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phixer's nfl

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Prospect
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Posted: #1426
good luck to all who take the moneylne here 
 
Captain
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Posted: #1427
Saints roll!
 
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Posted: #1428
for all who take my picks only becauswe of my reputation - dont. i only state what i bet and why i do it. thats all. if my logic is acceptable - go on and tail. if not - please do what you please. but dont drive yourselves into a frenzy for one night. money is not that easy to earn and think twice at all if you want to bet the sports or may be take your girlfriend/ wife or biyfriend (lol) out instead and leave the thursday night thrill out. remember - for every loss theres someone else on the other side winning and for every win theres someone loing on the other side. at the end of the day we're all brotherhood of degenerates and i am happy with that. if you're not - it's may be a time you quit gambling. but do never do what you don't want to do. and if youre already doing - do it with balls
 
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Posted: #1429
I agree with Phix, public bloodbath tonight! Thurs/Monday games are notorious for dogs winning. Public money dogs are a combined 15-10. Thursday itself is 5-6 but Monday games are 10-4. 

I think Atl +9 is money. I'll end up parlaying Atl ML and the undo for shits and giggles.
 
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Posted: #1430
Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

for all who take my picks only becauswe of my reputation - dont. i only state what i bet and why i do it. thats all. if my logic is acceptable - go on and tail. if not - please do what you please. but dont drive yourselves into a frenzy for one night. money is not that easy to earn and think twice at all if you want to bet the sports or may be take your girlfriend/ wife or biyfriend (lol) out instead and leave the thursday night thrill out. remember - for every loss theres someone else on the other side winning and for every win theres someone loing on the other side. at the end of the day we're all brotherhood of degenerates and i am happy with that. if you're not - it's may be a time you quit gambling. but do never do what you don't want to do. and if youre already doing - do it with balls

If you're already doing - do it with balls!

Touché Phix! 
 
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Posted: #1431
Good Luck Phix...
 
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Posted: #1432
"at the end of the day we're all brotherhood of degenerates and i am happy with that."

damn right lol
 
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Posted: #1433
Gl
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1434

Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

for all who take my picks only becauswe of my reputation - dont. i only state what i bet and why i do it. thats all. if my logic is acceptable - go on and tail. if not - please do what you please. but dont drive yourselves into a frenzy for one night. money is not that easy to earn and think twice at all if you want to bet the sports or may be take your girlfriend/ wife or biyfriend (lol) out instead and leave the thursday night thrill out. remember - for every loss theres someone else on the other side winning and for every win theres someone loing on the other side. at the end of the day we're all brotherhood of degenerates and i am happy with that. if you're not - it's may be a time you quit gambling. but do never do what you don't want to do. and if youre already doing - do it with balls

well said...what's up with people looking for guarantees? There is no such thing. How many times does someone load up on a "can't be wrong" bet only to get their clock cleaned?

You have a good record and great logic...I follow on some, fade on others and often just stay away from certain games!

Keep doing what you do!

 
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Posted: #1435
Looking at all the trends, public money, public perception, and the line movement...

I am taking Atlana ML 
and also taking Atlanta +9.

Atlanta is +340 ML.

Going against the public when they are betting 80% on one team, is easy money. 

Denver/Colts
SD/Oak
Colts/SD
Minni/Winless Giants
Texans/Chargers
Jets/Atlanta
Seahawks/Cardinals

Last mnf - Pats @ Carolina. Same thing.

Once public pounds a line 80% esp on primetime.. Fading is the way too go. Look at those games I listed. I am sure you remember the bad beats.

BoL 
 
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Posted: #1436
I bet the house on MNF and I bet on Vegas line movement and not the team.
All day Sunday I wanted to lock in Panthers -1. Then all day it stays locked at Panther's -2.5 Refusing to move to a key #.
Then Monday morning line moves to Patriots +3. When heavy money was coming in on Patriots +2.5. The line shouldve changed to +2. Instead Vegas gave them a gift.

HMMMM.

Let's see. Pats coming off a bye week, Billechk's record off a bye, Brady with his offensive weapons back... Public see's +3 pats as a lock.

Once the lined moved to +3 to a key number for NO absolute reason.. that told me Panthers was the play. Even betting last MNF so Vegas already made their money.
Vegas WANTED you to play Pats +3. And what happened? Turn on ESPN. They are still talking about it.

