Phenomenal value on Los Angeles here as they should easily be -3 in this spot this Sunday. Books know it too but that would never happen as they would get flooded with Eagles money seeing as LA is 0-3. Philadelphia is off 3 big games, as they achieved double divisional revenge in week 1 after a Redskins sweep last season, put up 400 yards in a thrilling loss that ended with a failed hail mary attempt to Kansas City in week 2, and a walk-off 61 yard field goal win against rival Giants last Sunday in an ending that led them to celebrating on the field and carrying their rookie kicker off the field. The Eagles will definitely be the more exhausted team in this matchup. They have traveled from Washington DC in week 1, to Kansas City in week 2, back to Philadelphia in week 3, now cross country through multiple timezones to Los Angeles in Week 4. Meanwhile, the Chargers are as rested as can be as they have been at home for 3 straight weeks with 0 travel. The Chargers are also a very underrated squad as their 0-3 record is VERY misleading. They are 15th in the league in yards per game differential, 2nd in the league in sacks, and 6th in the league in sacks allowed. They outgained and outplayed Miami in week 2, and outgained KC in week 3 and were down just 1 score to them late in the game despite giving up 3 turnovers. Yet here they are with the worst record in the league due to special teams, and turnovers. Additionally, the Eagles are an injured and beat up squad. They just lost Darren Sproles for the year, Fletcher Cox who is their stud DL got injured last week and looks to be out this Sunday, and starting middle linebacker Hicks also left last week’s game with an injury (although he looks like he'll be a go but might not be 100%). This is a huge ‘relax’ game for the Eagles, after those 3 big games in weeks 1-3, they face the Cardinals, Panthers, and Redskins after this cross-country game against an 0-3 Chargers squad. Meanwhile, the Chargers are one of the most desperate teams in the league. The Chargers are my play of the month.
Chargers -1 (7x)
NFL YTD: +7.0 Units
Passing on Thursday's game, rest of card will be posted tomorrow.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Chargers
Phenomenal value on Los Angeles here as they should easily be -3 in this spot this Sunday. Books know it too but that would never happen as they would get flooded with Eagles money seeing as LA is 0-3. Philadelphia is off 3 big games, as they achieved double divisional revenge in week 1 after a Redskins sweep last season, put up 400 yards in a thrilling loss that ended with a failed hail mary attempt to Kansas City in week 2, and a walk-off 61 yard field goal win against rival Giants last Sunday in an ending that led them to celebrating on the field and carrying their rookie kicker off the field. The Eagles will definitely be the more exhausted team in this matchup. They have traveled from Washington DC in week 1, to Kansas City in week 2, back to Philadelphia in week 3, now cross country through multiple timezones to Los Angeles in Week 4. Meanwhile, the Chargers are as rested as can be as they have been at home for 3 straight weeks with 0 travel. The Chargers are also a very underrated squad as their 0-3 record is VERY misleading. They are 15th in the league in yards per game differential, 2nd in the league in sacks, and 6th in the league in sacks allowed. They outgained and outplayed Miami in week 2, and outgained KC in week 3 and were down just 1 score to them late in the game despite giving up 3 turnovers. Yet here they are with the worst record in the league due to special teams, and turnovers. Additionally, the Eagles are an injured and beat up squad. They just lost Darren Sproles for the year, Fletcher Cox who is their stud DL got injured last week and looks to be out this Sunday, and starting middle linebacker Hicks also left last week’s game with an injury (although he looks like he'll be a go but might not be 100%). This is a huge ‘relax’ game for the Eagles, after those 3 big games in weeks 1-3, they face the Cardinals, Panthers, and Redskins after this cross-country game against an 0-3 Chargers squad. Meanwhile, the Chargers are one of the most desperate teams in the league. The Chargers are my play of the month.
Chargers -1 (7x)
NFL YTD: +7.0 Units
Passing on Thursday's game, rest of card will be posted tomorrow.
