1 small play this week ......
Eagles +3 (-120) over Saints ----- .6 units to win .5 units
Huge line movement. Public eating up this Saints team. Saints 3 out of 4 Bator method fade, back-to- back 40 pt games.
Not a good spot for the Saints.
If they do happen to cover there will be a BF fade on them next week.
I do have another method that consistently finish season with a winning record. Sometimes only a few games over.500 but other times some nice winning records.
I'll post the games but for now I won't take any action as it may be tough for me to keep up. If I miss weeks that could cost me the winning record.
Off losing weeks is a good time to play this method.
Packers +3 (-120) over Titans
Texans -2 over Vikes
Wash +7.5 (-115) over Bengals
Yea, I could see waiting one more game before fading them............
No, not likely Steelers will meet regression indicators I use, the offense is not good enough.
But you never know, never say never they could get many TO'S and score off them or some more fluke way to get there.
If that were to happen that would make it even a better play as not repeatable.
Wash is a system play .............
I don't have any thoughts on Giants/Browns but of all the good cappers I follow on you tube they are on Giants. I can't find any reason to go against the Giants.
Browns do have some good regression indicators so I think they won't do as well this year as last year.
Saints lead the league in pts per plays margin by a huge amount, not sustainable.
Saints ---.532
9ers --- .284
2cd best is way back.
To put that in perspective the best teams at end of season are many times under .200
Last year 9ers no.1 at .248 or something in that range.
Last season Boys led after. 2 weeks
Boys .417
9ers 2cd .284
In week 3 Boys lost 28-16, big upset by Zona.
But Boys also a Bator fade. Saints a 3 of 4 Bator fade but not full fade.
Interesting that the top 4 teams after 2 weeks last year were.
Boy
9ers
Packers
Ravens
4 playoff teams with 2 making the conference finals.
This season top 4 are ........
Saints
Bills
Vikings
Chargers
Very possibly early season big play is telling of a big year coming. I need to look into this more.
Yards per points margin ...... top 2 teams with both on unsustainable levels of play
This is kind of crazy but ...
No. 1 Chargers 21.1
No.2 Steelers 15.8
The 85 Bears finished regular season at around 8 which is I think the best ever or close to the best.
I suspect if both regress this game goes way under. Scoring fewer pts for both will regress both teams.
The other way to regress would be both teams putting up huge total yards numbers relative to pts scored, ha, don't see that happening
Just A thought. I won't take action without more research into this but knowing regression like I do it seems to fit.
But is it after 2 weeks, 3 weeks or 4 weeks. I would some day like to look alot more into this.
Established in 1995,
Best of luck
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