Rams vs. 49ers Final Score Prediction
Should we trust the 49ers at home? Maybe, but not to cover any spread.
It feels like San Fran is about to make an improbable run to get back in the NFC West mix. And the same for the Rams. Both teams are battling injuries at this point in the season so throw that out the window. All teams are.... Next men up!
The 49ers showed in Week 13 that despite their poor record this season, they're still one of the better teams the NFL has to offer. They remain a top-three team in Net Yards per Play and Brock Purdy can find a way to beat defenses no matter who he has available to throw to. Even in their loss to the Rams earlier this season, the 49ers outgained them 6.5 yards per play to 5.4.
The Rams still have some red flags, most notably their third down play. They rank in the bottom five of the NFL in third down conversion rate and Matt Stafford has statistically been nothing more than an above-average quarterback for the majority of the 2024 campaign.
While I’m not all the way in on the 49ers just because they beat a freefalling Bears team, I do think Los Angeles’ defense is a major concern in this one.
The Rams rank just 23rd overall in EPA/Play defensively this season, and they still gave up 42 points in their win over the Bills in Week 14. I wouldn't be shocked to see them lose a close one in Santa Clara on Thursday.
Both teams are showing the fight down the stretch so I think we are going to see enough offense from both tonight to push this over the total (50)
Final Score Prediction: 49ers 30, Rams 28
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