LC believe it or not, when the Chargers played the Chiefs they didn't allow player intros for LA because ownership was afraid the reaction to the Chiefs players would have been louder!
So what looks like "value" from SD -3 to SD -1, really IS just LA having a "home field advantage" of -1 instead of the traditional -3 because there is no true home field advantage in these new LA stomping grounds!
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Boy, I don't like this pick at all.
LC believe it or not, when the Chargers played the Chiefs they didn't allow player intros for LA because ownership was afraid the reaction to the Chiefs players would have been louder!
So what looks like "value" from SD -3 to SD -1, really IS just LA having a "home field advantage" of -1 instead of the traditional -3 because there is no true home field advantage in these new LA stomping grounds!
Pass on this garbage Chargers. Why people think that the Chargers won't lose 4 in a row is beyond me. Will not touch the garbage Chargers and garbage Giants this year.GL
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Pass on this garbage Chargers. Why people think that the Chargers won't lose 4 in a row is beyond me. Will not touch the garbage Chargers and garbage Giants this year.GL
7 Unit play on an 0-3 team? Play of the month? And you see tremendous value from it should be a -3 to a -1 Chargers? Much respect League but this is a game here that I feel should be left alone.
Just the same League I love reading your analysis and posts no matter how accurate or far fetched they may seem at times.
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7 Unit play on an 0-3 team? Play of the month? And you see tremendous value from it should be a -3 to a -1 Chargers? Much respect League but this is a game here that I feel should be left alone.
Just the same League I love reading your analysis and posts no matter how accurate or far fetched they may seem at times.
Which is something I saw with Purdue for 4 years under Hazell. When a defense is having problems with something so fundamental, it smells of bad coaching and no desire: a bad concoction to back.
Just saying. SD IS ON my shi* list until I see otherwise.
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And they have major problems TACKLING.
Which is something I saw with Purdue for 4 years under Hazell. When a defense is having problems with something so fundamental, it smells of bad coaching and no desire: a bad concoction to back.
Just saying. SD IS ON my shi* list until I see otherwise.
LC believe it or not, when the Chargers played the Chiefs they didn't allow player intros for LA because ownership was afraid the reaction to the Chiefs players would have been louder!
So what looks like "value" from SD -3 to SD -1, really IS just LA having a "home field advantage" of -1 instead of the traditional -3 because there is no true home field advantage in these new LA stomping grounds!
Agreed, LA doesn't have a homefield advantage yet. But that's not necessarily a bad thing. Chargers on the road in recent years = 10-6 ATS (62.5% ATS). At home 5-13 ATS (27.8%). They play much better in hostile environments. Although they are at home this Sunday, they are extremely rested, and desperate for a win, and facing a tired team
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Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
Boy, I don't like this pick at all.
LC believe it or not, when the Chargers played the Chiefs they didn't allow player intros for LA because ownership was afraid the reaction to the Chiefs players would have been louder!
So what looks like "value" from SD -3 to SD -1, really IS just LA having a "home field advantage" of -1 instead of the traditional -3 because there is no true home field advantage in these new LA stomping grounds!
Agreed, LA doesn't have a homefield advantage yet. But that's not necessarily a bad thing. Chargers on the road in recent years = 10-6 ATS (62.5% ATS). At home 5-13 ATS (27.8%). They play much better in hostile environments. Although they are at home this Sunday, they are extremely rested, and desperate for a win, and facing a tired team
I agree 100% with you. I think SD will easily cover this. But as an Eagles fan, I just can't bring myself to bet against my team. I don't even like better for the Eagles. I lose rational thinking when it comes to my team.
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I agree 100% with you. I think SD will easily cover this. But as an Eagles fan, I just can't bring myself to bet against my team. I don't even like better for the Eagles. I lose rational thinking when it comes to my team.
