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Rams let down week 2....

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Posted: #26
Thee Rams -3
 
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Posted: #27
Phi scored 37 (Was 27) and 24 (@was 27) with Foles.  If he can score 24 this time, STL should cover.
Wow, WAS only had 4.2NYPP vs. STL Ly in that 24-0 game
 
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Posted: #28
Cousins is terrible under pressure, throwing another 2 INT against the Fins. Rams have no look-ahead while the Skins have Giants on TNF. Nick Foles was picking apart the Seahawks under pressure and the Skins will miss Culliver and Ihenacho. Todd Gurley got first team reps and is not ruled out yet.
 
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Posted: #29
Gotta keep fading the redskins until they prove us otherwise. But only a small play. These trends don't bode well for either team:

Rams are 28-41 ATS on grass since 2001.
Favorites after playing the Seahawks are 7-24 ATS.
Redskins are 7-16 ATS in September home games since 2001.


 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

Gotta keep fading the redskins until they prove us otherwise. But only a small play. These trends don't bode well for either team:

Rams are 28-41 ATS on grass since 2001.
Favorites after playing the Seahawks are 7-24 ATS.
Redskins are 7-16 ATS in September home games since 2001.



Thank you for posting this. It did at least prove what I was saying about teams comming off playing the Seahawks right. Either way I stand by my pick. Going to wait till late Saturday to see how many more points I can get before I pull the trigger though. Single unit play as always for me. 
 
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Posted: #31
Respectfully disagree....

Public on the Rams, sharps on the Skins - a slightly fishy line at first glance - everyone calling this a "situational game" after emotional Rams win VS Seahawks, Rams due for a let down, trap line... all the cliches.

But I think the Rams are for real and this line is low because

1.) The power rankings are off (read: Rams rated lower than they really are).

I also was not impressed with the Fish last week and feel that 2.) since the Skins moved the ball rather easily most of the game the public is thinking Skins are not half bad offensively  (I bet them last week and, well you know how that turned out .)  Some defenses early on just need time, not enough film to study your opponent's O. But the public is high on Miami's D - therefore "Skins must have good a good O. I saw it vs Miami!"

I think Rams are banging on all cylinders and Washington is obviously lacking talent and cohesion right now. Fish came out flat and as a result Skins looked better than they are, IMHO. I think Rams ride that emotion from week 1 into this road game, not the let down others speak of. My admittedly early in the season shaky numbers tell me Rams win by more than 10.

If 49ers play the Steelers hard this week and win outright (could happen) we might just see Rams -7 at home vs Steelers for week 3.

But I still do not see why this line did not open @ 4.5 nor why it has not been bet up to 4.5 yet - especially with many road favs covering week 1.

I'm not afraid of the fishy line.
The pen is mightier than the pigs
 
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Posted: #32
If you take the Rams and you win and cover easily to you I say congratz! Just like the all of us it wouldn't be the 1st or the last time I was wrong.    
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by Targa1:

If you take the Rams and you win and cover easily to you I say congratz! Just like the all of us it wouldn't be the 1st or the last time I was wrong.    
Well Speaking of Wrong Week 1 I had Skins, Raiders, Vikes, Bears, Jags, Ravens, Saints and Giants ML +360 (GRRR).

I did have Bills, Rams, Falcons, Giants and Under SF/Vikes and ended up +2 units overall, but man was I really wrong 9-5!

I think this line is Rams -3.5 because Vegas does not want to give the sharps any more points - Maybe they took some sizable action at the -2.5 open and don't want to get middled? They know the sharps are going to come in at +3.5 on the Skins anyway, waiting for better money or maybe a gift of 4, 4.5, right now ticket count and concenus is pretty heavy on the Rams but line is holding steady - I do see 3 places with -4. (2 in vegas on offshore).

It's early in the season, lines are soft, I need to stop trying to figure out the line which as we all know are based on somewhat of an attempt to split the money, based on public perception and power rankings that are not always on the money.

Rams have a great D all around and can score. Low lines early on because Nick Foles is not a household name like Flacco, Brady, Manning, Luck, Brees, Rodgers....

St Loo might end up being the public darling like Arizona last year. I'll take them early while the lines are still good.
The pen is mightier than the pigs
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

Well Speaking of Wrong Week 1 I had Skins, Raiders, Vikes, Bears, Jags, Ravens, Saints and Giants ML +360 (GRRR).

I did have Bills, Rams, Falcons, Giants and Under SF/Vikes and ended up +2 units overall, but man was I really wrong 9-5!

I think this line is Rams -3.5 because Vegas does not want to give the sharps any more points - Maybe they took some sizable action at the -2.5 open and don't want to get middled? They know the sharps are going to come in at +3.5 on the Skins anyway, waiting for better money or maybe a gift of 4, 4.5, right now ticket count and concenus is pretty heavy on the Rams but line is holding steady - I do see 3 places with -4. (2 in vegas on offshore).

It's early in the season, lines are soft, I need to stop trying to figure out the line which as we all know are based on somewhat of an attempt to split the money, based on public perception and power rankings that are not always on the money.

Rams have a great D all around and can score. Low lines early on because Nick Foles is not a household name like Flacco, Brady, Manning, Luck, Brees, Rodgers....

St Loo might end up being the public darling like Arizona last year. I'll take them early while the lines are still good.
Meaning also while they are playing average teams, not sure how they will fare on the road in GB, Balt, Zona, Seattle... we might get good line value all the way to the Browns in week 6. GLTA
The pen is mightier than the pigs
 
 
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Posted: #35
Is there a hangover effect after playing Seattle? Teams are 0-10 straight-up and 1-9 ATS in their next game after playing the Seahawks. Regular season
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