wilson is really banged up, their o-line is in shambles, and they don't have much of a running game right now. If Wilson was healthy, this is a perfect spot for a Seattle bounce back, but he's not, and I see the Niners putting a scare into the Seahawks.
Nice picks....I got Bucs -4.5 a few days back and added more Bucs at -4.5 with a Jaguars PK parley. Also thinking of adding SF -9.5 and Pitt -3.5.
Your thoughts on Denver and Giants game?
I like the Bengals -3. Cincy has been a very good home team the past three years and I still don't buy the Broncos as a anything more than an 8-9 win team despite their early success.
I'm a Skins fan so I won't bet against my team, but they've stunk at the Meadowlands the last few years. We could see a bounce back, but that Giants D has looked very good so far. On the other hand, their offense has struggled so who knows. I'd lay off.
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Quote Originally Posted by AlexLifeson:
Nice picks....I got Bucs -4.5 a few days back and added more Bucs at -4.5 with a Jaguars PK parley. Also thinking of adding SF -9.5 and Pitt -3.5.
Your thoughts on Denver and Giants game?
I like the Bengals -3. Cincy has been a very good home team the past three years and I still don't buy the Broncos as a anything more than an 8-9 win team despite their early success.
I'm a Skins fan so I won't bet against my team, but they've stunk at the Meadowlands the last few years. We could see a bounce back, but that Giants D has looked very good so far. On the other hand, their offense has struggled so who knows. I'd lay off.
Waiting for this to turn into a PK and locked in on this nice teaser. Look for a highly conservative offensive gameplan from Belichick with their third-string rookie QB starting his first game on a short week. Gronk is playing but he'll be on a snap count and probably used more as a decoy. The Texans front can generate pressure and I expect the Pats D to really step up and play a great game. Look for a low-scoring game. Only reason I'm not taking Houston ATS is because I can't go against this legendary coach at home. But the teaser looks solid.
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Teaser -130 (5 units)
Texans +7/UNDER 46.5
Waiting for this to turn into a PK and locked in on this nice teaser. Look for a highly conservative offensive gameplan from Belichick with their third-string rookie QB starting his first game on a short week. Gronk is playing but he'll be on a snap count and probably used more as a decoy. The Texans front can generate pressure and I expect the Pats D to really step up and play a great game. Look for a low-scoring game. Only reason I'm not taking Houston ATS is because I can't go against this legendary coach at home. But the teaser looks solid.
Tough loss with the teaser, serves me right for betting against the best coach in NFL history.
Bengals -3 -135 (5 units)
This number has moved to -3.5, so I was forced to buy half a point here. The Broncos are off to a 2-0 start behind their great defense and solid running game. But the Bengals have been a very good home team for the last few years and I think they get it done here. Despite Denver's success, Trevor Siemian has been one of the worst starting QBs in the NFL, throwing only 1 TD to 3 INTs.
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Tough loss with the teaser, serves me right for betting against the best coach in NFL history.
Bengals -3 -135 (5 units)
This number has moved to -3.5, so I was forced to buy half a point here. The Broncos are off to a 2-0 start behind their great defense and solid running game. But the Bengals have been a very good home team for the last few years and I think they get it done here. Despite Denver's success, Trevor Siemian has been one of the worst starting QBs in the NFL, throwing only 1 TD to 3 INTs.
This is a fade of a Falcons team playing their second straight game on the road, moving from West to East against a division rival that is much better at home. Add in the fact that it's Monday night, and the Saints look like a good pick.
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Saints -3 (5 units)
This is a fade of a Falcons team playing their second straight game on the road, moving from West to East against a division rival that is much better at home. Add in the fact that it's Monday night, and the Saints look like a good pick.
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