Which is something I saw with Purdue for 4 years under Hazell. When a defense is having problems with something so fundamental, it smells of bad coaching and no desire: a bad concoction to back.
Just saying. SD IS ON my shi* list until I see otherwise.
The Eagles have the same exact problem with tackling though. Eagles defense has been pretty solid and is one of their strong suits, but when it comes to tackling in an open field, I've seen them miss 5 tackles on a single carrier. Also, Doug Pederson has finally discovered how to run the ball last week. With Sproles out, I don't think we will see many runs for lots of yards. We will see a lot more of Smallwood and Blount running for 3-4 yards. Clock will be moving this game. I think the under will be a good play.
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Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
And they have major problems TACKLING.
Which is something I saw with Purdue for 4 years under Hazell. When a defense is having problems with something so fundamental, it smells of bad coaching and no desire: a bad concoction to back.
Just saying. SD IS ON my shi* list until I see otherwise.
The Eagles have the same exact problem with tackling though. Eagles defense has been pretty solid and is one of their strong suits, but when it comes to tackling in an open field, I've seen them miss 5 tackles on a single carrier. Also, Doug Pederson has finally discovered how to run the ball last week. With Sproles out, I don't think we will see many runs for lots of yards. We will see a lot more of Smallwood and Blount running for 3-4 yards. Clock will be moving this game. I think the under will be a good play.
I agree with this selection also. I had planned to write up my opinion on this game Friday night.(still will) I see excellent value with the Chargers in this role. This will be my first huge bet of the young season
Banging since 1983
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I agree with this selection also. I had planned to write up my opinion on this game Friday night.(still will) I see excellent value with the Chargers in this role. This will be my first huge bet of the young season
Been on this game when it was a pick em and now it has jumped to 1.5 pts.
Eagles werent a really good road team last season. 1-7 last year i expect that to inprove. They got one in Washington week 1 but this is one of those games where i expect Eagles to drop one to go 1-1 on the road.
Sip on that plus money honey!
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Been on this game when it was a pick em and now it has jumped to 1.5 pts.
Eagles werent a really good road team last season. 1-7 last year i expect that to inprove. They got one in Washington week 1 but this is one of those games where i expect Eagles to drop one to go 1-1 on the road.
Pick makes sense but OMG Rivers is do turnover prone. He reminds me of Tony Romo throwing all these damn passes to the other team. This game is a pass for me. Chargers look terrible but if there’s one game to turn it around this would be it
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Pick makes sense but OMG Rivers is do turnover prone. He reminds me of Tony Romo throwing all these damn passes to the other team. This game is a pass for me. Chargers look terrible but if there’s one game to turn it around this would be it
Eli torched Philly for 366 yds at 74% and Rivers is the same type of gunslinger. Prob with San Diego is Hunt ran like a madman against them and Philly still has a few decent RB's . I think it's a good pick, full effort from San Diego.
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Eli torched Philly for 366 yds at 74% and Rivers is the same type of gunslinger. Prob with San Diego is Hunt ran like a madman against them and Philly still has a few decent RB's . I think it's a good pick, full effort from San Diego.
Agreed, LA doesn't have a homefield advantage yet. But that's not necessarily a bad thing. Chargers on the road in recent years = 10-6 ATS (62.5% ATS). At home 5-13 ATS (27.8%). They play much better in hostile environments. Although they are at home this Sunday, they are extremely rested, and desperate for a win, and facing a tired team
League, I like this play and most likely will be on the play...Maybe not units but I'll be on the LA...GL
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Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:
Agreed, LA doesn't have a homefield advantage yet. But that's not necessarily a bad thing. Chargers on the road in recent years = 10-6 ATS (62.5% ATS). At home 5-13 ATS (27.8%). They play much better in hostile environments. Although they are at home this Sunday, they are extremely rested, and desperate for a win, and facing a tired team
League, I like this play and most likely will be on the play...Maybe not units but I'll be on the LA...GL
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