Went 5-2 in posted plays for week 1. Let's look at some numbers:
Pitt 11 2 27 13 17 30
3 Balt 20 7 9 25 18 21
Balt opens up as a 3 pt fav. currently around 2.5. Balt. is ranked 20th in off rushing rank, 7 in off. passing, 9 in def. rushing, 25 in def. passing. Also, balt. has a sagarin rank of 18 and sched. strength of 21. Comparing both teams we find Pitt is better in 4 categories while balt is only better in 2 (Def. rushing and sched. strength).
What does all of this mean - basically when you have an away team that is better in these 4 categories and a home team tat is better in these two categories and an opening line of 3 for the home team - history has shown the away team gets the cover and often the su victory - thus I go with pitt.
Good luck all.