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#1
Wager record: 20-13-2
Supercontest record: 24-15-1 60th place
Set a goal after week 4 to go 14-6 over the next 4 weeks but I came up a little short. I went 12-8. I'm shooting for 14-6 again weeks 9-12 to give me a legit shot at this thing.
Wager: Jets+3 -126. It was available at +3 for -101 but I decided to buy the hook. My line for the game was NYJ -1.26.
Pressed on time but a few thoughts. RT shell is out for NYJ has been awful. Not a downgrade. Wilkerson is playing which is huge. His backup is pretty terrible. The NYC pass rush is above average and their run defense is very stout up the middle.
Claiborne is out. Skrin is playing, Skrine was terrible his last game but he was concussed at some point and played through it. He was having a decent year before that. Jet's have 2 good safeties and 2 slightly below average corners(I've seen alot worse). Buffalo is a great matchup for them.
The Bills dline is a little depleted of talent following the Dareus trade. Yeah it hurts their starters but also taxes a group that had little depth to begin with. The have 1 elite pass rusher who lines up against their best olineman(Hughes vs. Beachum) and a bunch of below average pass rushers. Humber is returning at LB which hurts them. Milano was playing lights out and Both Humber and Brown have STRUGGLED immensely in coverage. Gaines is out at corner. He's been special. Shareece Wright and Leonard Johnson will be the 2nd and 3rd corners. Not great. Buf has 2 elite safeties though.
The Bills are devoid of weapons. The Jet's secondary is beatable if you have the weapons but Buffalo doesn't. NYJ also has 3 solid pass rushers. They are going to try and ground and pound McCoy and probably put a conservative game plan together which is really what they HAVE to do because of the lack of talent. I fully expect the Jet's defense to have a good game tonight.
The Jet's have a little more. Forte is just as good as a receiver or better as McCoy. They also have Anderson who has played fantastic lately and the emergence of ASJ down the seem gives them 3 pretty good recieving threats. Kearse is an above average number 4 weapon as well in my opinion. I don't expect Buf's pass rush to be very good tonight so McCown should have time to take advantage of the poor coverage from Buf's 2nd/3rd corners and LB's.
Under-rated aspect..... The Jet's also have a way better punter. Could be a big difference in field position. Not a supercontest play because I didn't have my other picks ready. Good luck!
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