First locked in play:
Houston 9.5 -110 (2 units)
This is not the same Houston team we have seen in year's past that is just mediocre at best. They appear to have finally turned the corner, and with Andre Johnson potentially coming back this week, I think that will provide a huge lift for the offense. Even if he is not back, the Jags defense won't be able to hold down Houston the way they did Bmore this past week. Especially given that they will be on short rest. Meanwhile, Houston should have no problem holding down Jville.
Adding:
Cincy/Seattle u38 -110 (1 unit)
You all may have noticed a theme on my picks. I generally look for the smallest total on the board and determine whether or not to go under it. Normally, I decide going under that lowest total is a great play. This is another example of that. The Cincy defense has been strong all year and Seattle struggles to score. I actually think this one will be close with Cincy winning 17-14.
Adding:
KC +3.5 -115 (1 unit)
KC started off the season with a rough start to say the least. Things started to turn around for them in week three though when they lost at San Diego by 3 points. Since then, they have won three straight and are playing relatively well. Now they get San Diego again, this time at home. I suspect that they will win this game, but I will go ahead and take the points.
Adding:
KC +3.5 -115 (1 unit)
KC started off the season with a rough start to say the least. Things started to turn around for them in week three though when they lost at San Diego by 3 points. Since then, they have won three straight and are playing relatively well. Now they get San Diego again, this time at home. I suspect that they will win this game, but I will go ahead and take the points.
KC should blow out Chargers Monday. The Chiefs started the year by emphasizing conditioning over game planning. It showed on the field as they looked totally lost the first two games. However, the team started jelling in the 2nd H of the last Chargers game. The conditioning really showed up in the Raider game, as both lines were very stout. In the 2nd H both the offense and defense came to the sidelines gushing at how gassed their opponents were getting, and stoked to get back out and put it to them..............The Chargers coming into Arrowhead on Monday night, will get murdered. Game plan will be much as last week. On one-back sets, KC will drop back six, pressure Rivers, and dare them to run.
I have KC +175 ML Also a great middle opportunity. I also have for Nov. 6 Miami @ KC -4 1/2 and Green Bay -3 1/2 @ San Diego.............If KC does blow out S. Diego, these lines should move dramatically.
Like your other picks as well
Adding:
Detroit -3 -105 (3 units)
This is my 4th bet of 3 units this year and I am 3-0 thus far on them. First off, congrats to Tebow for leading his team to a come from behind victory last weekend. But guess what? If not for the fact that Tebow couldn't hit the broad side of a barn for 3+ quarters, he wouldn't have had to lead them back. Maybe at some point, Tebow will be a good QB (although I doubt it). But at this point, I have a feeling he is going to get destroyed by that Detroit DL who has to be frustrated about losing two straight. Add-in that the Lions should have no problem putting up points against one of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL, and I see Detroit winning by 2 TD's.
Adding:
Baltimore -12.5 -110 (1 unit)
Arizona has the unfortunate task of playing the Ravens the week after they lost a game they had no business losing. What that means is you are going to get an angry Lewis, Suggs, Reed, etc. and honestly, I am not sure if Zona will score. I see this one being a 31-7 type game. The only reason I am playing this as a 1 unit play is that they have one less day of rest having played on Monday night. I may reassess and add a unit, but we'll see.
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