phixer's nfl week 5

This is a 10 Units Play

SEA Seahawks +3  -110   1100$

The Bengals are one of my favorite teams to bet on. Over the years they have produced for me more spot plays than any other NFL team. The Seahawks are one of the teams I really don't like. Because of the ref biases and them beating time after time till they made up for it and  made me the money for all the previous losses when they defeated the Broncos in the Superbowl. And this Sunday - I expect them to make me money again. Why? How?

We were handed a mind game convincing us the Seahawks are at their worse now and since they have miraculously escaped the home loss to pathetic Lions - they must have a very little chance surviving high powered Bengals. The Seahawks are up against two 4-0 teams in the next two weeks. The Bengals week at Cincinnati and the Panthers at home the week after. And here comes again the ATS trick I was telling you this week and used it to win the TNF bet on the Colts: the Bengals are 4-0 ATS while the Seahawks are 1-3. We are going to see those numbers balancing a bit after Sunday as we will have 2-3 ATS Seahawks and 4-1 ATS Bengals. I am not even going to watch the game and not because I'm full of vanity - no, I will have better games to watch than this as the cover here for me is in a high probability. And you know why I am so self confident? Because the Bengals have a game in Buffalo the week after and if they will go there 5-0 ATS - they will not cover there and I will have triple this bet over there on the Bills, and if they miraculously cover again in Buffalo and become 6-0 ATS going into a bye week - the next game will be awaiting them in Week 8 is a pivotal game in Pittsburgh. Vegas will not have much to gain by then because everyone will be on the Steelers realizing the Bengals can't go forever winning ATS and therefore Vegas will not allow that to happen and the Bengals will lose ATS beforehand. In short - there are no limits as long as you have the money what can you do tripling your bets on a team that is either 4-0 or 0-4 ATS, because the juice is a less factor knowing that by tripling your previous bet each time - you can easily make money as long as you are disciplined and manage your money well.

So, you've been warned. If you do not have the discipline or the money to follow the narrative above - stay out of this bet.

Phixer really appreciate what you do, been and avid listener for a few years. I believe Mavins thread was when i first recognized the talents. There have been a few good ones come and get run off y the likes of covers. Speaking of such, do you still communicate with vagaswikileaks? He was hot last year. And I recall an affiliation in some way.

In regards to this game, I see your reasoning, what it reminds me of is a martingale fade of the bengals ats. I dont disagree with the logic but at the beginning of the week I bought em on the money line. Since it is possible to play hawks on spread i can middle it would you buy out of the ml wager. Do you see hawks winning outright or just trying to capture the situation of the ats trend?

Thanks, 1timelucky1 on covers.