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NFL Week 3...

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Legend
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Posted: #26

Best of luck Van.  an_cheers

 
Prospect
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Posted: #27

I love this card. I hope we make some $ this wknd . I really need it 

 
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Posted: #28

peace_5

 
Captain
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Posted: #29

@vanzack

 See a Nice Day for you Van.....Broncos my favorite pick of the Day....peace_5

 
MVP
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Posted: #30

Bo Derek not ready.....yet....peace_5

 
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Posted: #31

clover

 
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Posted: #32

bol 

Thanks for the picks peace_5

Always interested in your picks and thoughts 

thumbs_up

Claim to Fame - beating Bill Rodgers in a race.
 
Captain
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Posted: #33

The more i look into the games this week, i find myself in full agreement on your Atlanta, Baltimore plays peace_5

Banging since 1983
 
Prospect
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Posted: #34

Nice work, thanks for sharing!

 
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Posted: #35

clover

 
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Posted: #36

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by vabirdsfan: thanks van - I know you wrote a little about it in another thread but help me out w the falcons play. you put 1.5u on them +3 (-108 at DK) and another 1.5u on them +3.5 (-125 at DK) and why is this a good strategy? so that you at least win half the bet if it lands on 3 and mitigates the loss from the other side since 3 is so key? Well, first thing is if those are your prices at DKs, dont bet at DKs.  Much better numbers out there.   The idea of the .25 or .75 is to bring closer to -100.  Lots of lines around the 3 are either -3 +105, or -2.5 -118ish.  Everyone who posts it - if they are on the favorite they simply post -2.5, or if they are on the dog they simply post +3.  I think that is disingenuous to what I try to do. So yes - half the bet goes on -2.5, half goes on -3.  It is actually a fair way to do it for me - and at the same time a smart way for bettors to do it also

It is almost childlike how 97% of the people that post plays, always put the line in their favor, Of course you can't say anything unless you want to start a pissing war.

 
Legend
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Posted: #37

As always Vanzack, appreciate the knowledge.

Like the Detroit and Atlanta picks.

When Campbell said 'my bad' for last week's loss, that type of thing gets appreciated by players.

This is the time to pounce on KC.

Btw, Arthur Blank is going into the falcons ring of honor Sunday and all fans get 2 free hotdogs, 2 bags of chips and all you want soda.

So the fans should be ready for SNF.

 

 

 
Legend
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Posted: #38

Quote Originally Posted by vabirdsfan:

@vanzack  yep i shop em, just included in case you explained w a sample line. appreciate the walkthrough! what's your read on Atlanta? without that last drive and atrocious time management there at the end from Sirianni, this team's 0-2 and an ugly 0-2 at that

Check out the Chiefs injuries.  All over the place.  

I will take your your method of explanation above on the Falcons...

The Chiefs are a toe on the end zone out of bounds line, and a PI call away from being 0-2.  And a pretty ugly 0-2 also.

peace_5

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
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Posted: #39

Quote Originally Posted by The_Swamp:

Nice card. and survivor picks? Buffalo jumping out at me. Extra rest, Jax has regressed and see them being equally hungry for a W with 3 tough roadies. Situational angle here

I am out of Survivor.  7 entries, all gone.  I am pretending it doesnt exist for my own sanity.

peace_5

 

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
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Posted: #40

Quote Originally Posted by stoidi:

I respectfully disagree with your Falcons' pick.  Mahomes plays his best on the road and here he'll do it in a cushy dome.  Mahomes after playing trash always comes back harder than ever to prove to people he's still him.  On top of that Falcons are riding high off a fluke win where they played a team with ZERO pass rush.  KC DLine will feast on statue Cousins.  It would not surprise me if KC is up 3 TDs by halftime.    For both teams, this is a look-ahead game with an out-of-conference foe, and where the following week they each play a division rival.  The difference is the Chiefs have no look-ahead games with their weak division rivals.  There are only 1-2 teams where they may look ahead but even that I doubt.  Meanwhile, after a fluke win, I don't see why the Falcons would give a crap about winning this game knowing they have the steamrolling Saints to look ahead to.    This is a terrible spot for the Falcons and again I will be SHOCKED if they don't get blown out in this. How anyone can fade the Chiefs in this spot is crazy.

A lot of hyperbole in that.

peace_5

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
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Posted: #41

Quote Originally Posted by buffer:

@vanzack  Just can’t understand the Broncos and Falcons picks. Week 1 we saw TB beat a rookie QB for Washington and now we will see the same old song and dance vs the rookie QB for Denver. KC minus a fg vs anyone in the NFL holds huge value.

Buffer, you are nothing if not consistent.

When are you going to break out of this method of thinking in NFL handicapping?  It doesn't work.

peace_5

 

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Captain
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Posted: #42

Looks solid !!  Good luck today !!!moneybag

 
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Posted: #43

 

@vanzack

BOL on all your plays!  With you on the Ravens. Might be the only game I play today.  So many injuries to consider across the board.  Cheers! an_cheers

 
Captain
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Posted: #44

BOL Van peace_5

 
Prospect
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Posted: #45

First of all. Thank you for the picks.

To all the falcons doubters, check the way Cousins improved in week 2. TD, Ints,  Yards, Sacks, Longest pass. Etc. 

And algo KC had a polemic win by one point Last week. 

Personally I will split my bet between the spread and the Falcons tt over.

Vanzack. First time in the season you don't play the Panthers, and this week they play against the Raiders. Any lean on that game? 

I was going to play the Raiders, but Deablo is out and Crosby is questionable.

 
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Posted: #46

@vanzack

 BOL today my friend peace_5

With you on the Giants 

clover

Bet with your wallet,not your heart
 
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Posted: #47

Quote Originally Posted by umgmu:

As always Vanzack, appreciate the knowledge. Like the Detroit and Atlanta picks. When Campbell said 'my bad' for last week's loss, that type of thing gets appreciated by players. This is the time to pounce on KC. Btw, Arthur Blank is going into the falcons ring of honor Sunday and all fans get 2 free hotdogs, 2 bags of chips and all you want soda. So the fans should be ready for SNF.

Good info my friend peace_5

Bet with your wallet,not your heart
 
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Posted: #48

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by vabirdsfan: @vanzack  yep i shop em, just included in case you explained w a sample line. appreciate the walkthrough! what's your read on Atlanta? without that last drive and atrocious time management there at the end from Sirianni, this team's 0-2 and an ugly 0-2 at that Check out the Chiefs injuries.  All over the place.   I will take your your method of explanation above on the Falcons... The Chiefs are a toe on the end zone out of bounds line, and a PI call away from being 0-2.  And a pretty ugly 0-2 also.

this is why i'm here, let's get some Ws peace_5clover

 
Rookie
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Posted: #49

Appreciate your picks clover

 
 
MVP
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Posted: #50

Thanks buddy-

 

Good Luck today

 

We have trouble in that I like them all, I kind of hate that for some odd reason.

 

 

I think the Packers may play well today too.

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