In my eyes this game comes down to whether Bal will be able to establish a running game to keep the ball out of Brady's hands and chew up clock. Flacco will not be able to win this game by himself and the only way they have a chance is with a good day pounding the rock. With Welker hurt and Balty's ability to stop the run it will be a lot harder for the Pats to sustain long drives. I see a close game that can go either way. If the line goes up I'm def. on the Ravens...
"OMG - 4" -- as this post indicates this is a GOOD line. The Ravens and Pats have lot of followers. This also shows that Vegas sees this game as a toss up.
Other thoughts: Ty Warren and Vince Wilfork should play on Sunday. Very important for Pats
Welker is a beast (especially after the catch) but Julian Edelman had 10 receptions yesterday in his place. Sam Aiken will catch some balls also. Of note, Welker was a great locker room guy and team motivator...this will be missed.
Patriots at home in the playoffs....I'll bet there are some crazy trends that back Brady and Belichek at home in the playoffs.
My two cents - these two teams are evenly matched especially on defense... edge to the Patriots on offense and at home ( hence the -4 line). This is a huge game for Joe Flacco in his career...interceptions will make or break this game. I would rather back Brady at home. If this line drops (-3) or goes up significantly (-5 / -6 ), I would consider bigger bets on Pats or Balt, respectively.
This is not the Ray Lewis and Ed Reed of old either. In this case, ONE player does not define the outcome of the game. I agree that the Patriots were better in 2007 than 2009 but, this game will be decided by field goals and turnovers. Unless the line moves significantly -- I will likely save my money for Green Bay or other games.
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