 
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Posted: #1437

The phix is in, I am parlaying atl +9.5 with the under,

 

Good Luck Everyone

 
Prospect
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Posted: #1438

The phix is in, I am parlaying atl +9.5 with the under,

 

Good Luck Everyone

 
Prospect
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Posted: #1439
Hear it i$.....$olid WIN
7pt teaser parlay
ATL+16.5
Under 60.5

$500 to win $384
 
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Posted: #1440
Quote Originally Posted by thedon777:

AND U LIKE THE UNDER TO I JUST DO NT LIKE  YOUR PICKS AT ALL PEOPLE ARE GUA LOSE MOEY IF THEY FOLLOW THIS LOOK AT WHAT U PICK THE UNDER AND ATLANTA IF ATLANTA EVER WINS THIS GAME U HAVE TO THIK IT WILL GO OVER RIGHT SO UR SAYING THAT THE SAINTS ARE NOT GUNA SCORE 26 PTS THATS THERE AVERAGE SO THINK ABOUT IT MAN YOU HAVE ALOT OF FOLLOWERS THAT ARE GUNA LOSE TONIGHT 



This is s . (period)....There free, use as many as you want.....it's totally okay.

Also, they now have SPELL CHECK...that's free too.


 
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Posted: #1441
Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

saints' last win by more than a td in atlanta occured in 2007. 
atlanta will be super motivated today knowing that they are with their backs to the wall and on national tv. 
the saints will be after 4 days rest netto.
the saints will have an aliby to perform poorly.
bla bla bla
the line opened at no -7 and shot up to no -10 before coming down to -8.5 for -110 and -9 for 115.
that last detail is scary one. if vegas would be inviting us to take no why would they leave the line at -9 and only change the price? -8.5 would be more attractive. and 7 out of 10 bets are on no. so wtf? what is vegas doing here? are they really out of control and instead of the line climbing to -10.5 and thus evening the odds they are opposite to any logic lowering it? 
and what about the team form? 
are the falcons able to hold off the saints who are on fire or will the usual happen again and the saints will under perform away as usual?
if i wanted to phix the game - and take the public money home, what would i do?

atl ml +325   1000$

atl +9  1150$

under 53  1100$ 

first score of the game after 7 minutes of the play  +160  1000$

Same card here Phix. 

 
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Posted: #1442
psychological handicapping is for the advanced! capping stats is just like math...there is only one answer, therefore leaving someone narrow minded and completely bias. 


 
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Posted: #1443
Some of you may LOL, Sunday night I bought NO down from 7 to 6.5 and this morning to bought ATL from 10 to 10.5. I may juice out at -125 but I think the buy out value was there.
 
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Posted: #1444

Quote Originally Posted by thedon777:

yea i will watch and learn that you all are guna lose money on this night atlanta moneyline seriously yea a 5th grader does pick better than that good luck to all that follow the moneyline play hope u all loseeee

You're kidding right?

 
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Posted: #1445
SOMETIMES THERE ARE,,,,DIAMONDS IN THE SAND,,,YOU JUST HAVE TO LOOK HARDER,,,,,,,,,,,,,,AND 3 IS A MAGIC NUMBER,,,,,,,,,,,LIKE THE PLAYS,,,UR A GOOD MAN TO FEED ALL THE PUPPY"S
 
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Posted: #1446
Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

for all who take my picks only becauswe of my reputation - dont. i only state what i bet and why i do it. thats all. if my logic is acceptable - go on and tail. if not - please do what you please. but dont drive yourselves into a frenzy for one night. money is not that easy to earn and think twice at all if you want to bet the sports or may be take your girlfriend/ wife or biyfriend (lol) out instead and leave the thursday night thrill out. remember - for every loss theres someone else on the other side winning and for every win theres someone loing on the other side. at the end of the day we're all brotherhood of degenerates and i am happy with that. if you're not - it's may be a time you quit gambling. but do never do what you don't want to do. and if youre already doing - do it with balls


Quoted for truth. Nicely put man
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1447
Line moved from -9 to -7.5
Doesnt mean nothing because it is still on the other side of a key #.

Looks like Vegas wants to sucker you in on N.O
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1448
haha ya i was jk good luck
 
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Posted: #1449
Quote Originally Posted by Johnnyblack:

Line moved from -9 to -7.5
Doesnt mean nothing because it is still on the other side of a key #.

Looks like Vegas wants to sucker you in on N.O

Falcons just like Texans, they will find a way to lose it.  Consider me a sucker.  I don't like betting on bad teams against good teams, especially if its under 10 points.

 
 
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Posted: #1450
Fuck!!!!!!!!
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